ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

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Devils_Advocate
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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Devils_Advocate » Sat Dec 19, 2020 3:39 pm

BigChaCha wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 3:19 pm
Show me another current Premier Leauge manager who has made as much profit or player value increase on a percentage basis on their overall purchases?
Depends what you think is best value for your club.

Sign a player for £15m and turn him into a £25m player and get that level of quality followed by £10m profit. Alternatively sign a player for £3m and turn him into a £9m plaster and get that level of quality followed by £6m profit

One scenario gives you a 300% profit and one gives you 66% profit and I know which one I'd prefer

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by scouseclaret » Sat Dec 19, 2020 3:46 pm

Danieljwaterhouse wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 2:55 pm
Someone mentions Northern Powerhouse and isn’t instantly derided...
?

Don’t believe I’ve shifted my opinion...

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Myk » Sat Dec 19, 2020 4:28 pm

Devils_Advocate wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 3:39 pm
Depends what you think is best value for your club.

Sign a player for £15m and turn him into a £25m player and get that level of quality followed by £10m profit. Alternatively sign a player for £3m and turn him into a £9m plaster and get that level of quality followed by £6m profit

One scenario gives you a 300% profit and one gives you 66% profit and I know which one I'd prefer
Would be a massive wage difference too most likely.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Devils_Advocate » Sat Dec 19, 2020 4:35 pm

Myk wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 4:28 pm
Would be a massive wage difference too most likely.
Yes teams should approach in what way best suits them and their finances but I was highlighting that looking at percentage profit can be misleading and not necessarily the best measure.

We would lose money spending £15m on a player who flopped than we would buying a team full of Dale Stephens but only one of those would be a sensible option for trying to keep us in this Division

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by GodIsADeeJay81 » Sat Dec 19, 2020 5:35 pm

Devils_Advocate wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 3:39 pm
Depends what you think is best value for your club.

Sign a player for £15m and turn him into a £25m player and get that level of quality followed by £10m profit. Alternatively sign a player for £3m and turn him into a £9m plaster and get that level of quality followed by £6m profit

One scenario gives you a 300% profit and one gives you 66% profit and I know which one I'd prefer
Can't believe you didn't use Michael Keane purchase and sale prices just to hammer home that point :roll:

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by dsr » Sat Dec 19, 2020 6:37 pm

Vegas Claret wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 3:00 pm
it still astounds me every time I read that, such a shame it really is that some of the unity has gone :(
The one thing Garlick has done that helps maintain unity on the playing front at least, is keep his mouth shut. With Dyche chipping away at every opportunity (I think he's in the wrong there), if Garlick had ever chosen to reply then the public row would give a greater reason for people to take sides. By keeping abslutely stumm, he has at least made it easier to keep the squad unity, even if the admin staff are pulling in all directions.
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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Wokingclaret » Sat Dec 19, 2020 7:13 pm

He hasn't though has he, remind me what he said at the start of the transfer window

And got his CEO to talk about it when it shut
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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by joey13 » Sat Dec 19, 2020 7:26 pm

Wokingclaret wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 7:13 pm
He hasn't though has he, remind me what he said at the start of the transfer window

And got his CEO to talk about it when it shut
Exactly this

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by aggi » Sat Dec 19, 2020 8:49 pm

ClaretTony wrote:
Fri Dec 18, 2020 2:37 pm
I've no idea how it will affect shareholders. I think being in the Premier League has increased the value of my shares for what it's worth but I don't think any of us can say how this will affect us, I've not had any notification as a shareholder. But as I've said previously, they might just be buying Garlick's shares and one other directors and that would take them over 50%.


Realistically the little shareholdings aren't really worth much as they're not enough to give any element of control.

Buying 90% is the magic number where current shareholders can force the people buying to also buy their shares (and the people buying can force existing shareholders to sell).

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by ClaretTony » Sat Dec 19, 2020 9:47 pm

aggi wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 8:49 pm
Realistically the little shareholdings aren't really worth much as they're not enough to give any element of control.

