O/T Just let it go

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Paul Waine
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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Paul Waine » Fri Apr 14, 2017 10:55 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:Go on then. To whom are you comparing modern left-wing political protesters?
Isn't that exactly what Sean Spicer did when he was asked for clarification of his first statement.

If you recall, you mentioned that you had no memory of left going beyond "temper tantrum and not terrorism."

It's encouraging if you are suggesting that in "modern" period "left-wing political protesters" do not kill people.

How do you define "modern?" and how do you define "political protester?"

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by martin_p » Fri Apr 14, 2017 11:03 pm

dsr wrote:But it wasn't a complete about face. She went from "On balance I support membership of the EU" to "I support the result of the referendum". Are you saying that every single politician who supported membership of the EU should never again sit in government in the UK? I would have thought it a valid position to say that although the current situation was not their first choice, they are willing to accept majority rule and will go forward and make the best of the situation. Who knows, there may even be a politician or two willing to concede that although the decision wasn't a decision they would have taken, there is nonetheless a possibility that it was the right decision!

Politicians who were EU first and UK as an afterthought, would be hypocritical to want to be in a UK government. I don't think Teresa May was ever that.
Her secret speeches to investment bankers were significantly more doom laden about the prospect of Brexit. And no, I don't think every pro EU politician should step down from government, after all we've had decades of anti EU politicians successfully serving. However, I do think that at least the leader should believe in the direction of travel. They're the ones selling the vision, May's vision wasn't Brexit.
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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by BennyD » Fri Apr 14, 2017 11:34 pm

Lancasterclaret wrote:Uncanny the amount of brexiteers that are so opposed to the undemocratic nature of the Eu, but by a complete coincidence, also come across as ever so slightly bigoted on threads about Islam.

Uncanny

And just like the likes of bill cash did, I ain't going to stop fighting for what I believe is right.
So, who or what are you fighting, and how are you going about it? Personally, I think it's merely a sign of your angst at picking the wrong horse to back. GET OVER IT, ITS A DONE DEAL!!

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sat Apr 15, 2017 9:28 am

BennyD wrote: GET OVER IT, ITS A DONE DEAL!!
So what is this deal?
Please tell, and then let Davis, Fox, Johnson, May etc know, because they don't have a clue. Indeed, Mrs May has admitted this by saying that "No deal is better than a bad deal".

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Paul Waine » Sat Apr 15, 2017 10:35 am

nil_desperandum wrote:So what is this deal?
Please tell, and then let Davis, Fox, Johnson, May etc know, because they don't have a clue. Indeed, Mrs May has admitted this by saying that "No deal is better than a bad deal".
Hi nil_d,

Deal I'd like is one where every country can "hold out the hand of friendship" to all other countries. Where we all agree to work together for mutual benefit. Where we all agree to trade between us, without creating barriers that may limit the economic situations for people on both sides of the barriers. Where people are free to travel between countries, while respecting the ways societies in those other countries have chosen to organise. Where the "better off" can be generous to those in need in other countries.

Some say that trading under WTO terms will be harmful for UK. So, let's start campaigning to make WTO terms equal to "single market" terms.

Let's start to build a world our children and grandchildren can enjoy - and be proud of what we have bequeathed them.
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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sat Apr 15, 2017 10:42 am

100% agree Paul, but I'm not sure that some on both sides (or all sides) share our values or aspirations.
Do you think that Trump and Kim Jong Un agree with us? Doubt even Farage shares these values.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by taio » Sat Apr 15, 2017 10:53 am

nil_desperandum wrote:Indeed, Mrs May has admitted this by saying that "No deal is better than a bad deal".
For me it's important she took such at position ahead of negotiations.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Imploding Turtle » Sat Apr 15, 2017 10:58 am

When are the people telling the rest of us to "get over it" going to get over the fact that our voices and our concerns are just as important and valid as theirs?

