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Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:37 pm
by duncandisorderly
I'm a bit of a political novice, but as I understand it an exit poll is something to determine how someone voted by simply asking 'who did you vote for' as a person leaves their polling station. Is that right?
So there's nothing to stop someone lying or anything?
So what's the point?
Why not just wait for the results? What benefit does an exit poll have?

Educate me, please.

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:43 pm
by Rowls
They can sometimes be very accurate and people want to know as soon as possible.

Yes, there isn't anything to stop people from lying but the people who design polls are, sometimes, very clever and they can factor this into their polls.

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:43 pm
by Rowls
But yeah, lying is a problem for them.

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:43 pm
by Rowls
What's the point?

People want to know!!

Now!

NOW!!!!

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:44 pm
by Rowls
It's like asking why bother going to the match when you can just watch Match of the Day?

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:45 pm
by thatdberight
duncandisorderly wrote:
Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:37 pm
I'm a bit of a political novice, but as I understand it an exit poll is something to determine how someone voted by simply asking 'who did you vote for' as a person leaves their polling station. Is that right?
So there's nothing to stop someone lying or anything?
So what's the point?
Why not just wait for the results? What benefit does an exit poll have?

Educate me, please.
I'm a bit of a football novice but as I understand it the newspapers have coverage of football even on days when there are no matches but simply pundits saying who they think is going to win? There's nothing to stop them getting it wrong?

So what's the point? Why not just wait for the results of the matches? What benefit does a pre-match article have?

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:45 pm
by Bin Ont Turf
There's no reason for it.

Think of it like during a transfer window. Alan Nixon will mention a player on twitter and numerous folk can't wait to tell everyone on here.

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:46 pm
by thatdberight
Rowls wrote:
Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:43 pm
But yeah, lying is a problem for them.

I always lie to political pollsters when canvassed. On principle.

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:48 pm
by duncandisorderly
Three answers, three different analogies. Cool.

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:49 pm
by taio

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:51 pm
by Rowls
duncandisorderly wrote:
Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:48 pm
Three answers, three different analogies. Cool.
Well it's a bit like eating a chocolate cake ....

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:55 pm
by Joe14
It’s generally v accurate

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:59 pm
by duncandisorderly
Okay, so I understand what an exit poll is now.

I don't understand why an exit poll is.

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:03 am
by Bin Ont Turf
A better question is..... why is it that the North East results always come in first?

Is it to do with time zones?

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:05 am
by LoveCurryPies
Exit polls should be banned.

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:09 am
by Funkydrummer
It's a pride thing apparently. Usually, Sunderland are the first over the line, but the
guy who ran it has moved to Newcastle electoral area and the battle is on.

Whatever floats your boat I suppose.

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:38 am
by aggi
It's not just the general public who are interested. Exit polls will also get fed to banks for instance and the early rise of sterling was most likely due to exit polls being fed to banks.

Re: Exit Polls - question

Posted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 2:01 am
by thatdberight
aggi wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:38 am
It's not just the general public who are interested. Exit polls will also get fed to banks for instance and the early rise of sterling was most likely due to exit polls being fed to banks.
There was no early rise of sterling. Unless you mean 21:59 instead of 22:00.