As for some reason I am still getting full unregistered access to OffthePitch.com I will share their extensive piece on the Super League situation to date
Super League Special Report: "I spoke to him Saturday afternoon and he said, "Don’t worry, nothing is going on." He said he’d call me again in an hour but turned off the phone."
19 April 2021 9:12 PM
- Hardcore of rebel clubs – Manchester United, Liverpool and Real Madrid – feared that plans for a breakaway league died in January, but a legal review of competition law encouraged their plot.
- Plans only gathered momentum in the second half of last week with a critical mass forming on Thursday and Friday.
- Super League claims it will put €10 billion of solidarity payments into European football over 23 years, but Off The Pitch research shows this is up to 50 per cent less than under current system.
- UEFA president describes plotters as “liars and snakes” whose actions transcended even villains he dealt with in his previous career as a criminal lawyer.
- UEFA and leagues consider severe disciplinary action against clubs and individuals, with possible expulsions from this year’s Champions League.
JAMES CORBETT
corbett@offthepitch.com
When plans for a breakaway European Super League were leaked to the media in January, the response of the governing bodies, FIFA and UEFA, was so strident and immediate that most of the clubs involved in the plotting thought – according to a Super League source intimately involved in this attempted putsch and who spoke to offthepitch.com on condition of anonymity – it was “game over”.
A joint statement signed at the time by FIFA president Gianni Infantino and the six confederation heads, including UEFA’s Aleksander Čeferin, that they would not recognise any such competition and participating clubs and players would risk being banned from competitions organised under their flags.
The ferocity of the response was enough to deter most agitators from pursuing the putative plans further.
Instead they threw their weight behind the European Club Association’s negotiating efforts to get a bigger slice for elite clubs in a post-2024 settlement for the Champions League. These negotiating demands included guaranteed places for top clubs who hadn’t qualified via domestic leagues and a stake in a joint venture set up between the ECA and UEFA to handle marketing and commercial rights.
Even as negotiations went on and became protracted as the ECA’s demands increased there was no hint that the Super League was anything other than a dead rubber.
Madrid momentum
However the Real Madrid president Florentino Perez kept privately pursuing the idea of a Super League and other clubs were lobbied.
In tandem with his efforts, the American owners of Manchester United and Liverpool – nominally bitter rivals but strongly united in a pursuit of additional revenues – continued to engage consultants and advisors to explore both Project Big Picture – their failed plot to take control of the Premier League – and a greater chunk of the European pie.
Legal opinions were taken by the Americans as to whether any expulsion from domestic or international competition in the event of a breakaway would be upheld due to competition law.
When these rebel clubs – who were joined in varying degrees by AC Milan, Barcelona and Juventus – believed they had a watertight opinion that it wouldn’t, they moved to get more clubs to join their plot.
But even as late as last Tuesday the rebels didn’t believe they had the numbers needed to get this plan to work. Even those who were working on reviving Project Big Picture at this time claimed to have no knowledge of any attempted coup.
Perhaps a crucial moment came when Perez arrived on Merseyside for Real’s Champions League quarter final. It was at this point that latent plans suddenly gained some urgency. UEFA were voting on the future of the Champions League within days and they needed to act. It was now or never.
Thickening plot
A hardcore of five or six clubs became eight or nine by the end of last week. Others who were at that stage non-committal, such as Chelsea, Manchester City and Tottenham, hedged their bets but kept an ear on the secret talks.
But even at this stage a tight lid was kept on negotiations and UEFA was blindsided. On Thursday evening the Manchester United CEO Ed Woodward phoned Čeferin. Earlier that day the ECA board had met and voted for the deal that had been agreed with UEFA.
“He called me last Thursday in the evening saying that he's very satisfied with the reforms, that he fully supports the reforms, and that the only thing he would like to speak is about financial fair play,” Čeferin said Monday.
“Obviously, he already signed something else,” he reflected.
Liars and snakes
Woodward wasn’t alone in his Machiavellianism. The following day the UEFA Club Competitions committee met to discuss the deal. Woodward sits on that subcommittee, as does Ivan Gazidis and Pedro Lopez of Real Madrid.
“And all the world knows now that they were unanimously supporting our reforms on Friday when they already signed the agreement.”
