2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
No chance Tories win Burnley.
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Serfdom is everywhere!Dazzler wrote:From what I can gather,you have never lived in Burnley?
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Wage stagnation under the Tories has cost the average worker around £6,300 in lost wages.
• Food banks have given out 65 million meals in the last five years, the equivalent of a meal for every person in the whole of the UK.
• There are now over 20 million adults with no savings, an increase of nearly three million since 2010/11.
• A near 50 per cent increase in the number of children in severe low income and deprivation between 2011/12 and 2017/18.
• Poverty in families where someone is disabled has risen by over a million since 2010.
• In-work poverty has increased by 1.5 million since 2010/11.
• Food banks have given out 65 million meals in the last five years, the equivalent of a meal for every person in the whole of the UK.
• There are now over 20 million adults with no savings, an increase of nearly three million since 2010/11.
• A near 50 per cent increase in the number of children in severe low income and deprivation between 2011/12 and 2017/18.
• Poverty in families where someone is disabled has risen by over a million since 2010.
• In-work poverty has increased by 1.5 million since 2010/11.
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Why anybody British would vote for the party of an anti- British, pro Russian, Terrorist symathising Marxist who will wreck the economy is beyond belief. Further, anyone with aspirations in life should heed this.IanMcL wrote:Not sure I understand your scoring I.e. why lowest score wins. If you get top marks for being right, highest score etc.
Labour victory, if Burnley has any sense left.
Why a working person in Burnley would vote Conservative ever, remains beyond me. 10 years of whipping and still some do t want a better life?
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Really??? Which 6th form are you in?IanMcL wrote:Serfdom is everywhere!
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Can we try and keep this thread to the predictions, please ??
Plenty of other threads to debate the merits, or otherwise, of the parties ....
Plenty of other threads to debate the merits, or otherwise, of the parties ....
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
If only!Stayingup wrote:Really??? Which 6th form are you in?
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
...and yet the general public find Mr C more trustworthy than Mr J and overwhelmingly more understanding of ordinary folk.Stayingup wrote:Why anybody British would vote for the party of an anti- British, pro Russian, Terrorist symathising Marxist who will wreck the economy is beyond belief. Further, anyone with aspirations in life should heed this.
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Election is three weeks today, let's get some more predictions in !!
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
All the manifesto's have now been launched, folks !
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
After the hiatus, we have just 7 days to go, let's have your predictions as soon as you like ....
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Are you all waiting for the exit poll or what? That's not fair!
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
I suspect we'll get a few more during the week, tomorrow's Sunday papers will have 4 or 5 polls I reckon !
I'll be looking out for last minute edits, mind you !
I'll be looking out for last minute edits, mind you !
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
In less than 72 hours, the polling stations will be open ....
16 entries so far, it's free to enter, and £25 to a Charity of your choice for the forecaster who gets closest to the Vote shares in the Burnley Constituency on December 12th ..... For a list of Candidates & parties, see the initial post #1 ..
Good Luck !!
16 entries so far, it's free to enter, and £25 to a Charity of your choice for the forecaster who gets closest to the Vote shares in the Burnley Constituency on December 12th ..... For a list of Candidates & parties, see the initial post #1 ..
Good Luck !!
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
BTW - IanMcL is a Labour Councillor in the Burnley suburb of Genteel Salisbury...
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Middle-agedClaret wrote: ↑Mon Dec 09, 2019 8:59 amBTW - IanMcL is a Labour Councillor in the Burnley suburb of Genteel Salisbury...
....and a damn fine one he is too.
Does the fact that he doesnt live in the arse end of Duke Bar, or the stench of Burnley Wood invalidate his opnions ?
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Hi fatboy
Not at all. Just looking to give the comments a bit of context. Knowledge is power, and all that.
UTC.
Not at all. Just looking to give the comments a bit of context. Knowledge is power, and all that.
UTC.
This user liked this post: fatboy47
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
I'll have a bash though I dont live locally nowadays so I've not exactly got my finger on the pulse of local politics.
Liberal Democrats...........18.9
B & P Independents.........3.1
Labour..........................28.9
Green..........................2.4
Independent..................0.3
Conservative.................32.2
Brexit Party..................14.2
Liberal Democrats...........18.9
B & P Independents.........3.1
Labour..........................28.9
Green..........................2.4
Independent..................0.3
Conservative.................32.2
Brexit Party..................14.2
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Liberal Democrats........... 4
B & P Independents.........12.2
Labour.......................... 37.4
Green.......................... 2
Independent.................. 7
Conservative................. 28.3
Brexit Party.................. 9.1
B & P Independents.........12.2
Labour.......................... 37.4
Green.......................... 2
Independent.................. 7
Conservative................. 28.3
Brexit Party.................. 9.1
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Liberal Democrats........... 12.3
B & P Independents.........5
Labour.......................... 37.3
Green.......................... 2
Independent.................. 1
Conservative................. 37.4
Brexit Party.................. 5
B & P Independents.........5
Labour.......................... 37.3
Green.......................... 2
Independent.................. 1
Conservative................. 37.4
Brexit Party.................. 5
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Liberal Democrats...........10.1
B & P Independents.........0..5
Labour..........................39.3
Green..........................3.4
Independent..................0.3
Conservative.................37.2
Brexit Party..................9.2
B & P Independents.........0..5
Labour..........................39.3
Green..........................3.4
Independent..................0.3
Conservative.................37.2
Brexit Party..................9.2
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Pantsonfire to get stuffed at the last. Hooray!