Buying 90% is the magic number where current shareholders can force the people buying to also buy their shares (and the people buying can force existing shareholders to sell).
Thanks for that. I knew there was a point at which you would be forced to sell. I suspect they will fall short of that figure.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by scouseclaret » Sat Dec 19, 2020 10:12 pm

aggi wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 8:49 pm
Realistically the little shareholdings aren't really worth much as they're not enough to give any element of control.

Buying 90% is the magic number where current shareholders can force the people buying to also buy their shares (and the people buying can force existing shareholders to sell).
If an buyer acquires more than 90% of a company they have the right to compulsorily buy out the minorities. Up to that point, they cannot force you to sell, but once they have achieved a controlling interest, they are legally obliged to make the same offer to all shareholders - no need to wait for them to hit 90%.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by BurnleyFC » Sat Dec 19, 2020 10:52 pm

Devils_Advocate wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 3:39 pm
Depends what you think is best value for your club.

Sign a player for £15m and turn him into a £25m player and get that level of quality followed by £10m profit. Alternatively sign a player for £3m and turn him into a £9m plaster and get that level of quality followed by £6m profit

One scenario gives you a 300% profit and one gives you 66% profit and I know which one I'd prefer
I get your point, but your maths is wrong.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Devils_Advocate » Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:14 pm

BurnleyFC wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 10:52 pm
I get your point, but your maths is wrong.
Yes good spot, should have been 200% not 300% profit % I guess. So much for my Maths skills!

Edit: And 150% instead of 66% so miles out :D
Last edited by Devils_Advocate on Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by aggi » Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:15 pm

scouseclaret wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 10:12 pm
If an buyer acquires more than 90% of a company they have the right to compulsorily buy out the minorities. Up to that point, they cannot force you to sell, but once they have achieved a controlling interest, they are legally obliged to make the same offer to all shareholders - no need to wait for them to hit 90%.
I'm pretty sure that there's a 90% threshold under the sell-out provisions unless the initial offer was to buy all shares (which isn't the case here I'm assuming).

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by BurnleyFC » Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:31 pm

Devils_Advocate wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:14 pm
Yes good spot, should have been 200% not 300% profit % I guess. So much for my Maths skills!

Edit: And 150% instead of 66% so miles out :D
Try again :D

You were correct with 200% and 66%.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Devils_Advocate » Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:36 pm

BurnleyFC wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:31 pm
Try again :D

You were correct with 200% and 66%.
I give up, I spent too long looking at that sodding chess puzzle today :? :? :?

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by TVC15 » Sun Dec 20, 2020 12:23 am

Devils_Advocate wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 3:39 pm


Alternatively sign a player for £3m and turn him into a £9m plaster and get that level of quality followed by £6m profit
Sticky plaster ?
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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Paul Waine » Sun Dec 20, 2020 12:38 am

ClaretTony wrote:
Sat Dec 19, 2020 9:47 pm
Thanks for that. I knew there was a point at which you would be forced to sell. I suspect they will fall short of that figure.
Hi CT, why do you think that ALK will "fall short" of buying >90% of the shares? Do you think there are any larger shareholders who will choose to hold on to their shares if/when MG and JB sell their shares to ALK?

I'm sure all the current directors will understand the situation of shareholders. If additional funding is required by the club, for example, to invest in the playing staff, both through transfer activity and wages, then this funding could be raised by a rights issue - i.e. offering all shareholders the opportunity to subscribe for more shares. Any shareholders that "pass" on the rights issue will find that they will be diluted and own a smaller percentage of the total shares than they did before the rights issue. It may then be that ALK ends up with more than 90% after a rights issue and at that stage is able to "force through" the purchase of all the remaining independent shareholders' shares - if that is their aim. (All this, of course, without direct knowledge of the Memorandum and Articles specific to Burnley FC shareholder provisions).

Exciting times.

UTC

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by aggi » Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:34 am

Paul Waine wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 12:38 am
Hi CT, why do you think that ALK will "fall short" of buying >90% of the shares? Do you think there are any larger shareholders who will choose to hold on to their shares if/when MG and JB sell their shares to ALK?

