Russia Invades

[elwaclaret]

NEXTA reporting the anchorman for Russian Chanel 1 prime time show has left Russia with his family and is thought to be heading to Israel.

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 56201?s=21

[elwaclaret]

More signs of Russian folding in on itself. After asking for more controls to be placed on Instagram Russia’s Prosecutor General’s Office ceases using the service. NEXTA

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 95872?s=21

[elwaclaret]

… and quickly following on Russian prosecutors ask that META (facebook owners) be considered an “extremist organisation”. Reuters

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1502 ... 52452?s=21

[RingoMcCartney]

NEXTA reporting the anchorman for Russian Chanel 1 prime time show has left Russia with his family and is thought to be heading to Israel.

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 56201?s=21

Don't know if it's been mentioned previously, but according to a few sources on Talkradio, one of them has written a book about the Chelsea CEO, called , "The Billionaire from Nowhere," Abramovich, having Israeli citizenship, is now hunkered down there too. Probably in extremely comfortable surroundings , according to the author.

[elwaclaret]

New York Times: It seems China’s ability to help keep Putin supplied in wake of Western sanctions my be severely tested as a series of new lockdowns across China are now being informed amid a new wave of COVID infections.

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1502 ... 52452?s=21

[Lowbankclaret]

Russian claims that they wont be shooting at humanitarian aid planes of food and water, it seems does not extend to DUTCH passenger flights. (Peter Caddick-Adams retweet)

https://twitter.com/llpmachete/status/1 ... 54177?s=21

That is MH17, the Malaysia flight that was shot down over Ukraine the last time Russia invaded. Obviously Russia told us all that the Ukrainians stole the missile launcher and did it.

[elwaclaret]

Ukraine Prime Minister Denys Shmygal is addressing a diplomacy forum in Turkey live on Reuters feed now

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1502 ... 44576?s=21

[Billy Balfour]

Russia might be backtracking on the WhatsApp ban.

https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/15 ... 3708058630

[elwaclaret]

Don't know if it's been mentioned previously, but according to a few sources on Talkradio, one of them has written a book about the Chelsea CEO, called , "The Billionaire from Nowhere," Abramovich, having Israeli citizenship, is now hunkered down there too. Probably in extremely comfortable surroundings , according to the author.

Plenty of Russians heading for Isreal - conspiracy theorists will be all over the Russia- Isreal - America connection, in truth this is wholly in keeping with Russian evacuations in World War Two. Isreal has always opened its boarders to all Jews (famously Robert Maxwell) as a matter of principle, whatever the rest of the world thought.

[bfcjg]

Glimmer of hope according to Sky.
Positive shifts': Putin offers hope on Ukraine talks ahead of Lukashenko meeting in Moscow

Russian president Vladimir Putin and Belarussian president Alexander Lukashenko appeared to shrug off the economic sanctions placed on them by Western nations earlier, as they began their meeting in Moscow.

Mr Lukashenko, who is one of Mr Putin's few remaining allies, said "people will have forgotten this has happened" in a few months, and that there is an "opportunity" to build something "better than the Soviet Union".

Meanwhile, Mr Putin claimed that in the past sanctions had only made Russia stronger.

But perhaps most notably, the Russian leader added that there had been "certain positive shifts" in the talks with Ukraine, and that those negotiations were continuing on a daily basis.

His remarks come despite nothing coming of yesterday's meeting between the Russian and Ukrainian foreign ministers.

But combined with statements earlier on a possible meeting between the Russian president and his Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr Zelenskyy (see 11.12 post), there may be tentative hopes among some that this represents a change of tone from Mr Putin.

[Lancasterclaret]

Mr Lukashenko is off his f**king rocker if he thinks that this will be forgotten about in a few months

Still, be interesting to see what Russia will settle for to get out of the mess its in and that it can spin as a win

[elwaclaret]

The above sounds to be nothing more than the usual ‘double message’ technique employed regularly by Russia. They create several avenues to the same story and wheel whichever message which seems appropriate.

