Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

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ElectroClaret
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Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by ElectroClaret » Mon Feb 17, 2020 9:49 am

After the weekends games, Toon and Villa (and inevitably) Norwich all losing, I think Villa will
go. West Hams run in is horrendous, almost all the top teams to play away, they're playing awful as well.
I think Pearson will just about drag Watford over the line.

West Ham
Villa
Norwich

for me.
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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by FactualFrank » Mon Feb 17, 2020 9:52 am

Bournemouth, Villa, West Ham seem to have the hardest remaining games, in that order.

Just look at Bournemouth's.

They have Newcastle and Southampton at home, but other than that, it's tough games all the way.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by ElectroClaret » Mon Feb 17, 2020 9:58 am

FactualFrank wrote:
Mon Feb 17, 2020 9:52 am
Bournemouth, Villa, West Ham seem to have the hardest remaining games, in that order.

Just look at Bournemouth's.

They have Newcastle and Southampton at home, but other than that, it's tough games all the way.
You're right Frank about Bournemouth, but I just think they've still got some fight
left in them (hope its not on display next weekend) whereas the Hammers don't
seem to be able to string two passes together. Moyes has a Herculean task on his hands.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by FactualFrank » Mon Feb 17, 2020 9:59 am

Norwich, Villa, Bournemouth are the faves to go down.

I think it'll be Norwich, West Ham and one other. Also gonna go with it going down to the final day.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Hopey1786 » Mon Feb 17, 2020 10:14 am

Norwich gone already
Defo Villa. They are dog ****
Then 1 more. Hopefully bournemouth

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Im_not_Robbie_Blake » Mon Feb 17, 2020 10:19 am

Norwich, Villa, Newcastle

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Tricky Trevor » Mon Feb 17, 2020 10:30 am

Hoping it’s Norwich(sadly), West Ham(gladly) and Watford(gladly, owners) but Villa keep finding ways to lose games and B’mouth have had a horrendous season for injuries and might be lacking confidence.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by ClaretTony » Mon Feb 17, 2020 10:31 am

I revise mine every week I think but the only one I'm really certain of is Norwich. Having watched Villa defend yesterday I think they could be likely candidates and I'd think the other one will be between Watford and West Ham.

That's this week though, I might have a different view next Monday.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by FactualFrank » Mon Feb 17, 2020 10:40 am

Im_not_Robbie_Blake wrote:
Mon Feb 17, 2020 10:19 am
Norwich, Villa, Newcastle
Newcastle have some excellent fixtures to pick up points. I think they'll be fine.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Rodneyyouplonker » Mon Feb 17, 2020 10:45 am

If Villa go down and win the League Cup, does that mean a Championship team playing in Europa League?

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by LeadBelly » Mon Feb 17, 2020 10:53 am

Sticking with what I had on the "relegation odds" thread about 4 weeks ago:

Think it'll be: Norwich, Bournemouth, Villa

I'd prefer it to be: Norwich, BHA and either Villa or WHU. Brighton aren't in the bookies 5 favourites (in fact 6th) but on a very bad run and, though Brighton is a good trip for me, I'm not fond of the club.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Lord Beamish » Mon Feb 17, 2020 11:03 am

Norwich(obvs!).
Villa.
West Ham/Watford/Bournemouth/Brighton.
Brighton for preference, with us sending them down on the last day.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by yorkyclaret » Mon Feb 17, 2020 11:24 am

Yeah Brighton, double hat trick for Jay to send them back, last one a pen in the 6th minute of stopages when Tarky back heels Murray in the nuts and throws himself down like a girly (a yard outside the box).
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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by AndrewJB » Mon Feb 17, 2020 11:27 am

I live among Hammers and I try to console them by pointing out they’ll have the best stadium in the Championship.
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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Longsider » Mon Feb 17, 2020 11:27 am

Rodneyyouplonker wrote:
Mon Feb 17, 2020 10:45 am
If Villa go down and win the League Cup, does that mean a Championship team playing in Europa League?
Would have thought so. It was with Birmingham City.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by dermotdermot » Mon Feb 17, 2020 11:31 am

I don’t know why so many people are rooting for Bournemouth to go down. It’s a nice little ground, they give the away supporters decent seats at the side of the pitch as opposed to behind the goal and, beside all that, it’s easy for for me to get there as I live here.
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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by houseboy » Mon Feb 17, 2020 11:31 am

Norwich look doomed already (although they did look decent going forward against Liverpool).
West Ham (I hope) because not only are they playing badly their fixtures are horrible (lose next 2 for sure).
Next?
Still think Watford have a lot to do but they have the Pearson factor - love him or loathe him he gets things done.
Villa are pretty awful but they have shown the ability to drag out a result (us?).
Could see Southampton getting dragged in going off their defence on Saturday.
Brighton? Safe.
Bournemouth? Think they will rally (after Saturday of course).
Newcastle? Who actually thinks they are in danger? I certainly don't, they are only 3 behind us and play us at home soon, win that and they might be no worse than us.