I'm sure all the current directors will understand the situation of shareholders. If additional funding is required by the club, for example, to invest in the playing staff, both through transfer activity and wages, then this funding could be raised by a rights issue - i.e. offering all shareholders the opportunity to subscribe for more shares. Any shareholders that "pass" on the rights issue will find that they will be diluted and own a smaller percentage of the total shares than they did before the rights issue. It may then be that ALK ends up with more than 90% after a rights issue and at that stage is able to "force through" the purchase of all the remaining independent shareholders' shares - if that is their aim. (All this, of course, without direct knowledge of the Memorandum and Articles specific to Burnley FC shareholder provisions).

Exciting times.

UTC
I''ve not read the relevant section of the Companies Act in a while but I don't think a rights issue triggers the squeeze out provisions, only share purchases.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by CharlieinNewMexico » Sun Dec 20, 2020 8:18 am

Can’t understand the northern powerhouse thing. I live in New Mexico and El Paso (Texas) and Juarez (Mexico) are 30 miles East. I would think nothing of popping over for a gallon of milk if my city ran out, or going over for a night on the town.

But there’s no way in Burnley I’d drive to Salford for the same thing? Yes it’s still the same 30 miles but it definitely seems like 2 completely different areas culturally.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Woodleyclaret » Sun Dec 20, 2020 8:22 am

FAO Charlie yes the two places are miles apart but you've got more chance of being mugged in Salford

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by karatekid » Sun Dec 20, 2020 9:57 am

I’ve just googled El Paso and I must admit I am disappointed. I was hoping to find tumbleweed and saloon bars with a wood rail outside to tether the horses.
Instead I found a modern city with high rises and motor cars. Damn. 😟
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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by arise_sir_charge » Sun Dec 20, 2020 9:59 am

In my opinion it would be pretty shoddy of Mike Garlick and John B to sell their own shares with little regard for the smaller shareholders, essentially making their investments worthless.

Most of those people will be lifelong fans that bought shares when the club needed it most.

Any deal should see everyone catered for in my opinion.
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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Cheshireclaret » Sun Dec 20, 2020 10:02 am

karatekid wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 9:57 am
I’ve just googled El Paso and I must admit I am disappointed. I was hoping to find tumbleweed and saloon bars with a wood rail outside to tether the horses.
Instead I found a modern city with high rises and motor cars. Damn. 😟
Fantastic fajitas, burritos, enchiladas etc. in the old town though. I regularly follow their traditional recipes.......

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Paul Waine » Sun Dec 20, 2020 11:21 am

arise_sir_charge wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 9:59 am
In my opinion it would be pretty shoddy of Mike Garlick and John B to sell their own shares with little regard for the smaller shareholders, essentially making their investments worthless.

Most of those people will be lifelong fans that bought shares when the club needed it most.

Any deal should see everyone catered for in my opinion.
Hi arise_sir_charge, MG and JB, as the club's biggest shareholders and directors are looking to sell the club. ALK are looking to buy the club. There's nothing shoddy going on.

If/when a deal is agreed all shareholders will have the opportunity to sell their shares to ALK on exactly the same terms as MG and JB. All the lifelong fans will get the same rewards for being shareholders.

There may be some shareholders (based on a few posts on here) who choose not to sell. If they can do that and ALK/club can't force them to sell that will be the only situation when their investment will be of limited value.

As before, I know nothing about these takeover negotiations other than the media reports and the club's statement. Also, I'm not a shareholder.

Exciting times.

UTC
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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by randomclaret2 » Sun Dec 20, 2020 12:12 pm

arise_sir_charge wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 9:59 am
In my opinion it would be pretty shoddy of Mike Garlick and John B to sell their own shares with little regard for the smaller shareholders, essentially making their investments worthless.

Most of those people will be lifelong fans that bought shares when the club needed it most.

Any deal should see everyone catered for in my opinion.
Unhappy that shares now appear to be worth c.£1500 ??

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by arise_sir_charge » Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:10 pm

Paul Waine wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 11:21 am
Hi arise_sir_charge, MG and JB, as the club's biggest shareholders and directors are looking to sell the club. ALK are looking to buy the club. There's nothing shoddy going on.

If/when a deal is agreed all shareholders will have the opportunity to sell their shares to ALK on exactly the same terms as MG and JB. All the lifelong fans will get the same rewards for being shareholders.

