tiger76 wrote:Corbyn couldn't win an election in 2017,despite the Conservatives running the worst campaign in living memory,so there's no chance he'll win an outright majority next time,he might with some luck see Labour emerge as the largest single party,but he'll have to rely on the Lib Dems and possibly the SNP for support,the likely cost of any such support will almost certainly be a 2nd EU ref,and Sturgeon will demand a section 30 i'd imagine.
Whatever the result i can't see either of the 2 main parties carrying a majority in the HOC,so it's very likely we'll still be in a stalemate situation.
I agree regarding Corbyn,his peak was in 2017,and he's now a drain on Labour's potential vote,Keir Starmer would have a much better chance of becoming PM,but Labour's ideology won't allow a centrist to take the reins,until that changes they'll be stuck in opposition.
There's a lot of heavy duty revisionism here. When the 2017 election was called, most pundits predicted a Tory landslide. On the prediction thread on this site my prediction of a Labour minority was probably one of the closest to how it actually turned out. Labour started off twenty point behind in the polls, and many people thought they'd have fewer than a hundred seats. And they had most of the print media behind them. May's campaign was run by Lynton Crosby, who ran the previous two Tory campaigns (the previous one winning them a majority, as you know), as well as Johnson's successful mayoral campaigns. May's campaign was little different to those campaigns, and I'd say it was the fact Labour ran a completely different style of campaign that showed the Tory one up to be empty guff, and this is what gave Corbyn so much momentum to overcome the twenty point difference. Afterwards (as you might recall) the election was seen as a terrible defeat for May, as throwing away a majority should be seen, and I think had the election continued for another two weeks, Corbyn would have gained a Labour majority (considering he won a number of solid Tory seats).
What happens this time will be interesting. What has Lynton Crosby learned from the last defeat?