A meaningful guess is better than a meaningless statistic.Lowbankclaret wrote: ↑Tue Mar 24, 2020 5:15 pmAnd you don’t understand or accept it is in fact correct.
You just want to use a different calculation because you don’t like it.
If you test positive for Covid 19 world wide you have an 86% chance of recovery, 14% chance of dying. Even I dare not share your chances if your positive in the UK.
Only when we have an antibody test will your preferred calculation become valid as a calculation.
Today it’s just simply a guess.
What your stat is saying is that if more of the people with mild coronavirus were tested, then the death rate would drop. Which is true in a sense - the death rate of people tested would drop. But perhaps more importantly for the world, the numbers of deaths would be unaffected.