Are we safe

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claptrappers_union
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Re: Are we safe

Post by claptrappers_union » Sat Apr 08, 2017 11:14 pm

When we beat Southampton we were safe. Our form will have to be LLLLLL... unlikely.

jurek
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Re: Are we safe

Post by jurek » Sun Apr 09, 2017 12:19 am

I think we still need 3 points to be sure. So one win or three draws should do it.

HelloHiGoodbye
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Re: Are we safe

Post by HelloHiGoodbye » Sun Apr 09, 2017 12:21 am

We've been safe for weeks.

RingoMcCartney
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Re: Are we safe

Post by RingoMcCartney » Sun Apr 09, 2017 12:26 am

No. Not yet. When SD Says we're safe. We're safe......

FactualFrank
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Re: Are we safe

Post by FactualFrank » Sun Apr 09, 2017 12:31 am

claptrappers_union wrote:When we beat Southampton we were safe. Our form will have to be LLLLLL... unlikely.
Haha when I read that it reminded me of...

Image

califclaret
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Re: Are we safe

Post by califclaret » Sun Apr 09, 2017 2:38 am

We are safe from having to play Blackburn Rovers in the league for a long time,

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Spijed » Mon Apr 10, 2017 7:39 pm

We'll still be 7-8 points clear after the next three games despite there being clear nervousness among some sections of our support.

It's amazing how Swansea who have only taken one point in the last five matches are suddenly going to go on a winning run.

Likewise, Hull who make our away form look impressive, are going to win a few away games.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by ElectroClaret » Sat Apr 15, 2017 4:58 pm

Yes.

In no kind of parallel universe are Swansea going to catch us now.

Eight behind and a vastly inferior GD.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Spijed » Sat Apr 15, 2017 4:59 pm

And Hull are six behind with five to play. BOTH won't go on a good run.

Mexican wave time :)

Steve1956
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Re: Are we safe

Post by Steve1956 » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:13 pm

ElectroClaret wrote:Yes.

In no kind of parallel universe are Swansea going to catch us now.

Eight behind and a vastly inferior GD.
Swansea will not catch us then, Electro? Can I have a celebratory drink tonight,only if your certain mind :D

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Re: Are we safe

Post by mkmel » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:14 pm

Baring in mind the goal differences I would say the magic numbers are

Hull 9
Swansea 7
Middlesbrough 9
Sunderland 3
Last edited by mkmel on Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Vegas Claret » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:16 pm

Dyche wants to finish as high up the table as possible, we won't slack off in a single game. We aren't safe until Factual Frank tells us we are mathematically safe though :)

ElectroClaret
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Re: Are we safe

Post by ElectroClaret » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:17 pm

Steve1956 wrote:Swansea will not catch us then, Electro? Can I have a celebratory drink tonight,only if your certain mind :D
Fill yer boots, lad.

Motty saying Swansea are down, they're awful.
Last edited by ElectroClaret on Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.

FactualFrank
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Re: Are we safe

Post by FactualFrank » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:18 pm

Taking GD into account...

Swansea will need 9/15 maximum available points.
Boro will need 13/21 maximum available points.

And that's assuming we don't pick up anything in our remaining 5 games.

Steve1956
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Re: Are we safe

Post by Steve1956 » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:21 pm

ElectroClaret wrote:Fill yer boots, lad.

Motty saying Swansea are down, they're awful.
They did the double over us though! :shock:

Steve1956
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Re: Are we safe

Post by Steve1956 » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:22 pm

FactualFrank wrote:Taking GD into account...

Swansea will need 9/15 maximum available points.
Boro will need 13/21 maximum available points.

And that's assuming we don't pick up anything in our remaining 5 games.
I love Factual Frank xxx
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Re: Are we safe

Post by CrosspoolClarets » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:26 pm

Two of the sides in 17-19th need to come close to Champions League form to pass us even if we lose every game.

It won't happen. It's done. Well done Clarets, and yet again we've scored away to a top team. Bodes well.