There may be some shareholders (based on a few posts on here) who choose not to sell. If they can do that and ALK/club can't force them to sell that will be the only situation when their investment will be of limited value.

As before, I know nothing about these takeover negotiations other than the media reports and the club's statement. Also, I'm not a shareholder.

Exciting times.

UTC
If that’s right in that ALK have to offer the same deal to all shareholders then fair enough. The inferences in some posts appear to be that ALK are only buying the shares of MG And JB.

In response to Random, they are only worth £1,500 if someone (ALK) are prepared to pay that for them. If Paul Waine is right in his explanation of what will happen then that is fair enough.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Bigvince » Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:18 pm

I wouldn’t think ALK would be too happy, pumping money into Burnley after a takeover. And increasing the value of all the shares, especially when all the shareholders aren’t contributing anything

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Paul Waine » Sun Dec 20, 2020 2:03 pm

Bigvince wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:18 pm
I wouldn’t think ALK would be too happy, pumping money into Burnley after a takeover. And increasing the value of all the shares, especially when all the shareholders aren’t contributing anything
MG and JB aren't negotiating the sale of their shares, they are negotiating the sale of all the shares. They are doing this as directors of the club.

There are rules with publicly quoted companies that require a new owner to offer to buy all there shares from all the small shareholders. I'm unsure of the rules for BFC, as it is a private limited company. However, all Burnley shareholders will have access to their company's shareholder rules and can check on the specific rules that apply to their shareholding. (I'm not a shareholder, so I can't do this).

Yes, part of buying the club is offering to buy out all shareholders, including those who only own 1 share. There may be rules that allow a shareholder to say "no thanks, I don't want to sell my share" and turn down the offer from ALK. Equally, I don't know why anyone would do this. It won't make their shareholding more valuable if they retain their ownership. Equally, it won't do anything for the club's finances, unless they are prepared to put in the same new money as ALK will be putting into the club.

Exciting times.

UTC
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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by CaptainKirk » Sun Dec 20, 2020 2:24 pm

Can I be the first to say, exciting times!
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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Bigvince » Sun Dec 20, 2020 2:46 pm

Hi Paul thanks for the clarification

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by icu81b4 » Sun Dec 20, 2020 3:52 pm

I wonder if ALK will reinstate the shareholders annual meeting !

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by ClaretTony » Sun Dec 20, 2020 3:58 pm

Paul Waine wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 2:03 pm
MG and JB aren't negotiating the sale of their shares, they are negotiating the sale of all the shares. They are doing this as directors of the club.
Are you certain of that?

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by aggi » Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:01 pm

Paul Waine wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 2:03 pm
MG and JB aren't negotiating the sale of their shares, they are negotiating the sale of all the shares. They are doing this as directors of the club.
I don't think this is the case, certainly not formally. For it to be a takeover offer for all shares then all shareholders must be notified which clearly isn't the case here. There are options, where contacting shareholders isn't feasible, to publish the details in the London Gazette but a quick search doesn't show anything there.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by TVC15 » Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:12 pm

Paul Waine wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 2:03 pm
MG and JB aren't negotiating the sale of their shares, they are negotiating the sale of all the shares. They are doing this as directors of the club.
I don’t think there is enough information on the structure of the takeover to know whether this is the case or not.
Not as far as I’m aware anyway.

We do know from the existing shareholder ownership that they don’t have to buy out all the shareholders to take a controlling interest of the club.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Paul Waine » Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:26 pm