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Labour 37.9
Conservative 37.2
Liberal Democrats 13.6
Brexit 8.3
Green 2.8
BAPIP 0.1
Independent 0.1
Thanks for running this competition.
Conservative 37.2
Liberal Democrats 13.6
Brexit 8.3
Green 2.8
BAPIP 0.1
Independent 0.1
Thanks for running this competition.
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
I’m astonished so many feel the Conservatives will get such a high percentage of the vote.
My guess as a someone who classes Burnley as “home”, but hasn’t lived there for many years:
Labour 34
Conservative 29
Lib Dem 19
Brexit 12
Green 4
BAPIP 1.5
Indy 0.5
My guess as a someone who classes Burnley as “home”, but hasn’t lived there for many years:
Labour 34
Conservative 29
Lib Dem 19
Brexit 12
Green 4
BAPIP 1.5
Indy 0.5
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Labour 33.4
Conservative 29.6
Lib Dem 17.4
Brexit 14.3
Green 4.1
BAPIP 0.9
Indy 0.3
Conservative 29.6
Lib Dem 17.4
Brexit 14.3
Green 4.1
BAPIP 0.9
Indy 0.3
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Labour 34.1
Conservative 28.3
Lib Dem 16.1
Brexit 15
Green 5
BAPIP 1.2
Indy 0.3
Conservative 28.3
Lib Dem 16.1
Brexit 15
Green 5
BAPIP 1.2
Indy 0.3
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Less than 5 hours until the polls close, any more out there ?
I'm shutting the book for entries at 9pm ...
I'm shutting the book for entries at 9pm ...
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Lab 34%
Con 33%
Brex 11%
Lib Undem7%
BPIP 8%
Green 6%
Ind1%
Con 33%
Brex 11%
Lib Undem7%
BPIP 8%
Green 6%
Ind1%
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Labour 35
Conservative 36
Liberal Democrats 15
Brexit 10
Green 3
BAPIP 0.5
Independent 0.5
Conservative 36
Liberal Democrats 15
Brexit 10
Green 3
BAPIP 0.5
Independent 0.5
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
24 Entries in ... we shall wait and see !! Many thanks for your participation !!
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Really ?
These 2 users liked this post: Barry_Chuckle Bosscat
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Doesn’t seem like anyone was very close. The main thing I noticed was that most people massively overestimated support for the Lib Dems sand the Brexit Party.
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
I stayed up to watch until 6.15 am, I'll tot everything up and post the winner this evening ...
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Ogilvy the astronomer assured me that there was no possibility of life on that remote forbidding planet, look what happened to Ogilvy!
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
I apologize for the delay in posting the Results, hectic weekend and a family issue has taken me away ...
Unless you've been living in a cave, you'll be aware that Conservative Antony Higginbotham took the Burnley seat with 15,720 votes, from Labour's defending candidate Julie Cooper ( 14,368 ). This overturned Labour's 2017 majority of 6,353, on a swing of Labour to Conservative of 9.7%. He's the first Tory MP to represent Burnley since 1910, the previous Conservative M.P. being Gerald Arbuthnot, who later lost his life in September 1916, at the Battle of the Somme.
Out of our 24 entrants, three stood head and shoulders above the others ....
" Crosspool Clarets " scored an impressive 13 points to come 3rd, the runners up spot went to " Dum Spiro Spero " with 12.1 points, but the winning entry came from our regular match-day thread instigator, " IanMcL " with a quiet superb 11.2 points !
Ian will have been disappointed at the outcome of the Election, I'm sure, being a Labour Councillor himself ! However, I hope this will be a small consolation to him ! Many congratulations, Ian ... If you could let me know which charity I should send your £25 winnings to, then I shall do the necessary ....
Unless you've been living in a cave, you'll be aware that Conservative Antony Higginbotham took the Burnley seat with 15,720 votes, from Labour's defending candidate Julie Cooper ( 14,368 ). This overturned Labour's 2017 majority of 6,353, on a swing of Labour to Conservative of 9.7%. He's the first Tory MP to represent Burnley since 1910, the previous Conservative M.P. being Gerald Arbuthnot, who later lost his life in September 1916, at the Battle of the Somme.