Norwich/West ham/Villa. Maybe. :D :D :D

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by whiffa » Mon Feb 17, 2020 11:42 am

I hope it will be Norwich, West Ham and Brighton.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Stproc » Mon Feb 17, 2020 11:59 am

Would like Watford, Villa & Brighton.
More likely to be Norwich, Villa & West Ham
Don’t really care as long a Villa are one of them. Will be interested to see how they deal with FFP, also looking to next season they will just spend their way out of a relegation scrap

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by box_of_frogs » Mon Feb 17, 2020 12:09 pm

Norwich (sadly), Villa (don’t care) and West Ham (easy to get to for me but would laugh at Moyes taking another club down).

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Bigvince » Mon Feb 17, 2020 12:13 pm

It’s Norwich and two from Watford, West Ham and Bournemouth for me, as all three have horrendous run ins.
I’d prefer the other two relegation spots to be West Ham and Brighton tho

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Bigvince » Mon Feb 17, 2020 12:17 pm

dermotdermot wrote:
Mon Feb 17, 2020 11:31 am
I don’t know why so many people are rooting for Bournemouth to go down. It’s a nice little ground, they give the away supporters decent seats at the side of the pitch as opposed to behind the goal and, beside all that, it’s easy for for me to get there as I live here.
I don’t think people are rooting for Bournemouth to go down, it’s a prediction. I myself don’t want them to go down but they’ve the worst run in of anybody

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Hopey1786 » Mon Feb 17, 2020 12:19 pm

I jus want villa down

Big club my arse
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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Ric_C » Mon Feb 17, 2020 12:27 pm

Get to 40 points, then it's get the popcorn out time

If any of:
Watford
Villa
Brighton
west Ham

go down, it will be hilarious, as their fans are all annoying.

But if we had the chance to Send Brighton down on the last day of the season, I'd take that glorious opportunity over everything else
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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by COBBLE » Mon Feb 17, 2020 12:46 pm

Norwich, but they deserve to bounce back for another try for doing things right for the long term. One or two players who could fit our structure and budget.

Clearly next, West Ham. Smug Directors and Karen Brady. How can they spend so much money and still have Mark Noble as their best performer.
Took the club away from its roots and community. Arrogant fans. The deal which took over the Olympic stadium was on the face of it unfair to the rest.

Would also prefer Villa, Partly because of the Heaton and Drinkwater aftertaste. They are also truly a sleeping giant and the owner Sawiris is the best President Egypt never had. Impressive businessman.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by MT03ALG » Mon Feb 17, 2020 1:25 pm

If Bournemouth do not go down, do they have plans for a new stadium or to expand their present stadium ?

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by AlargeClaret » Mon Feb 17, 2020 1:28 pm

Norwich
West Ham
Bournemouth /Brighton

Though looks to be a right old scrap with even Norwich still fighting hard . Sending Brighton down on the last day would be a beautiful thing indeed

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Bosscat » Mon Feb 17, 2020 1:29 pm

Ric_C wrote:
Mon Feb 17, 2020 12:27 pm
Get to 40 points, then it's get the popcorn out time

If any of:
Watford
Villa
Brighton
west Ham

go down, it will be hilarious, as their fans are all annoying.

But if we had the chance to Send Brighton down on the last day of the season, I'd take that glorious opportunity over everything else
👍😎👍

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Belial » Mon Feb 17, 2020 1:51 pm

dermotdermot wrote:
Mon Feb 17, 2020 11:31 am
I don’t know why so many people are rooting for Bournemouth to go down. It’s a nice little ground, they give the away supporters decent seats at the side of the pitch as opposed to behind the goal and, beside all that, it’s easy for for me to get there as I live here.
Plus, we always beat them! Keep them up (get Brighton down)

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by mdd2 » Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:00 pm

Any 3 from bottom 10 BUT the present bottom three must be favourites
However I think Watford will pull out of it
Norwich most unlikely WHU have such a tough schedule that unless they get a good couple of results soon thenMoyes has a difficult task as their heads will have really dropped
A team folk seem to have ignored is Palace who are not getting results and it is the case that often a team plummets at this time into the quicksands of relegation and cannot escape ( just hope it isn’t us)
IMO we need at least two points from Bournemouth and Newcastle games. Three points on Saturday and we should be pretty much home and dry

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by FCBurnley » Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:10 pm

Not seeing any mention of Burnley on this post 😂😂😂

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by houseboy » Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:13 pm

FCBurnley wrote:
Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:10 pm
Not seeing any mention of Burnley on this post 😂😂😂
Apart from the post above yours mate from mdd2 - he reckons any 3 from the bottom ten - we are 11th so by default he must reckon we are still in danger.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by FCBurnley » Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:13 pm

My 3 are Norwich. Bournemouth ( if we beat them ) and West Ham or Watford. Think Villa will survive. My outsiders are Brighton

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by the_magic_rat » Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:26 pm

I wouldn't exclude Brighton. Nice tippy-tappy football under the new manager, who, like Hughton before him comes over as a decent bloke, but they've very little cutting edge.