I really wouldn’t read much into Putin Lukashenko love ins. This message will later be used to claim Russia is trying to sort out a peace but that the Ukrainians and the West want to destroy Russia, so the war continues. Nothing really to see here, I suspect - nice that the Murdock corporation seem to doing everything in their power to destabilise the Wests message though, how surprising (not) .

[elwaclaret]

President Zelenskiy takes time out to p.m. Lithuania to thank them and congratulate them on Lithuania Independence Day.

https://twitter.com/zelenskyyua/status/ ... 13985?s=21

[elwaclaret]

Garry Kasparov retweet. We must be ready to defend those across the world who want to live freely and without fear.

https://twitter.com/kasparov63/status/1 ... 09762?s=21

[elwaclaret]

For those who like their kit and tech, a downed Russian drone from OSINTtechnical:

https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/stat ... 65634?s=21

[elwaclaret]

ELINT News : Images of what they think is a Mi-24/5 chopper being shot down, no confirmation yet it is Russian, (but seems most likely)

https://twitter.com/elintnews/status/15 ... 82115?s=21

[Vegas Claret]

Mr Lukashenko is off his f**king rocker if he thinks that this will be forgotten about in a few months

Still, be interesting to see what Russia will settle for to get out of the mess its in and that it can spin as a win

if the West bow down to Putin it will make him incredibly powerful in his own head and own country, We simply cannot let it happen

[elwaclaret]

ELINT NEWS: Russia ‘Defence’ Ministry release footage of Syrian troop ‘volunteers’ preparing to travel to Ukraine.

https://twitter.com/kevinrothrock/statu ... 62560?s=21

[elwaclaret]

REUTERS: While the West feels the pinch, fears are growing that a crisis may be about to unfold in Africa as Ukrainian grain exports are essential to the continent.

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1502 ... 70533?s=21

[elwaclaret]

OSINTtechnical : more abandoned Russian tanks -72’s they suggest

https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/stat ... 06209?s=21

[elwaclaret]

BBC World Service: EU President calling for ‘significant additional defence investment’

https://twitter.com/bbcworld/status/150 ... 01219?s=21

[elwaclaret]

Reuters: EBRD still concerned about the state of Chernobyl nuclear plant

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1502 ... 30564?s=21

[elwaclaret]

UK and Ireland Archives office stop co-operation with 4 Belarusian and Russian public archive institutions who are also members of ICA (fear of false information), full resolution here

https://twitter.com/arauk_ie/status/150 ... 53153?s=21

[elwaclaret]

ELINT: Footage of Missile strikes inside Belarus, that Ukraine claims is the result of attacks by RUSSIAN jets in a false flag attempt to draw Belarus into the war.

https://twitter.com/elintnews/status/15 ... 58024?s=21

[elwaclaret]

Two posts from Kyiv Independent - regarding Chernobyl, Russia is still refusing to let Ukrainian experts in, and it is believed by KI this may be so a ‘nuclear accident’ can be later blamed on a Ukrainian attack.

https://twitter.com/kyivindependent/sta ... 26624?s=21

[elwaclaret]

NEXTA now picking up the Belarus attack

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 58403?s=21

[Chuckypad]

They don't have to

That equipment is useless sitting there

It might as well be destroyed

That link further up the thread explains it all

As the author says, its not going to be combat effective now for some time, and I bet the Ukrainians are targeting the rear of the convoy (the only bit that can move) so it can't move

Wheeled transport can't operate off road in Russia in March. It is completely bizarre that the actual Russian army has forgotten that.

Lancaster - Has the author of that thread added anything since this morning, when it was reported that the Convoy is dispersing? When he said it wouldn't be combat effective for some time, did he say how long?