But if anyone disagrees 50-1 from £100 will pay for an excellent family holiday.
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FactualFrank
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Re: Are we safe

Post by FactualFrank » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:26 pm

Steve1956 wrote:I love Factual Frank xxx
Understandable.

taio
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Re: Are we safe

Post by taio » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:31 pm

we're almost the point when we'll know that the previous 10 point gap was anything but 'naff all' :)

FactualFrank
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Re: Are we safe

Post by FactualFrank » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:33 pm

taio wrote:we're almost the point when we'll know that the previous 10 point gap was anything but 'naff all' :)
To be fair, not everybody knows the future like you, Taio :P

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Re: Are we safe

Post by taio » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:35 pm

FactualFrank wrote:To be fair, not everybody knows the future like you, Taio :P
There were plenty of people who weren't panicking telling you that 10 points wasn't naff all so I will take no credit

FactualFrank
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Re: Are we safe

Post by FactualFrank » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:42 pm

taio wrote:There were plenty of people who weren't panicking telling you that 10 points wasn't naff all so I will take no credit
At the time, 10 points could have been munched away like a lion with a lamb chop, especially with our upcoming fixtures. Thankfully, we've grabbed a few points, mixed with the teams at the bottom helping us out as well. What is currently 8 points could have easily been 4 and squeaky bum time. But that's football. I'm feeling a lot more confident we'll do it now.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Spijed » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:47 pm

FactualFrank wrote:At the time, 10 points could have been munched away like a lion with a lamb chop, especially with our upcoming fixtures. Thankfully, we've grabbed a few points, mixed with the teams at the bottom helping us out as well. What is currently 8 points could have easily been 4 and squeaky bum time. But that's football. I'm feeling a lot more confident we'll do it now.
The sheer weight of numbers came into play when we were ten points clear. Too many teams had too much catching up to do and they all wouldn't put runs together.

Looking at previous seasons, no team with that big of a gap has ever come close to being relegated. Likewise, teams with an eight point gap and five to play have been able to put their feet up for the rest of the season! :)

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Spijed » Sat Apr 15, 2017 7:35 pm

Looking back with five games to go we've actually increased our lead from seven to eight points over the same period.

We've taken 5 pts.
Swansea 1 pt.
Hull 6 pts.
Boro 2 pts.
Sunderland 2 pts.
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agreenwood
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Re: Are we safe

Post by agreenwood » Sat Apr 15, 2017 7:53 pm

Probably, but another win definitely does it.

Three more points would mean Swansea would need to win 4 of their last 5 to overtake us.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Gnulty » Sat Apr 15, 2017 8:19 pm

It's safe to say we won't be among the top 5...but this season, I'm more than happy, at this stage, that we still can reach top 10..UTC!

Steve1956
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Re: Are we safe

Post by Steve1956 » Mon Apr 24, 2017 1:16 pm

Really worried for our Premier League status now,worst performance all season at home yesterday,not much hope of points against Palace &Bournemouth,Pulis to roll up at the Turf...West Ham last day drama oh dear wish I could forget about it,went to bed with it on my mind and woke up with it on my mind Jeez...I need Electro Claret to reassure me,but even he's having doubts now i'm sure. :(

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Dark Cloud » Mon Apr 24, 2017 9:46 pm

If you're not having doubts by now, you're probably an ostrich!
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Guich
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Re: Are we safe

Post by Guich » Mon Apr 24, 2017 9:52 pm

If you're having doubts why not stick a bet on at 25-1? There's a 4 per cent chance you'll win.
But I think I'll leave it

ElectroClaret
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Re: Are we safe

Post by ElectroClaret » Mon Apr 24, 2017 9:54 pm

No doubts from me, Stevie boy, Relax.
Swansea won't catch us in a million lifetimes.

We're golden.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Dark Cloud » Mon Apr 24, 2017 10:01 pm

Guich wrote:If you're having doubts why not stick a bet on at 25-1? There's a 4 per cent chance you'll win.
But I think I'll leave it
I'm not a betting type, but in truth I'm just annoyed I didn't take the 60-1 which I believe was on offer only a few short weeks ago, because even then I thought they'd got it badly wrong and our chances of going down were much greater then they realised. Some said it was still 40-1 only last Friday! 25-1 now looks rubbish in comparison, but the odds have tumbled for a reason and they continue to tumble, for a reason.
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Re: Are we safe

Post by Spijed » Mon Apr 24, 2017 10:16 pm

Swansea get their first win in years against a team playing like a non league side and this place goes to pot! :)
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Tall Paul
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Re: Are we safe

Post by Tall Paul » Mon Apr 24, 2017 11:29 pm

Dark Cloud wrote:I'm not a betting type, but in truth I'm just annoyed I didn't take the 60-1 which I believe was on offer only a few short weeks ago, because even then I thought they'd got it badly wrong and our chances of going down were much greater then they realised. Some said it was still 40-1 only last Friday! 25-1 now looks rubbish in comparison, but the odds have tumbled for a reason and they continue to tumble, for a reason.
Not as annoyed as I am I didn't get on Leicester to win the league when they were 5000/1 at the start of last season.