aggi wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:01 pm
I don't think this is the case, certainly not formally. For it to be a takeover offer for all shares then all shareholders must be notified which clearly isn't the case here. There are options, where contacting shareholders isn't feasible, to publish the details in the London Gazette but a quick search doesn't show anything there.
ClaretTony wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 3:58 pm
Are you certain of that?
1) The media reports speak of ALK Capital offering £200 million to buy the club. They don't say £200 million to buy MG and JB shares only;
2) The recent reports in the media, including Reuters, all appear to be the result of ALK issuing a press release, which prompted the reports;
3) Does anyone think it "makes sense" for ALK to limit the purchase to just MG's and JB's shares?
4) There will come a stage in the process when the Burnley board of directors will report on the offer from ALK to all shareholders, with their recommendation to accept the offer. The process hasn't reached that stage, just yet. I expect ALK being approved by Premier League ODT will be completed before that stage is reached.
5) I'd expect the directors will say something along the lines of: Burnley have received an offer from ALK - the directors consider this offer is "fair" and acceptance of this offer is in the best interest of Burnley football club and all shareholders. It will say MG and JB (and maybe other directors) have already accepted the offer and have transferred their shares to ALK. It will say the directors recommend all (small) shareholders do the same - and arrangements to do so will be as follows XXXXXXXXXX. This is all in accordance with BFC Shareholders Articles and Memorandum of Association and in accordance with Companies Act....

As I have said before, I repeat I have no direct knowledge of the negotiations re the takeover of Burnley FC. I only know what is reported in the media plus Neil Hart's statement as CEO of BFC. I am not a shareholder of Burnley FC.

I wish all Clarets fans and all BFC shareholders the very best wishes of the season. "Happy holidays" as many in America would say.

It's beginning to feel a lot like Christmas.... (though, personally I'm in South West London in Tier 4).

Exciting times.

UTC

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by ClaretTony » Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:30 pm

Paul Waine wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:26 pm
1) The media reports speak of ALK Capital offering £200 million to buy the club. They don't say £200 million to buy MG and JB shares only;
2) The recent reports in the media, including Reuters, all appear to be the result of ALK issuing a press release, which prompted the reports;
3) Does anyone think it "makes sense" for ALK to limit the purchase to just MG's and JB's shares?
4) There will come a stage in the process when the Burnley board of directors will report on the offer from ALK to all shareholders, with their recommendation to accept the offer. The process hasn't reached that stage, just yet. I expect ALK being approved by Premier League ODT will be completed before that stage is reached.
5) I'd expect the directors will say something along the lines of: Burnley have received an offer from ALK - the directors consider this offer is "fair" and acceptance of this offer is in the best interest of Burnley football club and all shareholders. It will say MG and JB (and maybe other directors) have already accepted the offer and have transferred their shares to ALK. It will say the directors recommend all (small) shareholders do the same - and arrangements to do so will be as follows XXXXXXXXXX. This is all in accordance with BFC Shareholders Articles and Memorandum of Association and in accordance with Companies Act....

As I have said before, I repeat I have no direct knowledge of the negotiations re the takeover of Burnley FC. I only know what is reported in the media plus Neil Hart's statement as CEO of BFC. I am not a shareholder of Burnley FC.

I wish all Clarets fans and all BFC shareholders the very best wishes of the season. "Happy holidays" as many in America would say.

It's beginning to feel a lot like Christmas.... (though, personally I'm in South West London in Tier 4).

Exciting times.

UTC
I don’t believe ALK have issued any press release. I don’t think what you are suggesting is necessarily correct.

scouseclaret
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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by scouseclaret » Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:31 pm

“I don't think this is the case, certainly not formally. For it to be a takeover offer for all shares then all shareholders must be notified which clearly isn't the case here. There are options, where contacting shareholders isn't feasible, to publish the details in the London Gazette but a quick search doesn't show anything there.”

I’ve said before, it is the responsibility of the directors to negotiate the sale of a company, not the shareholders. Once an agreement is reached, they will make a formal recommendation to the shareholders to accept the offer. Until then, there is no need to formally approach all shareholders.

As PW said, with PLCs there is a obligation to treat all shareholders equally regardless of how large their holding, so everyone gets the same price per share. There seems to be a difference of opinion between PW and Aggi as to whether similar rules apply to private companies - I’m not sure either.

A word of warning though, if there is no such obligation, whether or not minority shareholders get paid out will be purely a matter of goodwill on the part of ALK. There’s no practical reason why they would need to do so, particular since holders below a certain level can’t vote.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by icu81b4 » Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:37 pm

I’d expect a new press release to be issued on their website once a deal is completed along with the ones already on there.