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Sidney1st » Sat Apr 15, 2017 11:07 am

Imploding Turtle wrote:When are the people telling the rest of us to "get over it" going to get over the fact that our voices and our concerns are just as important and valid as theirs?
Probably about the same time as you stop calling people who voted leave stupid for doing so.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Imploding Turtle » Sat Apr 15, 2017 11:34 am

Sidney1st wrote:Probably about the same time as you stop calling people who voted leave stupid for doing so.
Pretty sure i've never done that. And it happens far than being told to shut up and get over it any time I want to share a concern.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Sidney1st » Sat Apr 15, 2017 11:44 am

You've certainly insinuated as much on more than one occasion that leave voters are daft.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Paul Waine » Sat Apr 15, 2017 12:31 pm

nil_desperandum wrote:100% agree Paul, but I'm not sure that some on both sides (or all sides) share our values or aspirations.
Do you think that Trump and Kim Jong Un agree with us? Doubt even Farage shares these values.
That's the challenge: how can we get politicians to align themselves with the rest of us, rather than take themselves on their own personal "power trip."

Yes, North Korea is "scary" - and, I'm sure everyone (including PDT himself) would prefer that someone else was leading USA (and the free world) at this time.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Paul Waine » Sat Apr 15, 2017 12:34 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:When are the people telling the rest of us to "get over it" going to get over the fact that our voices and our concerns are just as important and valid as theirs?
Hi IT, it's time for all of us to "get over it." There are more important things going on in the world and North Korea.

The UK's relationship with the EU is irrelevant in terms of world politics.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Imploding Turtle » Sat Apr 15, 2017 1:54 pm

Oh yes. North Korea and it's mythical Pyongyang evacuation and the phantom tropp build-up on its northern border.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by martin_p » Sat Apr 15, 2017 2:20 pm

Paul Waine wrote:Hi IT, it's time for all of us to "get over it." There are more important things going on in the world and North Korea.

The UK's relationship with the EU is irrelevant in terms of world politics.
He's right, the government should be concentrating all its energies elsewhere. Best way to do this is to revoke article 50 and just carry on how we are.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sat Apr 15, 2017 2:25 pm

taio wrote:For me it's important she took such at position ahead of negotiations.
So can you please clarify what you understand by "no deal"? I honestly don't know what no deal means.
Suppose you are on holiday in the EU on the 31st March 2019, and rather than continuing negotiations our team of negotiators say "that's it - no deal". Will your EHIC card still be valid?, (what happens if you happen to have to visit the hospital on April 1st?) Will anyone check you at the border on April 1st? Will you be able to bring home the things you may have bought whilst on holiday? What happens to shared intelligence on crime and terrorism do we just turn our backs on all the arrangements we currently have? etc. etc.
It's a great soundbite, but I don't see how there can possibly be no deal - other than to say that "in the short term things stay as they are until we settle these matters."
I assume by "no deal" she means we'll instantly revert to WTO rules, but that's such a small part of the complex nature of our complex relationship with the EU.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Damo » Sat Apr 15, 2017 2:31 pm

martin_p wrote:He's right, the government should be concentrating all its energies elsewhere. Best way to do this is to revoke article 50 and just carry on how we are.
:lol:

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by bfcmik » Sat Apr 15, 2017 2:38 pm

I have 'let it go' in exactly the same way that I have 'let it go' that a party of truly horrible people won the last General Election. I accept that the majority of electors stupidly voted to elect more Conservative MPs than all other party's MPs combined. I don't have to like it or agree with it but I have to accept it.

I also have to accept the result of the referendum. I don't have to like it or agree with it and I don't feel a need to stop believing that people voting leave were stupid, naive and gullible in their acceptance of the vague statements of our future. Sadly, nothing I have heard from gloating leave campaigners since the vote has filled me with any confidence that they have a single clue about how it is going to work and what they hope to achieve.

