Grumps wrote: ↑
Fri Oct 09, 2020 8:16 pm
Unfortunately your argument fails at the first point. Police on the streets of Madrid forcing a complete lockdown due to massive rise in cases.
You are right in pointing out that the region of 'the Community of Madrid' is having a bad time. I agree that it is far from over in Spain. https://www.wsj.com/articles/facing-res ... 602263159
However, the 'Community of Madrid' is just one region of Spain. It is currently the region with the highest transmission rate in the country (3,871 per 100,000). There is just one other region with a transmission rate above 3,000. Of the 18 regions, 12 of the regions have a transmission rate less than 2,000 and six have a transmission rate less than 1,000.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/110 ... -in-spain/
The overall picture in Spain is one of declining daily new infections. Have a look at the chart in the following page:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir ... try/spain/
You will see that the current daily infection rate peaked on 18th of September at 10,909 (7 day moving average). It has now had three weeks of decline. Yesterday it was 7,189. Todays new figure for cases in Spain is 5,986.
Spain is one of the main epicentres for the virus. Whatever happens in Spain is likely to happen here a few weeks later.
In July when case rates were low in most European countries I was warning people on this site to look out for Spain because the data was on the rise. I was poo pooed in the traditional 'Up the Clarets' way. A couple of months later the cases were up to ten thousand plus per day. I am now saying that their daily infection rate is declining. This might
be the first indications of an end to the virus.