Yours,
Captain Hindsight
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Re: Are we safe

Post by KRBFC » Mon Apr 24, 2017 11:32 pm

Probably scraped enough wins to just avoid relegation. We have got progressively worse as the season has gone on, a bad sign for next year.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by tim_noone » Mon Apr 24, 2017 11:43 pm

KRBFC wrote:Probably scraped enough wins to just avoid relegation. We have got progressively worse as the season has gone on, a bad sign for next year.
Correct....correct.....wrong.two out of three is a good effort.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Spijed » Tue Apr 25, 2017 8:29 am

Dark Cloud wrote:I'm not a betting type, but in truth I'm just annoyed I didn't take the 60-1 which I believe was on offer only a few short weeks ago, because even then I thought they'd got it badly wrong and our chances of going down were much greater then they realised. Some said it was still 40-1 only last Friday! 25-1 now looks rubbish in comparison, but the odds have tumbled for a reason and they continue to tumble, for a reason.
As I don't bet I'm not familiar with how the bookies work out their odds, but is it possible they've looked at the remaining fixtures and come to the conclusion that we are in a good position, hence our good odds?

Swansea have Man U and Everton to play in the next two and would it be unreasonable to expect no more than one point from those matches. That would leave Swansea four points behind with two to play and a far inferior goal difference, assuming we get nothing from our next two games.

Likewise, Hull's away form is poor and they have Spurs in their last home game.

If this information has been factored in then it's no surprise why the odds are as generous as they are.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by summitclaret » Tue Apr 25, 2017 8:37 am

If we get nowt from WBA we could well go down - that is by far our easiest game left and CP is evenby futher our hardest one left.

Hull are not going down. Swansea have to lose at MU and not beat Everton imo. They should then finish on no more than 38, which surely we can manage.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Spijed » Tue Apr 25, 2017 8:39 am

summitclaret wrote:If we get nowt from WBA we could well go down - that is by far our easiest game left and CP is evenby futher our hardest one left.

Hull are not going down. Swansea have to lose at MU and not beat Everton imo. They should then finish on no more than 38, which surely we can manage.
Isn't West Ham easier than West Brom?

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Re: Are we safe

Post by FactualFrank » Tue Apr 25, 2017 9:20 am

West Brom our easiest? The side who tonked us 4-0 in the reverse fixture?

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Tall Paul » Tue Apr 25, 2017 9:35 am

FactualFrank wrote:West Brom our easiest? The side who tonked us 4-0 in the reverse fixture?
Or maybe the side that, since becoming safe, has won one out of their last seven and hasn't scored a goal in their last four.

You choose.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Quicknick » Tue Apr 25, 2017 9:41 am

If we lose all our remaining games we will go down, I feel, so we are very definitely not safe.
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ElectroClaret
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Re: Are we safe

Post by ElectroClaret » Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:27 pm

Now leave yer fingernails alone.

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Re: Are we safe

Post by BurnleyBallBag » Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:28 pm

YESSSSSS :ugeek:

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Re: Are we safe

Post by jedi_master » Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:29 pm

Oh yes we most certainly are.

FactualFrank
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Re: Are we safe

Post by FactualFrank » Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:30 pm

The resident retarded troll from a few posts up will be as predictable as always, but it's often good to expect the worst and then be pleasantly surprised. Premier League football next season and that's all that matters.

Now to hope Hull go down!

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Re: Are we safe

Post by dpinsussex » Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:31 pm

We sure are baring an absolute miraculous set of results

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Re: Are we safe

Post by damo_whitehead » Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:32 pm

Yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes

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Re: Are we safe

Post by Murger » Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:32 pm

Happy to be proved wrong tonight. Well played everyone at Burnley FC.
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JamesSherbourne
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Re: Are we safe

Post by JamesSherbourne » Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:33 pm

Safe by Saturday @ 5pm
Get In !!!! So So proud right now

Steve1956
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Re: Are we safe

Post by Steve1956 » Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:34 pm

ElectroClaret wrote:Fill yer boots, lad.

Motty saying Swansea are down, they're awful.
I love you Electro xxx
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