It was one of those situations that they didn't believe they would win so felt free to promise the sun and stars without limit. Once the result was in look how quickly people like Farage ran for the hills.
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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by brexit » Sat Apr 15, 2017 2:39 pm

is this still rattling on.
Seriously just let it go?
In Nigel We Trust
Last edited by brexit on Sat Apr 15, 2017 2:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Paul Waine » Sat Apr 15, 2017 2:40 pm

nil_desperandum wrote:So can you please clarify what you understand by "no deal"? I honestly don't know what no deal means.
Suppose you are on holiday in the EU on the 31st March 2019, and rather than continuing negotiations our team of negotiators say "that's it - no deal". Will your EHIC card still be valid?, (what happens if you happen to have to visit the hospital on April 1st?) Will anyone check you at the border on April 1st? Will you be able to bring home the things you may have bought whilst on holiday? What happens to shared intelligence on crime and terrorism do we just turn our backs on all the arrangements we currently have? etc. etc.
It's a great soundbite, but I don't see how there can possibly be no deal - other than to say that "in the short term things stay as they are until we settle these matters."
I assume by "no deal" she means we'll instantly revert to WTO rules, but that's such a small part of the complex nature of our complex relationship with the EU.
The way I understand "no deal" is along the lines of "please don't force an unacceptable deal on the UK, please don't, as Boris has spoken, seek to "punish" the UK for leaving the EU, please don't demand money for things that aren't part of the UK's obligations (I'm sure the UK will meet all obligations), please don't seek to make "enemies" where we want to be friends...."

Re some of the items you mention:
EHIC - I can see this ending when Brexit is complete, but I don't see this as a "big deal." The EHIC entitles you to access local health care system on the same basis as "the locals." In many EU nations, everyone pays something towards the own health care - it isn't free. Almost always we will all be better off buying our own travel insurance - which, of course, provides cover for a lot more than health needs. (UK citizens that live as ex-pats in other EU nations aren't covered by EHIC, they are locals).
Passport checks and boards - this is the case now, it's only the Shengen area where passports aren't checked. But, remember, in many EU countries everyone, citizens and visitors are required to carry ID at all times, either national ID card or passport (photo driving licenses may also cover it).
Customs duties - yes, I can see this changing, same rules that apply if we visit somewhere that isn't in the EU.
Shared intelligence - I'm sure this will continue, just as UK shares with USA, Australia and others. And, UK will still be in NATO.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sat Apr 15, 2017 2:55 pm

Hi Paul.
No real argument with the points you make, except to point out that all the items you clarify would in my eyes constitute a "deal".
Not a trade deal of course, but we would need to know where we stood on April 1st 2019, and so some kind of deal would have to be struck. e.g. What's to stop the French just abandoning the border at Calais, Caen, Cherbourg etc., if we don't have an agreement with them after March 31st 2019?
One further point: the EHIC card is vital to many with homes in France. You have to live in France permanently for it to be invalid, in which case you will presumably have opted into one of their schemes. If you live in France for less than 133 days per year then the EHIC card works fine.
An English friend of ours In France collapsed last week. The paramedics were out in a flash and took her to the local hospital. She was quickly assessed, and very promptly asked "how are you going to pay?". Her husband produced the EHIC card out of his wallet, and after 3 days on a hospital drip and some fantastic care she is now recovering at home, having paid nothing.
EDIT: Sorry just spotted an error. I mean't to type 183 days - not 133. .i.e. 6 months + 1 day.
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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by martin_p » Sat Apr 15, 2017 2:58 pm

We stop being in the EU at midnight on 29th March 2019. Everything we have with the EU will end then unless some sort of alternative deal has been worked out (including the EHIC)

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sat Apr 15, 2017 3:09 pm

martin_p wrote:We stop being in the EU at midnight on 29th March 2019. Everything we have with the EU will end then unless some sort of alternative deal has been worked out (including the EHIC)
That's exactly what I understand by no deal Martin, and clearly that can't happen, with workers and tourists spread all over the EU as the deadline passes. (Not to mention of course the rights and status of EU workers here in the UK).

