Exit Polls - question

duncandisorderly · Post by **duncandisorderly** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:37 pm

I'm a bit of a political novice, but as I understand it an exit poll is something to determine how someone voted by simply asking 'who did you vote for' as a person leaves their polling station. Is that right?
So there's nothing to stop someone lying or anything?
So what's the point?
Why not just wait for the results? What benefit does an exit poll have?

Educate me, please.

Rowls · Post by **Rowls** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:43 pm

They can sometimes be very accurate and people want to know as soon as possible.

Yes, there isn't anything to stop people from lying but the people who design polls are, sometimes, very clever and they can factor this into their polls.

Rowls · Post by **Rowls** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:43 pm

But yeah, lying is a problem for them.

Rowls · Post by **Rowls** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:43 pm

What's the point?

People want to know!!

Now!

NOW!!!!

Rowls · Post by **Rowls** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:44 pm

It's like asking why bother going to the match when you can just watch Match of the Day?

thatdberight · Post by **thatdberight** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:45 pm

duncandisorderly wrote: ↑
Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:37 pm
I'm a bit of a political novice, but as I understand it an exit poll is something to determine how someone voted by simply asking 'who did you vote for' as a person leaves their polling station. Is that right?
So there's nothing to stop someone lying or anything?
So what's the point?
Why not just wait for the results? What benefit does an exit poll have?

Educate me, please.

I'm a bit of a football novice but as I understand it the newspapers have coverage of football even on days when there are no matches but simply pundits saying who they think is going to win? There's nothing to stop them getting it wrong?

So what's the point? Why not just wait for the results of the matches? What benefit does a pre-match article have?

Bin Ont Turf · Post by **Bin Ont Turf** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:45 pm

There's no reason for it.

Think of it like during a transfer window. Alan Nixon will mention a player on twitter and numerous folk can't wait to tell everyone on here.

thatdberight · Post by **thatdberight** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:46 pm

Rowls wrote: ↑
Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:43 pm
But yeah, lying is a problem for them.

I always lie to political pollsters when canvassed. On principle.

duncandisorderly · Post by **duncandisorderly** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:48 pm

Three answers, three different analogies. Cool.

taio · Post by **taio** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:49 pm

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.co ... 9-50716626

Rowls · Post by **Rowls** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:51 pm

duncandisorderly wrote: ↑
Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:48 pm
Three answers, three different analogies. Cool.

Well it's a bit like eating a chocolate cake ....

Joe14 · Post by **Joe14** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:55 pm

It’s generally v accurate

duncandisorderly · Post by **duncandisorderly** » Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:59 pm

Okay, so I understand what an exit poll is now.

I don't understand why an exit poll is.

Bin Ont Turf · Post by **Bin Ont Turf** » Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:03 am

A better question is..... why is it that the North East results always come in first?

Is it to do with time zones?

LoveCurryPies · Post by **LoveCurryPies** » Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:05 am

Exit polls should be banned.

Funkydrummer · Post by **Funkydrummer** » Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:09 am

It's a pride thing apparently. Usually, Sunderland are the first over the line, but the
guy who ran it has moved to Newcastle electoral area and the battle is on.

Whatever floats your boat I suppose.

aggi · Post by **aggi** » Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:38 am

It's not just the general public who are interested. Exit polls will also get fed to banks for instance and the early rise of sterling was most likely due to exit polls being fed to banks.

thatdberight · Post by **thatdberight** » Fri Dec 13, 2019 2:01 am

aggi wrote: ↑
Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:38 am
It's not just the general public who are interested. Exit polls will also get fed to banks for instance and the early rise of sterling was most likely due to exit polls being fed to banks.

There was no early rise of sterling. Unless you mean 21:59 instead of 22:00.

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