CrosspoolClarets wrote:
My view is that the key to this is Farage - he is the only risk to Boris. I feel blue collar workers, of the type many of us know well, would vote for Farage and like Boris but still won't bring themselves to vote Conservative. If he is pursuing the "Boris has sold us out" message, that will resonate and my sense is that Tory MPs are right in this instance, we should get Brexit first to shoot the Farage fox, and hope blue collar voters still vote Tory afterwards as a thank you and a hope that infrastructure investment and the living wage hike follows.
Boris as we know is a born seducer, and has just done an amazing thing - he has united the Conservative Party over Europe. 100% of current Tory MPs voted for his timetabling and 2nd reading (just a few of the expelled ones didn't). I am sensing that unity this week in PMQs and the bill debate, he can probably get Brexit done before an election.
Farage vote has collapsed amongst Tory voters (down by 3/4th)
If he isn't attracting Tory voters, he's not a threat to Johnson. I'm pretty sure the only people worrying about Farage now with the current Tory position is Farage and the members of his Brexit Party ie how to avoid becoming completely irrelevant after Brexit
Johnson has only united the tories by forcing out all those who don't agree with him.
He's fully entitled to do that as the leader if he wants, but lets not pretend thats not going to alienate more moderate MPs and members.
That could hurt him in marginals, and that is where his strategy might blow up in his face.
he wouldn't be even close to getting this far if the main opposition party was even vaguely competent.
I fully agree with the point about the majority not being political savvy, and that might actually work against Johnson in an election campaign as the stuff he's actually done and would be highlighted a lot more in an GE.