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by USC » Sat Apr 15, 2017 3:28 pm

With all the concerns stated on this thread, it makes you wonder why we bothered with Brexit in the first place. Sounds like we'd have been better off remaining in the EU.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Paul Waine » Sat Apr 15, 2017 4:08 pm

nil_desperandum wrote:Hi Paul.
No real argument with the points you make, except to point out that all the items you clarify would in my eyes constitute a "deal".
Not a trade deal of course, but we would need to know where we stood on April 1st 2019, and so some kind of deal would have to be struck. e.g. What's to stop the French just abandoning the border at Calais, Caen, Cherbourg etc., if we don't have an agreement with them after March 31st 2019?
One further point: the EHIC card is vital to many with homes in France. You have to live in France permanently for it to be invalid, in which case you will presumably have opted into one of their schemes. If you live in France for less than 133 days per year then the EHIC card works fine.
An English friend of ours In France collapsed last week. The paramedics were out in a flash and took her to the local hospital. She was quickly assessed, and very promptly asked "how are you going to pay?". Her husband produced the EHIC card out of his wallet, and after 3 days on a hospital drip and some fantastic care she is now recovering at home, having paid nothing.
Hi nil_d,

Not sure what you mean by France "abandoning the border..." the places you mention will still be in France. I guess you are referring to the immigrants/refugees that are gathered in France, but want to be in UK. I understand international law requires refugees to apply for asylum in the first safe country.. I assume France is still safe in these terms. I wonder what the UK would do if the situation was the other way round, the camps were in Dover and the immigrants/refugees wanted to get to France?

OK. I didn't know that EHIC covered people for up to 133 days - that's a long time, perhaps 4 visits of a month each time. I hope your friend is recovering well. I know of Brits who've experienced health care in Spain - and compare it very favourably with the NHS.

How many of us have a second home in France or another EU country? How long has UK government policy been written to look after the needs of the "relatively better off?" I think any UK Gov't would have a problem negotiating to maintain EHIC under these terms, especially when there is a reluctance in some of the NHS to seek to recover health care costs provided to EU under EHIC in UK.

Does all that make sense? 1-1 while I'm typing. UTC

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by BennyD » Sat Apr 15, 2017 4:36 pm

Paul Waine wrote:Hi nil_d,

Deal I'd like is one where every country can "hold out the hand of friendship" to all other countries. Where we all agree to work together for mutual benefit. Where we all agree to trade between us, without creating barriers that may limit the economic situations for people on both sides of the barriers. Where people are free to travel between countries, while respecting the ways societies in those other countries have chosen to organise. Where the "better off" can be generous to those in need in other countries.

Some say that trading under WTO terms will be harmful for UK. So, let's start campaigning to make WTO terms equal to "single market" terms.

Let's start to build a world our children and grandchildren can enjoy - and be proud of what we have bequeathed them.
Sounds like a liberal's wet dream.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sat Apr 15, 2017 5:27 pm

Paul Waine wrote:Hi nil_d,

Not sure what you mean by France "abandoning the border..." the places you mention will still be in France.
Hi Paul.
Just to clarify. What I was meaning is if we have the famous May "no deal", what happens to the current co-operation at the French channel ports whereby stringent checks are made by officials with dogs etc, of all trucks and (usually to a lesser extent of all other vehicles).?
[I've been made to open not only my boot but also my bonnet (at gun point) on recent crossings.]
If there's no deal, then what's to stop the French from saving money by just allowing all and sundry through and leaving us to deal with it all at this side of the channel.? Of course a deal will be done on this, but this just shows what nonsense May's threat of "no deal" is. She doesn't hold enough the cards to do it.
"How many of us have a second home in France or another EU country? How long has UK government policy been written to look after the needs of the "relatively better off?" I think any UK Gov't would have a problem negotiating to maintain EHIC under these terms, especially when there is a reluctance in some of the NHS to seek to recover health care costs provided to EU under EHIC in UK."
But the EHIC currently covers all who are in the EU - including all those who work there, (even just maybe flying in for a meeting), and who in many cases are not well off at all, + tourists / families, many of whom already have to scrimp and save for a holiday and can ill afford the extra costs for additional premiums to insurance to cover the benefits of EHIC being lost.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by dsr » Sat Apr 15, 2017 6:20 pm