Villa by contrast are excellent going forward but possibly as bad as Norwich defensively. As far as West Ham is concerned, I suspect it depends which West Ham turns up from now to the end of the season. How many of their foreign mercenaries are up for the fight?

I think Watford under Pearson have the players and enough nowse to get the points required and Bournemouth have the knack of going from awful to suddenly blowing teams away.

For me Norwich, Villa and Brighton.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by FactualFrank » Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:32 pm

Form table (going off the last 5-6 games), has us in 6th place. Brighton are second from bottom.

But Crystal Palace are bottom! However, they have some very kind fixtures coming up, where I think they'll be picking up more than enough to stay up.

It leaves anybody from Brighton downwards - Brighton could very well go the next 6 games without picking up a single point.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by jrgbfc » Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:34 pm

Norwich, Villa, Bournemouth.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by KateR » Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:35 pm

have consistently said Watford wont go down but they are leaving it late to pull away, they must be feeling it now, the fans that is.

Norwich
Villa
Brighton (but definitely could be West Ham who I really did not think would be in the mix)

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Vegas Claret » Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:44 pm

ideally
Norwich
Brighton
Villa

We do ok against the other teams usually

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by FactualFrank » Mon Feb 17, 2020 2:58 pm

I've listed the bottom 3 for various instances:

Current bottom 3 teams
Current 3 teams bottom on Form
3 teams with the most difficult remaining fixtures
Bookies 3 favourites to go down

Current bottom 3:
West Ham
Watford
Norwich

Current teams bottom on Form:
Norwich
Brighton
Crystal Palace

The 3 teams with the hardest remaining fixtures (hardest is bottom):
West Ham
Aston Villa
Bournemouth

Bookies 3 favourites to go down (most likely is bottom):
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Norwich

Norwich are rock bottom and aren't in any form to get them out of the bottom 3 any time soon. They do have some winnable games, but they are 6 (7 with GD) points back, so it'll be too difficult.
Villa and Bournemouth are both favourites to go down with the bookies AND have the hardest remaining fixtures.
West Ham also have one of the hardest remaining set of fixtures and are currently in the bottom 3 (game in hand vs City)

Based on that, Norwich, Villa, Bournemouth for the chopping board I agree is the most likely. West Ham to escape, just.

The next 4 games will be interesting. West Ham have City(a), Liverpool(a), SOUTHAMPTON(h) and Arsenal(a)

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Hibsclaret » Mon Feb 17, 2020 3:02 pm

West Ham
Norwich
and
Bournemouth or Watford for me

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by RalphCoatesComb » Mon Feb 17, 2020 4:29 pm

Back in mid-December, Big Vince suggested these three and I agreed.

Aston Villa
Norwich
Watford

No reason to change my mind now.

West Ham should be safe but there'd be no tears from me if they went
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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Bigvince » Mon Feb 17, 2020 4:51 pm

RalphCoatesComb wrote:
Mon Feb 17, 2020 4:29 pm
Back in mid-December, Big Vince suggested these three and I agreed.

Aston Villa
Norwich
Watford

No reason to change my mind now.

West Ham should be safe but there'd be no tears from me if they went
There’s still a chance I could be right with those selections, but Bournemouth and West Ham have a real struggle on their hands, and one could well replace Watford in the bottom three

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by gc14 » Mon Feb 17, 2020 5:15 pm

Norwich, West Ham and Villa would be nice. wouldn't mind one bit if Brighton pinched one of the spots
but the 60,000 London Stadium hosting Rotherham and Wycombe and the FFP ripping into Villa could be
quite entertaining ..

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by edison » Mon Feb 17, 2020 5:18 pm

Villa, Watford, Norwich

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by expoultryboy » Mon Feb 17, 2020 5:43 pm

Unfortunately Norwich look doomed . The other 2 are based on the team's fans and the grounds which are difficult to get : west ham and Brighton . Villa are hoping to get McGinn back in a couple of weeks , so i think this could be the boost they need .

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by bfcjg » Mon Feb 17, 2020 7:10 pm

Norwich Watford Brighton.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Woodleyclaret » Mon Feb 17, 2020 7:18 pm

Norwich Villa and Bournemouth/Watford

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Herts Clarets » Mon Feb 17, 2020 8:57 pm

Could be a claret and blue relegation decider last game of the season - Villa v West Ham......
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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by LeadBelly » Mon Feb 17, 2020 9:00 pm

Oh aye. I hadnt spotted that fixture on the last day. A very good chance one or both of those will be battling for survival.

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Re: Have You Revised Your Three For The Drop?

Post by Herts Clarets » Mon Feb 17, 2020 9:49 pm

West Ham have some very difficult games coming up. Away to Man City, Liverpool, Arsenal, Man United and Spurs. Chelsea, us and Wolves at home. Can't see them getting much from these games which leaves 6 games to get enough points to keep them up. I can see them in serious trouble and needing something from the Villa game.

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