This is about greed, selfishness and narcissism. Nothing else
Speaking to reporters on Monday Čeferin seemed genuinely aghast by this behaviour. He talked about his time working as a criminal lawyer and said that he had never encountered such behaviour even then. These people, he said, were “liars and snakes.”
“I've seen many things in my life but the situation like that I've never seen,” said the UEFA president. “And obviously, greediness is so strong that all the human values evaporate.”
All the while the plot continued to evolve. Manchester City and Chelsea are understood to have been among the last to join up, having been fiercely lobbied over the course of Friday and Saturday by some of the most hawkish clubs.
Personal betrayal
At this stage UEFA and the Premier League continued to protest to journalists that they knew nothing about any coup, but behind the scenes there was increased anxiety about the rumours. EPL CEO Richard masters wrote to all clubs warning against their involvement.
On Saturday Čeferin decided to challenge the chairman of the ECA Andrea Agnelli, who is also the chairman of Juventus. The two men are also known to be personally close: Čeferin is even godfather of one of Agnelli’s five children.
“Agnelli has to be one of the biggest disappointments, in fact THE biggest,” said Čeferin.
“I’ve met a few liars and many good people in football. I don’t want to get too personal but the fact is I have never seen a person lie so many times, so persistently, as he did.
“It was unbelievable. I spoke to him Saturday afternoon and he said, “Don’t worry, nothing is going on.” He said he’d call me again in an hour but turned off the phone.”
Agnelli has since resigned his ECA chairmanship and thrown Juventus’s lot in with the rebel alliance.
“The next day we got the Super League announcement,” said Čeferin.
“All the world knows now. Greediness is so strong that all human values evaporate with some people. This is about greed, selfishness and narcissism. Nothing else.”
Asian markets
Although the story was broken by The Times on Sunday lunchtime in Europe, the Super League announcement only formally came around midnight. This was no coincidence. “It was done with purposeful intention of delivering for the Asian markets, without time for a riposte,” said a source who works with a European league.
Sleep on Sunday night was a precious commodity for anyone working either for the Super League or those trying to block it. One executive told he’d managed just three hours. But by breakfast on Monday the briefing began in earnest.
Why are 12 clubs breaking away from existing club competitions? What was the real reason?
The response was extraordinary. Apparently the clubs don’t like the Swiss Model that UEFA and the ECA had just painstakingly agreed after more than two years of negotiations.
Why then did Agnelli last month describe the Swiss Model as “beautiful”? I asked. Why at Friday’s UEFA Club Competitions committee was the Swiss model was voted through by members that included Real Madrid’s Lopez, rebel club CEOs Ferrian Soriano (Man City) and Ivan Gazidis (AC Milan), while prime Super League mover Manchester United had not one, but two representatives in Ed Woodward and David Gill.
“You make a good case for the prosecution,” the official deadpanned.
Solidarity slush fund
The official went on to say that Super League clubs would more than treble the solidarity payments they make to non-participants in their breakaway league compared to what UEFA pay non-qualifying clubs now.
UEFA currently devote 4 per cent of its gross Champions League revenue (currently €3.25 billion) across member associations and clubs in its 55 nations to those who don’t participate in their competitions. These solidarity payments are meant to ensure no club falls too far behind those who partake in UEFA’s cash-rich club competitions.
PSG are still to confirm their position, but given that al-Khalifa is also CEO of Bein, who have billions invested in Champions League rights, the assumption is that they won’t follow the rebels
Over the 23 years the Super League has been agreed for, this amounts to around €3 billion from UEFA versus the €10 billion the Super League has promised.
More members
What would happen if the Champions League continued without the breakaway twelve? The Super League source confirmed that the new body had “no problem” with UEFA continuing its own international club competitions, but questioned whether the Champions League would be viable “without its 15 most powerful clubs.”
Pointed out that it only actually had 12 clubs, he added that the Super League were now waiting on the final three members to join up.
“Obviously the 50+1 ownership rules made it very difficult to have private negotiations,” said the source of Bundesliga clubs, who also at that stage expected PSG to sign up.
And then, perhaps came the key to the success or failure of any Super League. Did it have a broadcast partner for a project that would kick off in just over four months? The source said that it hadn’t as yet.
When it was pointed out that the Champions League had broadcast and commercial deals in place until 2024 and could bide its time until then, the official said that the Super League was confident fans would vote with their subscriptions.
