ARTICLE: The Brady link

[Tall Paul]

1/9 doesn't represent a 90% chance at all. If that were the case then 10/1 would be the maximum odds quoted for anything.

Are you sure?

You're going to have to explain how you work that one out.

[TVC15]

I think you may be a little confused in how odds (and maths) works Mickleover !

[Paul Waine]

So basically you think its down to wages what were struggling on ? Which is fair enough . But what i dont understand is why we have left it so late to make a move for a player in the window if we already knew that we couldnt match his wage demands . Unless the club are hoping that the lure of premier league football could tempt him to leaving

I don't know whether it's wages or something else, I've only the info on BHE plus the little bit I've seen in the press. I think others have suggested the issue is wages.

What I was trying to indicate in my post is how it is very easy for wages only to come up at this stage. If Burnley were able to speak to Brady/agent in Sept they might have learnt what he was on then - or maybe not. What I'm sure about is that it is only now in Jan, when Burnley have agreed a transfer fee with Norwich (assuming this is correctly reported) that we can speak to Brady/agent and discuss his contract, including wages if he is to join us.

So, let's assume Norwich are paying Brady £40k - what we don't know is will Brady agree to move to Burnley for £50k or £60k or any other figure. What we do know is there is only a certain period left on his Norwich contract (18 months ?). So a new contract with Burnley offers him at least 18 more months on his current contract - and (most likely) a higher wage - plus the chance to play Premier League (without being relegated again at the end of this season).

[Paul Waine]

"Maybe we will get it sorted with Robbie Brady and maybe we wont. If we don't it is possible that Robbie will still be at Norwich until the summer - playing Championship football, and on a lower wage than he will have been offered by Burnley."


What!?!........I think you're missing the point completely.

Hi Royboy, what point am I missing?

UTC

[PremierLeagueClass]

If the odds are 1/9 your saying that if the event happens 10 times, your chosen outcome will happen 9 times out of 10, therefore a 90% chance. 10/1 would be a 9.1% chance, 1000/1 would be a 0.1% chance.

[KRBFC]

Are we all really still bickering and guessing whether he will come or not?

[Father Jack]

If we stay up then we're probably going to have to consider £50k p/week for the best players.
It is affordable on Prem tv money.
Clearly not sustainable in the Champ.
Contracts need to be linked to wage reductions if we get relegated to give the required protection.

[Rileybobs]

(1/9)x100 = 11% chance of him not being a Burnley player. However that won't take into account bookmaker's profit margin.

[Tall Paul]

(1/9)x100 = 11% chance of him not being a Burnley player. However that won't take into account bookmaker's profit margin.

Almost.

It's 1/(1+9)x100 which is 10%

[Rileybobs]

Almost.

It's 1/(1+9)x100 which is 10%

My bad, decimal odds are easier.

[kentonclaret]

The opening post on the alternative Brady thread started on Thursday reads:

'I work for a betting company and can confirm Brady will be announced tomorrow"

Too much reliance on what bookies' prices seem to indicate

[Vegas Claret]

I'm not reading too much into him playing today, Begovic is playing for Chelsea and he looks nailed on for a move to Bournemouth

[Devils_Advocate]

Alex Neil got asked has Brady played his last game in a Norwich shirt

"It's hard to say, depends if we find a replacement and if the price is right" says the Norwich boss

[Belgianclaret]

Don't think this one is dead in the water, may go to the wire though

[Cooperclaret]

He's coming.

Be on the bench Tuesday

[wilks_bfc]

He's coming.

Be on the bench Tuesday

For that to happen he'll need to sign by lunchtime Monday

[Reecey1987]

He has stated all along that a fee has been agreed and norwich needed him to play because there short if lbs . I guess we will see in the next couple of days if this is going to be the case

[bartons baggage]

[lovebeingaclaret]

Jason O'connor has just tweeted that Brady has met the club and agreed terms

[Tall Paul]

I would love Brady to sign as he would be a perfect player for us, but if he does I will walk up the steps to my seat in the Bob lord stand at our next match waving my chopper in the air.

Did anyone see northeastclaret last night?

[ClaretEngineer]

Did anyone see northeastclaret last night?

Only chopper I saw was Mike Dean.