Out of our 24 entrants, three stood head and shoulders above the others ....
" Crosspool Clarets " scored an impressive 13 points to come 3rd, the runners up spot went to " Dum Spiro Spero " with 12.1 points, but the winning entry came from our regular match-day thread instigator, " IanMcL " with a quiet superb 11.2 points !
Ian will have been disappointed at the outcome of the Election, I'm sure, being a Labour Councillor himself ! However, I hope this will be a small consolation to him ! Many congratulations, Ian ... If you could let me know which charity I should send your £25 winnings to, then I shall do the necessary ....
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Bumped for our winner to reply !
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Lol great prediction
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Blimey! I have been avoiding post election stuff, as I am still in recovery!
Thanks for bumping and quoting, as this caught my eye, as I check the quotes, as a matter of course.
Not sure how predicting the wrong outcome can be a winner, however, I am happy to claim the prize.
I think the most in the spotlight charity, of the moment, is the Foodbank, where Clarets are collecting on matchdays. If the prize can be 'spent' in this way, then that would be great.
Also, I am never equipped, on these collection days, in case I am left with tins and nowhere to place them!
So I am behind in my contributions!
To help the 'prize' have double the impact, at this vital time, if I can be supplied with a bank account, where I can transfer, I would like to match the donation with £25 of my own, if that is ok.
Thanks so much Clarets4me and thanks for persevering.
IanMcL
Thanks for bumping and quoting, as this caught my eye, as I check the quotes, as a matter of course.
Not sure how predicting the wrong outcome can be a winner, however, I am happy to claim the prize.
I think the most in the spotlight charity, of the moment, is the Foodbank, where Clarets are collecting on matchdays. If the prize can be 'spent' in this way, then that would be great.
Also, I am never equipped, on these collection days, in case I am left with tins and nowhere to place them!
So I am behind in my contributions!
To help the 'prize' have double the impact, at this vital time, if I can be supplied with a bank account, where I can transfer, I would like to match the donation with £25 of my own, if that is ok.
Thanks so much Clarets4me and thanks for persevering.
IanMcL
This user liked this post: evensteadiereddie
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Ian, I've sent a message to your Wilts UA E-mail address, so we can get things rolling ... very kind of you to offer to match your winnings, and an excellent choice of " good cause ", I think we'd all agree ...IanMcL wrote: ↑Wed Dec 18, 2019 7:15 pmBlimey! I have been avoiding post election stuff, as I am still in recovery!
Thanks for bumping and quoting, as this caught my eye, as I check the quotes, as a matter of course.
Not sure how predicting the wrong outcome can be a winner, however, I am happy to claim the prize.
I think the most in the spotlight charity, of the moment, is the Foodbank, where Clarets are collecting on matchdays. If the prize can be 'spent' in this way, then that would be great.
Also, I am never equipped, on these collection days, in case I am left with tins and nowhere to place them!
So I am behind in my contributions!
To help the 'prize' have double the impact, at this vital time, if I can be supplied with a bank account, where I can transfer, I would like to match the donation with £25 of my own, if that is ok.
Thanks so much Clarets4me and thanks for persevering.
IanMcL
UTC !
Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Thanks for your email C4me.
Sent one back.
All done.
I am doubly glad I chose the charity now!
Up the Clarets
Sent one back.
All done.
I am doubly glad I chose the charity now!
Up the Clarets
This user liked this post: Clarets4me
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Thanks " IanMcl ", your funds received as promised, leave it with me !
This user liked this post: IanMcL
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Popped into the BFC Community Kitchen & Foodbank yesterday ..... pictured are Nathan Norris ( Asst. Manager ) and Keith McColl, a young man who lives with learning disabilities, who volunteers there. Keith's giving Nathan the £25 Prize money, together with the extra £25 kindly donated by our winner, IanMcl ! Keith & his brother have lived with MrsClarets4me and me, under LCC's " Shared Lives " scheme for the last 7 years, after they were made homeless, due to their mother's illness.
These 8 users liked this post: claretfern CrosspoolClarets ClaretPope bfcjg I luv my wife Mala591 IanMcL evensteadiereddie
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Love this good news story Keith is a very generous and giving person in fact he is on the video for Calder park when the friends group were attempting to get funding for the swings and also the pump track which both have been very successful
Yet again well done
Yet again well done
This user liked this post: Clarets4me
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Re: 2019 Burnley Election Forecast Competition ...
Hope you're home safe, IanMcl, with three points safely pocketed !
I've quoted you, in case you missed the above ! Keith was " dead chuffed " when I asked him to present your donation !!
Many thanks and UTC !
This user liked this post: IanMcL