nil_desperandum wrote:Hi Paul.
Just to clarify. What I was meaning is if we have the famous May "no deal", what happens to the current co-operation at the French channel ports whereby stringent checks are made by officials with dogs etc, of all trucks and (usually to a lesser extent of all other vehicles).?
[I've been made to open not only my boot but also my bonnet (at gun point) on recent crossings.]
If there's no deal, then what's to stop the French from saving money by just allowing all and sundry through and leaving us to deal with it all at this side of the channel.? Of course a deal will be done on this, but this just shows what nonsense May's threat of "no deal" is. She doesn't hold enough the cards to do it.
Nothing. We'd have to do the checks in the UK instead. Where it is different is that we would have the power to make the company that brought the immigrants in (Chunnel, Sealink, whoever) take them back again. Rather like happens if an airline carries an illegal immigrant to the USA.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sat Apr 15, 2017 6:50 pm

dsr wrote:Nothing. We'd have to do the checks in the UK instead. Where it is different is that we would have the power to make the company that brought the immigrants in (Chunnel, Sealink, whoever) take them back again. Rather like happens if an airline carries an illegal immigrant to the USA.
And you think that this would be a simple matter?
Send one airline passenger back - fair enough. There are almost 50 crossings per day on the Calais / Dover route alone. Without French co-operation on the other side of the channel there would be utter chaos at the British ports and I suspect the services would gridlock.
There'll be a deal on this - rest assured.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by dsr » Sat Apr 15, 2017 7:13 pm

It's not an issue with airlines, because (due to terrorism threats and other reasons) no-one is allowed on a plane without a valid passport. I think you'll find that airlines are already obliged to take people back where they came from, if they don't have a valid entry document to reach their country of destination - wherever it may be.

So yes, I think as far as airlines are concerned, it would be an absolutely trivial matter. I suspect it would be simple enough for ferries and the Chunnel too - I know your passport is checked at St Pancras, for example; if the French or Belgian authorities don't check passports at the pther end, then the train company will have to.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by PutTheWheelieBinsOut » Sat Apr 15, 2017 9:46 pm

nil_desperandum wrote:And you think that this would be a simple matter?
Send one airline passenger back - fair enough. There are almost 50 crossings per day on the Calais / Dover route alone. Without French co-operation on the other side of the channel there would be utter chaos at the British ports and I suspect the services would gridlock.
There'll be a deal on this - rest assured.
Why would this be a problem? Surely the EU is so awesome that refugees would not want to go to a doomed country outside the EU, isn't it obvious they just won't want to come here. Remember we are economically doomed and there will be no jobs, I wish the remainers would keep up with themselves. Don't you remember the emergency budget that was held just after the referendum???

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sat Apr 15, 2017 10:23 pm

I do like it when kids join in an adult debate.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sat Apr 15, 2017 10:37 pm

PutTheWheelieBinsOut wrote:Why would this be a problem? Surely the EU is so awesome that refugees would not want to go to a doomed country outside the EU, isn't it obvious they just won't want to come here. Remember we are economically doomed and there will be no jobs, I wish the remainers would keep up with themselves. Don't you remember the emergency budget that was held just after the referendum???
Firstly, I wasn't particularly thinking of refugees. I was thinking far more of terrorists and criminals, (who so far as I am concerned are not the same as refugees). In any case, one would hope that the UK will still be open to genuine refugees. They aren't from the EU so that situation shouldn't change.
Secondly, the emergency budget was something that Osborne warned would happen after Brexit. It was his personal view expressed on one occasion, and not one widely advertised on the side of a bus like the £350 million for the NHS by the Leave campaign, or the disgusting picture of refugees plastered on advertising boards by UKip. (Nobody much believes what Osborne says anyway).
Whether there'll be an emergency budget after brexit, we'll find out in 2019.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sat Apr 15, 2017 10:44 pm

