Magic Numbers 2018/2019

[Clarets4me]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

Huddersfield relegation now confirmed, Fulham shortly to follow ....

[Vince Fontaine]

Match day 32 (31/30)
31/03/2019

Bournemouth..(32)...-6....24
Palace..........(31)....-3...25
Newcastle .....(31)...-3....24
Brighton .......(30)...-6....25
Southampton..(31)...-3....22
Burnley
Cardiff..........(31)..-6.....17
Fulham..........(32)..-6....3
Huddersfield...(32)..-6.....0

UTC

[Vince Fontaine]

Match day 27
W/E 23/24-02-19

Everton...........-3......37
Leicester..........-6......36
Palace.............-3......34
Burnley
Newcastle.........-3.....32
Brighton...........-3.....34
Cardiff.............-6.....29
Southampton.....-6.....28
Fulham.............-6....21
Huddersfield......-6....15


UTC

This was match day 27, 5 matches ago. We lost 4 and won 1 so only affected all the other teams by 3 points yet they have dropped by

Bournemouth .......-14...(5)
Palace................-9.....(4)
Newcastle ..........-8......(4)
Brighton .............-9.....(3)
Southampton........-6.....(4)
Burnley
Cardiff...............-12.....(4)
Fulham...............-18.....(5)
Huddersfield .......-15.....(5)

UTC

[Clarets4me]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

Fulham now confirmed as gone, so Cardiff's two away games against Brighton and ourselves, really are the walking definition of " six pointers " ...Should we pick up a point at Bournemouth and beat Cardiff, Cardiff would effectively need 10 points from their last five games, Brighton, Fulham & Man Utd ( Away ) and Crystal Palace & Liverpool ( Home ) ... a tough ask .

[Vince Fontaine]

Match day 32 (31)
Midweek 03-04-19

Bournemouth..(32).........24
Palace..........(32)....-3....22
Newcastle .....(32)....-3....21
Brighton .......(31)....-3...22
Southampton..(31)..........22
Burnley
Cardiff..........(32)....-3...14
Fulham..........(32)....-3....0
Huddersfield...(32)...........0

UTC

[FCBurnley]

So even if we lose at Bournemouth, Cardiff losses at Burnley and Brighton ( both away) would reduce the Magic number to 5 ( not including GD). This would effectively mean that if Burnley lost the last 4 games Cardiff would need 6 points to survive so wins at Fulham and home to Palace would keep them up. Gonna be a nail biting few weeks. Hopefully we can do the business at Bournemouth. Even a point would be huge.

[mdd2]

all very squeaky bum time as I think most of us feel we have the next two games to get points to keep us up.

[claretonthecoast1882]

So even if we lose at Bournemouth, Cardiff losses at Burnley and Brighton ( both away) would reduce the Magic number to 5 ( not including GD). This would effectively mean that if Burnley lost the last 4 games Cardiff would need 6 points to survive so wins at Fulham and home to Palace would keep them up. Gonna be a nail biting few weeks. Hopefully we can do the business at Bournemouth. Even a point would be huge.

If Cardiff lose to us they would be 8 behind us if we lost at Bournemouth, if they lost to Brighton as well they would need to win 3 of there last 4

[Vince Fontaine]

Matchday 33 (32/31)
06/04/2019

Palace.............-3.....(33)..19
Bournemouth ....-6.....(33)..18
Burnley
Newcastle........-6......(33)..15
Brighton..........-3......(31)..19
Southampton....-3......(32)..16
Cardiff............-3......(32)..11
Fulham...........-3......(33)..-3
Huddersfield.....-6.....(33)..-6

Going down nicely
UTC

[Tricky Trevor]

The win next week would drop Cardiff to 5. Meaning they can’t lose 2 matches. With them still having Liverpool(H) and Man Utd(A) I’d fancy us.

[Clarets4me]

Match week 33, although plenty of games still outstanding ....

