Thursday racing

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happyclaret17
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Thursday racing

Post by happyclaret17 » Thu Jun 22, 2017 11:37 am

2 30 HAVANA GREY 8/1

3 05 BENBATL 9/2

3 40 ALLURINGLY 7/2
NAUGHTY OR NICE 9/1

4 20 ORDER OF ST GEORGE 10/11

5 05 KEYSER SOZE 10/1
INDIAN DANDY 40/1

5 35 TARTINI 16/1
DROCHAID 16/1

8 50 CHARMING LOZA 9/1


once again the draw will be crucial today....hopefully after today tomorrows draw bias will be clear....
very important to try and narrow down the fields.
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JohnMac
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by JohnMac » Thu Jun 22, 2017 11:42 am

Cheers Happy!

PaintYorkClaretnBlue
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by PaintYorkClaretnBlue » Thu Jun 22, 2017 11:59 am

Cheers happy!

dogwith3legs
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by dogwith3legs » Thu Jun 22, 2017 12:17 pm

For those that follow the golf PGA at least it's The Travellers Championship this weekend

Behind this week but having been through things it’s not so easy to come up with good fits as there are not really any clear trends with it. Last event form (US Open) it's suggested that those that go well in the US Open this don’t tend to go well here. Also there is history of winners coming from behind so I’m happy to initially pick out a few non US Open contenders at longer odds – then look to pick up some value picks in-play. I look at Day and Spieth as those at shorter odds looking to reverse US Open form – albeit Spieth didn’t contend he finished well with a 69 I will monitor these two for some value. Can’t explain Day’s performance last week – perhaps a blip in an upward trend…. He seemed to be returning to some form

Used the following to try and narrow down some picks for now and possibly in-play

· Not a long course
· Doesn’t favour either long or short hitters – both golfing types have had success here in the past. Driving distance and accuracy don’t appear to be a key factor (though obviously they will always help)
· Medium sized and slowish greens.
· High scoring event – could be an importance on who is hot with the putter this week (not always easy to predict). Also ability to make birdies (Par 4 Birdies or better stat)
· I will initially discount US Open contenders
· Mix of previous winners - Outsiders, PGA first time winners and old-pro's can be considered
· Winning from off the pace is common
· Stats used - SG Putting, PAR 4 Birdie or Better
· Course form not essential but is a related positive

Here’s 3 looking for first PGA tour wins that I have nibbled at for pre-play win/ e/w or Top 10/20

Anirban Lahiri 110/1- I noted this guy contend a couple of times last season he seems to get hot rounds in bursts and noted him again last time out at Memorial where he put together a very nice last round 65 for final day contention and (very quietly) finished Tied for 2nd place. His 3rd round was was also decent (69). Could be a player with momentum. He sits in the Top 20 P4 birdie’s or better stat – capable of low scoring rounds

Kevin Tway 80/1 - Comes in fresh after very solid form previously. Decent SG putting stats and solid all round game. He has got close a couple of times already this season – seems a hungry sort

Trey Mullinax – 150/1 . Nice performance at the US Open to finish T9 and this pick kind of goes against my strategy for this week but he looks to be on the up . I saw him last week and noted him to back next time out. The week before he was top 20 at the ST Jude Classic. This after a number of MC’s. Looking for first PGA tour win. Strong in Birdie and Putting averages
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ClaretinMyBlood
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by ClaretinMyBlood » Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:13 pm

Nice win from Benbatl.
Cheers!

cutsy123
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by cutsy123 » Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:13 pm

Benbatl wins at a good price

quoonbeatz
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by quoonbeatz » Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:16 pm

nice one on benbatl, sneaked on it yesterday!

Zesty
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by Zesty » Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:25 pm

Won with that one and backed most of the others with the winnings :D

dushanbe
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by dushanbe » Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:25 pm

I'm by no means an expert but Benbatyl seemed to be ridden perfectly there.

Elder statesman
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by Elder statesman » Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:41 pm

Cheers happy. Did Benbati. Let's hope Ryan can make it two.

happyclaret17
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by happyclaret17 » Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:41 pm

Dushanbe...Benbatl was drawn perfectly and was given a competent ride for a horse with that draw....drawn too low and they go too fast too early...drawn too wide and they either bomb it to the front or take their chance from the rear.....as I mentioned yesterday, I had lots of negatives for the others and Benbatl was the form horse with everything in his favour.....the 2nd horse ran a cracker and it would have been touch and go if that had had a better draw....also, the 2nd horse has a rounded action so would appreciate slower ground,...gone in my notebook.

Zesty
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by Zesty » Thu Jun 22, 2017 5:22 pm

Got a place on Indian at 25-1 !

How do you even notice these horses at prices like that, in need to start putting more on only £1 ew again :lol:

Cleveleys_claret
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by Cleveleys_claret » Thu Jun 22, 2017 8:18 pm

Nice £850 off a 2.50 ew treble
Nice £850 off a 2.50 ew treble
IMG-20170622-WA0005.jpg (193.88 KiB) Viewed 2248 times
Nice £850 off a £2.50 ew treble
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PaintYorkClaretnBlue
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by PaintYorkClaretnBlue » Thu Jun 22, 2017 8:38 pm

Great shout Cleveleys, nice result!!

Cleveleys_claret
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by Cleveleys_claret » Thu Jun 22, 2017 8:42 pm

Had fell asleep before the Coronet race and woke up just in time to watch Big Orange which on seeing it win checked on how Coronet did.

PaintYorkClaretnBlue
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by PaintYorkClaretnBlue » Thu Jun 22, 2017 8:43 pm

What a nice surprise!! :-)

ClaretinMyBlood
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Re: Thursday racing

Post by ClaretinMyBlood » Thu Jun 22, 2017 8:46 pm

Charming Loza has drifted all way out to 16's! :shock:

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