dsr wrote:It's not an issue with airlines, because (due to terrorism threats and other reasons) no-one is allowed on a plane without a valid passport. .
You do know that that's not the case, don't you?
Passports are not usually compulsory for domestic flights within the same country, and you can use an EEA identity card within the EU on most flights.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by dsr » Sun Apr 16, 2017 12:20 am

nil_desperandum wrote:You do know that that's not the case, don't you?
Passports are not usually compulsory for domestic flights within the same country, and you can use an EEA identity card within the EU on most flights.
A refugee can't get into the country on a domestic flight, though. You were worried about the French cutting back on customs officers in Calais. There is literally no problem with refugees trying to get from Manchester to Heathrow. And an EEA identity card will be no use for flying France to the UK because the UK won't be in the EU.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sun Apr 16, 2017 8:47 am

dsr wrote:A refugee can't get into the country on a domestic flight, though. You were worried about the French cutting back on customs officers in Calais. There is literally no problem with refugees trying to get from Manchester to Heathrow. And an EEA identity card will be no use for flying France to the UK because the UK won't be in the EU.
All correct, but I was simply replying to your assertion that you can't currently fly without a passport.
My original point - in any case - was that criminals. terrorists etc. could potentially get all the way to mainland UK without an identity card / passport / check of any kind, if we don't have co-operation with the French at the other side of the channel. (Again - I stress - this won't actually happen. There'll be a deal).

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Paul Waine » Sun Apr 16, 2017 11:53 am

nil_desperandum wrote:Hi Paul.
Just to clarify. What I was meaning is if we have the famous May "no deal", what happens to the current co-operation at the French channel ports whereby stringent checks are made by officials with dogs etc, of all trucks and (usually to a lesser extent of all other vehicles).?
[I've been made to open not only my boot but also my bonnet (at gun point) on recent crossings.]
If there's no deal, then what's to stop the French from saving money by just allowing all and sundry through and leaving us to deal with it all at this side of the channel.? Of course a deal will be done on this, but this just shows what nonsense May's threat of "no deal" is. She doesn't hold enough the cards to do it.
"How many of us have a second home in France or another EU country? How long has UK government policy been written to look after the needs of the "relatively better off?" I think any UK Gov't would have a problem negotiating to maintain EHIC under these terms, especially when there is a reluctance in some of the NHS to seek to recover health care costs provided to EU under EHIC in UK."
But the EHIC currently covers all who are in the EU - including all those who work there, (even just maybe flying in for a meeting), and who in many cases are not well off at all, + tourists / families, many of whom already have to scrimp and save for a holiday and can ill afford the extra costs for additional premiums to insurance to cover the benefits of EHIC being lost.
Hi nil_d, and Happy Easter.

My understanding of the "French borders agreement" is that it is separate from EU. Of course, it is possible that France decides to end this agreement, some French politicians have made this suggestion. I also understand that a lot of the French costs are paid by UK.

Re EHIC, most people travelling to EU on business will be covered by their employer's insurance arrangements. I know I was always covered this way. I'm not sure about self-employed, I assume if they got a few days work in Europe they will arrange their travel insurance accordingly. (Anything more formal/longer term should be covered by their employment according to local country). Tourists and other short term holiday makers usually have travel insurance and this will provide cover for a lot more risks than health issues. I agree there will always be some who find any increase in travel insurance resulting from withdrawal of EHIC an additional burden, but I'd be surprised if this would add more than £20 to total cost of travel insurance for 2 weeks for a family.

I'm not sure of the numbers of EHIC cards that were issued. I'm sure there were many who'd not heard of EHIC until June last year.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by dsr » Sun Apr 16, 2017 3:39 pm

nil_desperandum wrote:All correct, but I was simply replying to your assertion that you can't currently fly without a passport.
My original point - in any case - was that criminals. terrorists etc. could potentially get all the way to mainland UK without an identity card / passport / check of any kind, if we don't have co-operation with the French at the other side of the channel. (Again - I stress - this won't actually happen. There'll be a deal).
Then ignoring everything that has gone between, what I said was that it should be made a rule that anyone carrying people from outside the UK to the UK will have to check the passports, and if they're travelling without a valid passport, the carrier will have to take them back. Which is what airlines already do.