The rebel clubs, the source added, were “braced for a hurricane” of fan opposition, but the rebel league questioned whether this will be seen through when tickets go on sale and TV packages become available.
Further cracks
If that wasn’t a wholly convincing display, further cracks started appearing in the Super League’s edifice.
Borussia Dortmund put out a statement in which they condemned the Super League and said that neither they nor Bayern Munich would be taking part. Bayern later confirmed this position, and its president Karl-Heinz Rummenigge assumed the ECA presidency from the now departed Agnelli.
It is my expectation the 12 clubs will be thrown out
Separately, the PSG president Nasser al-Khalifa, in his role on the UEFA Exco voted through the ECA-UEFA plan. PSG are still to confirm their position, but given that al-Khalifa is also CEO of Bein, who have billions invested in Champions League rights, the assumption is that they won’t follow the rebels.
Suddenly, with only clubs from three countries, a European Super League started to look very different
Bad maths
Further questions about the Super League’s purported €10 billion in solidarity payments to non-participants were also begged. Set against the €2.9 billion UEFA would pay over the same 23 year period it indeed looked an enticing offer.
However, UEFA’s figures don’t allow for inflation of broadcast deals, whereas the Super League’s modelling does.
Perhaps more importantly, UEFA splits its Champions League revenues between 32 clubs (rising to 36 from 2024), the Super League just 20. Each of the lowest ranking 12 clubs for 2018/19 – the most recent year for which figures are available – earned on average £30.2 million, or a total of £362 million. Over 23 years and not adjusted for inflation, this is a further €8.33 billion.
In addition to this UEFA pays €107.5 million annually (not adjusted for inflation) to Champions League clubs that don’t progress through its qualifying stage. Or another €2.47 billion over 23 years.
In other words, and not adjusting for inflation, €13.7 billion would flow through football’s eco-system in terms of solidarity money and other payments under the existing system governed by UEFA.
“This is typical of [United co-owner] Joel Glazer’s maths. Fanciful scenarios that always look at the best possible outcome,” said a finance expert, who has previously advised one of the English rebel clubs. He believed that the Super League would need to generate at least €5 billion per year to stay solvent; the Champions League currently generates €3.25 billion. “The numbers simply don’t stack up."
The Super League, by contrast, has so far given no detail whatsoever about its commercial or broadcast plans.
Don’t know S***
By early afternoon Monday, Čeferin had given full vent to his feelings.
“In my opinion, this idea is a spit in the face of all football lovers and our societies,” he told reporters.
And later: “I'm angry to see that that this team of a dozen rich people wants to steal football from our society. I'm angry because they don't care about anything because they write in their press release about solidarity and they look they don't know s*** about solidarity.
“They don't care about solidarity. They care about their pockets. They care to be famous. But they will be famous in their own way. They are famous today. Every single country in the world is writing about them, but not as very popular people.”
Will there be a peace deal that could allow the Super League to exist with clubs being promoted from UEFA competition? Here, Ceferin’s tone was at its most unequivocal all afternoon. “Never.”
Punitive action
While Čeferin ultimately left the door ajar for the rebels to back down, punitive action was already being prepared. The Premier League called a shareholders meeting for Tuesday morning, with its six rebels excluded from proceedings.
It is also understood to be under consideration that Woodward, Lopez, Agnelli and Gazidis, as members of UEFA, could face individual disciplinary action for breaching UEFA’s Ethics Code, by taking actions that work against the interests of the organisation they were supposed to represent and protect.
Meanwhile, the chairman of the Danish FA, Jesper Moller, who sits on UEFA's executive committee, said he expects clubs involved in the Super League to be thrown out of the Champions League.
That would see semi-finalists Chelsea, Manchester City and Real Madrid kicked out, leaving PSG as the only remaining team in the competition.
"There will be an extraordinary executive committee meeting on Friday. It is my expectation the 12 clubs will be thrown out," Moller told Danish public broadcaster DR.
"The clubs must go out and I expect that to happen on Friday, and then you will have to work out how to finish the Champions League.”
Perhaps most far-reaching was his claim that players' contracts with their respective clubs would be automatically revoked, meaning they could chose to sign for a new club.
A power grab for football’s billions, could end up being the costliest error of them all.