It’s easier than trawling through this thread, although not quite as entertaining.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by aggi » Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:47 pm

For what it's worth I think ALK would be looking to purchase as many shares as possible. One of their routes to profit will be the exit after increasing the value of the club and obviously the more shares the more profit.

I just don't think it's a fait accompli as others have suggested and there are routes to a controlling interest without buying all shares so long as you obtain Garlick's shares.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Paul Waine » Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:50 pm

ClaretTony wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:30 pm
I don’t believe ALK have issued any press release. I don’t think what you are suggesting is necessarily correct.
No worries, CT. Just my personal views and a little bit of experience in other (non-football) areas. I may not be interpreting everything right. There may be facts which I'm not aware of.

UTC

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by dibraidio » Sun Dec 20, 2020 6:25 pm

My understanding is that they're buying the club as an investment and not as something to invest in. I expect them to work at improving our commercial income considerably and I'd be surprised if they're not expecting to sign a deal with a major global sponsor for the shirts and Turf Moor like Brighton have in Amex and Arsenal have in Emirates.

If I decide to keep my shares (and I'm allowed) I wouldn't expect them to be asking me to put my hand in my pocket however if profits are made and they want to take money out I'd expect that to be done on a dividend basis.

If ALK are offering 200m for all of the 122,478 shares that's £1632.95 per share.

If the club pay out 5 million in dividends that would be £40.82 per share. It would take you 40 years to get the same money that they're supposedly offering today from 5 million worth of dividends per year. That's just an example of course but I wouldn't expect them to be planning on recouping less than 2.5% a year on their investment.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by Paul Waine » Sun Dec 20, 2020 6:47 pm

dibraidio wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 6:25 pm
My understanding is that they're buying the club as an investment and not as something to invest in. I expect them to work at improving our commercial income considerably and I'd be surprised if they're not expecting to sign a deal with a major global sponsor for the shirts and Turf Moor like Brighton have in Amex and Arsenal have in Emirates.

If I decide to keep my shares (and I'm allowed) I wouldn't expect them to be asking me to put my hand in my pocket however if profits are made and they want to take money out I'd expect that to be done on a dividend basis.

If ALK are offering 200m for all of the 122,478 shares that's £1632.95 per share.

If the club pay out 5 million in dividends that would be £40.82 per share. It would take you 40 years to get the same money that they're supposedly offering today from 5 million worth of dividends per year. That's just an example of course but I wouldn't expect them to be planning on recouping less than 2.5% a year on their investment.
Interesting, dibraidio.

My views - and others may agree or may not with some/all of this: the club needs money to sign new players and the club needs money to pay wages to attract (and retain) Premier League class players and, of course, needs money to keep the best coaching staff, including Sean Dyche.

This money needs to come from somewhere - and will need to be "paid for."

The club won't make money in the first few years of new ownership - but, it will have to make money.

There's a lot of risk in owning a Premier League football club, as there is in any business.

I'd expect the target return for the £200 million, plus additional funds spent, as above, is of the order of 15-20%. 2.5% doesn't justify the risks involved. I'd expect the aim is to make this return from the appreciation in value of Premier League "soccer" teams - in the same way that US sports franchises have risen in value in recent years. (Note, this isn't saying that ALK are thinking of BFC as a sports franchise. They will have done their due diligence and understand that Premier League football does not operate a franchise club structure).

We know Alan Pace is "fronting" ALK Capital. It will be interesting when we know more about where the money is coming from behind ALK.

Exciting times.

UTC

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by aggi » Sun Dec 20, 2020 6:48 pm

dibraidio wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 6:25 pm
My understanding is that they're buying the club as an investment and not as something to invest in. I expect them to work at improving our commercial income considerably and I'd be surprised if they're not expecting to sign a deal with a major global sponsor for the shirts and Turf Moor like Brighton have in Amex and Arsenal have in Emirates.

If I decide to keep my shares (and I'm allowed) I wouldn't expect them to be asking me to put my hand in my pocket however if profits are made and they want to take money out I'd expect that to be done on a dividend basis.

If ALK are offering 200m for all of the 122,478 shares that's £1632.95 per share.