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

Win on Saturday, and we go 11 clear of Cardiff, effectively 12 with the goal difference ( unless we ship goals for fun in our last 4 games ) .... a draw will still see us 8 points ahead with Cardiff still needing to win 3 of their last 5 games to catch us, assuming we lose all of our last 4 games ..

[Clarets4me]

Cardiff now down to 5 .... and a 7 Goal swing in the goal difference between us and Brighton,we're on -18, them on -19 ....

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

[FCBurnley]

And Cardiff or Brighton or both to drop points on Tuesday. If Cardiff lose they are down to 2 with a massively inferior GD

[AndyClaret]

7th from last 15 games.

[Vince Fontaine]

Matchday 34/33
13/04/2019
Bournemouth.........-3......15
Palace ................-3.......16
Burnley
Newcastle ...........-3.......12
Southampton .......-3........13
Brighton..............-6.......13
Cardiff................-6.......5
Fulham...............-3.......-6
Huddersfield........-3.......-12

Nearly there!!!!
UTC

[Clarets4me]

Bump ...

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

[Paul Waine]

Bump ...

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

Wow, 9 clubs all with a chance to finish 7th - including the Super Clarets (8th will do me, we need another season to prepare properly for Europas).

I'm sure when the clubs that play each other are added to the "best possible" result outcomes, Burnley won't end up 7th this season. Be a great end to the season to end up a few places higher than 15th.

UTC

[Paul Waine]

Bump ...

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

Wow, 9 clubs all with a chance to finish 7th - including the Super Clarets (8th will do me, we need another season to prepare properly for Europas).

I'm sure when the clubs that play each other are added to the "best possible" result outcomes, Burnley won't end up 7th this season. Be a great end to the season to end up a few places higher than 15th.

UTC

[Clarets4me]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

It's official, Cardiff need to beat Fulham and Manchester Utd away, and beat Palace at home to catch us, assuming we lose all four of our remaining fixtures ..... I am now cautiously optimistic about our prospectts ...

[Clarets4me]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

All week 35 games completed, except for the Manchester Derby and Wolves v Arsenal which play tomorrow ...

[edison]

Imagine we finished 8th

[FactualFrank]

Imagine we finished 8th

More chance of me sleeping with the the girl who works in the local Greggs.

[edison]

More chance of me sleeping with the the girl who works in the local Greggs.

Never give up hope

[GodIsADeeJay81]

More chance of me sleeping with the the girl who works in the local Greggs.

Pictures? ( not of Gregg's or its food)

[Vince Fontaine]

Match day 35
24/04/2019

Burnley
Southampton.......7
Brighton.............4
Cardiff...............1
Fulham..............-7
Huddersfield.......-16

All but safe now
UTC

[Vince Fontaine]

Remaining fixtures

Southampton
Bournemouth home
West Ham away
Huddersfield home

Brighton
Newcastle home
Arsenal away
Man City home

Cardiff
Fulham away
Palace home
Man Utd away

Could be Brighton? Hope so.
UTC

[FCBurnley]

Looks like Brighton will need to beat Newcastle. Cardiff HAVE to win at Fulham which wont be easy. Cardiff are big odds on for the long drop. Looking like we will finish 15th or 16th.Would love us to beat Arsenal

[Clarets4me]

Safe with three games left, who'd have thought that after the home game against Everton .... ?

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

[claretblue]

Safe with three games left, who'd have thought that after the home game against Everton .... ?

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

...and breath!

thanks 4me!

[Clarets4me]

Here's where we stand, going into the final game of the season .....

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

UTC ! Here's hoping for a 1-0 home win against Arsenal, ideally with an offside goal off Ashley's arm in the 6th minute of stoppage time, after the 4th Official had indicated 4 minutes ....

[evensteadiereddie]

Absolutely !
Thanks to the guy(s) behind the whole Magic Numbers thread - fascinating stuff and made even better when it becomes more and more clear you're not going to go down.

[Clarets4me]

In the end we finished six points clear of relegation, well done to Sean and the team, and let's come back firing on all cylinders in August !!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =267725110

UTC !!

[Spijed]

Just a bump so someone can set up this seasons thread!