Edit - I'm sure it wasn't as easy as the Ukrainian forces just destroying the stuck convoy, but now that it is moving one would hope the equipment is still useless

[Lancasterclaret]

Lancaster - Has the author of that thread added anything since this morning, when it was reported that the Convoy is dispersing? When he said it wouldn't be combat effective for some time, did he say how long?

Er, I'll check

He said that the convoy would have to be refuelled and the batteries recharged from the back of the coloumn, and they would have to work their way down it (which would take some time). I think the convoy was reported on Day 2 of the war, and its now Day 15? (16?)

There will be some total write offs in that group, and there will be some that need more maintenance, so it's going to be a much needed reinforcement for the Russians

Now I think about it, that ambush yesterday of a completely oblivious Russian Tank Rgt might well be linked to that. If they have spent the entire war out of fuel in that jam, then they wouldn't be expecting just how good the Ukrainians are at targeting concentrations of equipment

But I think the original estimate was that Kyi'v would have fallen by now, so his tweet would have been based on that

End of the day, the only info we are getting is from the Ukrainian side, as the Russian channels continue to completely ignore anything negative, so the chances of us seeing Russian tanks and APCs being refuelled and recharged out of that jam are effectively zero

[Taffy on the wing]

BBC report from Kharki'v

*content warning btw*

https://twitter.com/sommervilletv/statu ... 5490227206

I saw that yesterday.....they make it sound as if it's just a matter of time before Russia wins. Very different touch posted on here recently. Why?

[KateR]

I watched this last night, thought it was a good talk and provided some clarity (to me at least) on the Mig's transfer from Poland. Nothing to do with Dem's & Rep's, this is just to provide some context to a few comments regarding news in America in regard to this horrible war.

https://abcnews.go.com/search?searchtex ... 0statement

Also interesting segment on the Oil in the US

[Chuckypad]

I don't have access to Twitter, apart from on this thread, and some of the sources and content is just so much more insightful than what you get on other news outlets

Thanks to you, elwa, tsar, vegas and the rest by the way

[Lancasterclaret]

Ukraine claiming to have killed an army commander - not the commander of the Eastern military district, but the commander of the 29th Combined Arms Army

Again, what on earth is an army commander doing getting killed?

Ambush on his HQ complex?

Moving forward to sort out another mess on the front?

https://twitter.com/ArmedForcesUkr/stat ... 5992585225

[elwaclaret]

US and ‘Seven’ G7 Nations and the EU countries start process of stripping Russia of its ‘most favoured nation’ status as a result of the Ukraine attack - this would mean Russia would be no longer qualify for immunity from prosecution, privileges and concessions. Perhaps most importantly it would remove Russia’s ability to buy at lowest WTO guaranteed prices - massively feeding Russian inflation.

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1502 ... 74499?s=21

[Lancasterclaret]

Ukraine claiming to have killed an army commander - not the commander of the Eastern military district, but the commander of the 29th Combined Arms Army

Again, what on earth is an army commander doing getting killed?

Ambush on his HQ complex?

Moving forward to sort out another mess on the front?

https://twitter.com/ArmedForcesUkr/stat ... 5992585225

29th CAA was in Belarus before the invasion, but its not on the various maps as involved in the fighting, so (if this is true) then its been deployed (probably in the Kyi'v/Chernigi'v sector)

[Minimoog]

Having read this thread and watched news feeds over the last couple of weeks I've never been so frustrated, angry and upset at what is unfolding before my eyes.....I think frustrated at the fact I can't do or am not sure what to do to help, angry at the bad policy i believe over many years of all sides that have lead to this and upset
at the displaced people of Ukraine......I'm not one for having a rant online but at least it will give the wife's ears a rest..please keep the information coming...thanks.