If the club pay out 5 million in dividends that would be £40.82 per share. It would take you 40 years to get the same money that they're supposedly offering today from 5 million worth of dividends per year. That's just an example of course but I wouldn't expect them to be planning on recouping less than 2.5% a year on their investment.
I would be very surprised if dividends of £5m a year were paid at any time in the near future. Firstly, it's likely priority would probably be to reinvest surplus profits and secondly I'd expect management fees and paid directors as the first route rather than dividends. (Also, as above, I believe their route for significant profits would be selling the club.)

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by dibraidio » Sun Dec 20, 2020 7:14 pm

aggi wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 6:48 pm
I would be very surprised if dividends of £5m a year were paid at any time in the near future. Firstly, it's likely priority would probably be to reinvest surplus profits and secondly I'd expect management fees and paid directors as the first route rather than dividends. (Also, as above, I believe their route for significant profits would be selling the club.)

So what your saying aggi is that the small shareholders will get diddley so keeping hold of your shares is a waste of time except for sentimental value.
That was more or less the point of my dividend example if the offer is on the table we'd be best off accepting it.

I can see that a management fee from an external company might be the way that they intend to repay their investors but paid directors isn't going to give anything back to the backers of ALK. If they do pay management fees then I really hope that it's not done via an offshore company like the Starbucks of this world.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by DCWat » Sun Dec 20, 2020 8:19 pm

aggi wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 5:47 pm
For what it's worth I think ALK would be looking to purchase as many shares as possible. One of their routes to profit will be the exit after increasing the value of the club and obviously the more shares the more profit.

I just don't think it's a fait accompli as others have suggested and there are routes to a controlling interest without buying all shares so long as you obtain Garlick's shares.
And there is the longer term concern. ALK may well turn out to be great owners but if and when they come to sell, profit is the key focus, we could be left with owners that are far less reputable.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by NewClaret » Sun Dec 20, 2020 9:50 pm

In my experience, ALK will want to buy all shares, but that could be something they “tidy up” after gaining a controlling stake and/or any funds held in escrow based on future performance have been paid/returned. It’s not something they have to worry about during the takeover (unless they want to complicate matters).

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by bfcwest » Mon Dec 21, 2020 7:29 am

I've said a few times before, it all depends what is written in the articles of BFC Co. If they have a 'drag and tag' clause inserted (which is likely), then ALK only need to agree the deal with 50.1% of the shareholders (e.g. Garlick plus a.n. other), and this would trigger the clause that means:
a) ALK can buy out ALL shares at that price (The Drag).
b) ALL shareholders are entitled to sell at that price even if ALK don't want to buy them (The Tag).

I am almost certain that ALK will buy 100% of shares. It just doesn't make sense for them to only buy some and not all.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by aggi » Mon Dec 21, 2020 8:45 am

bfcwest wrote:
Mon Dec 21, 2020 7:29 am
I've said a few times before, it all depends what is written in the articles of BFC Co. If they have a 'drag and tag' clause inserted (which is likely), then ALK only need to agree the deal with 50.1% of the shareholders (e.g. Garlick plus a.n. other), and this would trigger the clause that means:
a) ALK can buy out ALL shares at that price (The Drag).
b) ALL shareholders are entitled to sell at that price even if ALK don't want to buy them (The Tag).

I am almost certain that ALK will buy 100% of shares. It just doesn't make sense for them to only buy some and not all.
There's nothing obvious in the Articles relating to this.

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Re: ALK Capital or Farnell/Elkashashy takeover

Post by aggi » Mon Dec 21, 2020 8:50 am

dibraidio wrote:
Sun Dec 20, 2020 7:14 pm
So what your saying aggi is that the small shareholders will get diddley so keeping hold of your shares is a waste of time except for sentimental value.
That was more or less the point of my dividend example if the offer is on the table we'd be best off accepting it.

I can see that a management fee from an external company might be the way that they intend to repay their investors but paid directors isn't going to give anything back to the backers of ALK. If they do pay management fees then I really hope that it's not done via an offshore company like the Starbucks of this world.
Small shareholdings in private companies are generally fairly worthless unless there is some kind of exit strategy such as floatation. I would suspect that the majority of BFC's small shareholders have their shares for sentimental reasons.

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