[Lancasterclaret]

I don't have access to Twitter, apart from on this thread, and some of the sources and content is just so much more insightful than what you get on other news outlets

Thanks to you, elwa, tsar, vegas and the rest by the way

Not a problem

This thread is helping me deal with the complete horror of this by posting about it, rather than just bottling it up inside

[Lowbankclaret]

Having read this thread and watched news feeds over the last couple of weeks I've never been so frustrated, angry and upset at what is unfolding before my eyes.....I think frustrated at the fact I can't do or am not sure what to do to help, angry at the bad policy i believe over many years of all sides that have lead to this and upset
at the displaced people of Ukraine......I'm not one for having a rant online but at least it will give the wife's ears a rest..please keep the information coming...thanks.

Not really a rant.
More a reflection of what we all feel.

[elwaclaret]

Journalist Julia Loft saying friends in Russia are saying restrictions are now being enforced on grocery shopping in Russia

https://twitter.com/juliaioffe/status/1 ... 99081?s=21

[elwaclaret]

Sorry, too good not to post - New kit added to REVEL model kits -

https://twitter.com/okeefehistorian/sta ... 85313?s=21

[Billy Balfour]

Kolesnikov would be the 3rd Russian Maj General killed in little over two weeks of fighting.

[elwaclaret]

Yet to be confirmed - but this is potentially massive:

Anonymous have announced they have broken into the Russian federal agency and have released 360,000 Russian files into the public domain.

https://twitter.com/calltoactivism/stat ... 64580?s=21

[elwaclaret]

Military expert Caddick-Adams retweet : if you want to know Russian plans, look what they are accusing others of.

https://twitter.com/dalperovitch/status ... 40803?s=21

[elwaclaret]

God bless Yelena Osipova -

https://twitter.com/olliecarroll/status ... 97960?s=21

[Lancasterclaret]

Kolesnikov would be the 3rd Russian Maj General killed in little over two weeks of fighting.

Yeah

It makes absolutely zero sense

Unless the Russian communications are so poor that they are having to use very easily trackable devices and that its getting picked up by the various intelligence agencies who are supporting Ukraine

But its still a sign of how badly the Russians are approaching this

[elwaclaret]

Mark Hertling reminds us (and Putin) that retired RU General Ivashov published an open letter on 3rd February calling for Putin to resign after hearing of Putin’s plan to attack - stating it would destroy Russia and cost tens-of thousands of lives .

https://twitter.com/olliecarroll/status ... 97960?s=21

[elwaclaret]

Yeah

It makes absolutely zero sense

Unless the Russian communications are so poor that they are having to use very easily trackable devices and that its getting picked up by the various intelligence agencies who are supporting Ukraine

But its still a sign of how badly the Russians are approaching this

Several sources stating very little coding going on - and the West has teams of listeners making sure every communication is being recorded and relayed.

[Sottpark1 !]

Another here appreciating the thread taking heart from the positive news , but struggling with not being able to do anything to help these brave people , it really feels like a massive turning point in history , it’s never been clearer what I stand for and what I loathe and I hope most of us feel more united than we have a for a long time, I hope we can give them as much help as possible, humanitarian, financial and yes militarily, we’ve sleepwalked into Putins land grabs and eroding our democracy through his cronies all being complicit it must stop here !

[elwaclaret]

Another here appreciating the thread taking heart from the positive news , but struggling with not being able to do anything to help these brave people , it really feels like a massive turning point in history , it’s never been clearer what I stand for and what I loathe and I hope most of us feel more united than we have a for a long time, I hope we can give them as much help as possible, humanitarian, financial and yes militarily, we’ve sleepwalked into Putins land grabs and eroding our democracy through his cronies all being complicit it must stop here !

- part of why I’m on here so often at the moment - this stuff needs recording for tomorrows historians as well as keeping us up to date with the best sources available. I may not be able to fight for Ukraine but WE CAN make sure the truth of it is circulating at least in our little part of the world.

[Lancasterclaret]

At least eight captured or destroyed Russian T-72 tanks

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1502309451759501313

[elwaclaret]

Reuters: Russia’s Metal King, Potanin warns Putin not to take Russia back to 1917. That nationalisation of Western companies facilities will destroy future outside investment for years to come.

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1502 ... 76832?s=21