I agree that on domestic flights it is possible to fly without a passport, but that's not relevant for the purposes of immigration from outside the UK.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Rowls » Sun Apr 16, 2017 3:44 pm

Lancasterclaret wrote:Think its clear enough Rowls.
Bright bloke like you should be able to see it.
Or maybe you are like quite a lot of your type, you just ignore the rather nasty bits of your support?
It's as clear as it is sly and snide Lancaster. That's why you ought to have had the courage to say it outright.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by FactualFrank » Sun Apr 16, 2017 3:50 pm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=moSFlvxnbgk" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by nil_desperandum » Sun Apr 16, 2017 3:54 pm

dsr wrote:Then ignoring everything that has gone between, what I said was that it should be made a rule that anyone carrying people from outside the UK to the UK will have to check the passports,
I haven't ignored anything that's gone in between, it's just that most of it isn't relevant to the initial point I was making re: "deal or no deal"
So to get back to my initial point, you now agree that "it should be made a rule........", so by definition that agreement would be a "deal". I've not really disagreed with anything you've said other than to continue to make the point that TM's ""no deal" is better than a "bad deal"" doesn't make any sense. We can't just walk away from the EU on Mar 29th 2019 with nothing in place. The only way that there can be "no deal" is if things stay as they are - otherwise whatever we get on Mar 29th 2019 - good or bad - is by definition the deal.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by dsr » Sun Apr 16, 2017 3:59 pm

No. The UK needs to make that rule. It will be a domestic rule and the EU does not need to agree.

If we leave the EU without a deal, as I believe we will because there's no way the 27 countries will agree anything in 2 years, then we will be dealing with the EU on pretty much the same terms as we currently deal with the USA. The EU will not suddenly become North Korea, and nor will the UK.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sun Apr 16, 2017 4:55 pm

I repeat Rowls, its as clear as the implication in the McKenzie article yesterday.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sun Apr 16, 2017 4:56 pm

If we leave the EU without a deal, as I believe we will because there's no way the 27 countries will agree anything in 2 years, then we will be dealing with the EU on pretty much the same terms as we currently deal with the USA.
Rather than say stuff like that, and relying on the people actually knowing what that means, can you actually tell people that is going to be a lot worse than the current trading situation.

For some reason best known to you and your lot, you don't seem to like actually highlighting stuff that people don't want to hear.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by martin_p » Sun Apr 16, 2017 5:02 pm

The EU is being pretty clear that they won't even start discussing a trade deal until agreements are made over the money the U.K. needs to pay to the EU on exit and the rights of EU citizens already here. A trade deal is a long, long way off.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by CrosspoolClarets » Sun Apr 16, 2017 5:22 pm

I've stopped thinking about the pros and cons of trade deals because there are simply too many variables to ponder.

For example, a quick switch to a USA style agreement, or lack of one, can't happen, because as it stands there is no physical customs infrastructure with the EU 27. It's not a zero sum game either, it's not like Country A applies a tariff to Country B with a debit and credit. All countries would have to spend a fortune on customs and other changes too.

The EU saying delay until the divorce bill is agreed is a red herring, they know they can't afford to delay really. Nor can we.

I feel fairly sure the UK will get a free trade deal and we will end up paying for it, so the EU saves face, because paying, say, £5bn p.a. is small beer for the UK aside from the politics. Both sides can then claim to be winners. Our politicians will then promise not to stir the pot in public by claiming leaving the EU is a good thing so it helps deter others. Some agreement will be thrashed out. But we will probably never know the full details.

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by dsr » Sun Apr 16, 2017 9:06 pm

Lancasterclaret wrote:Rather than say stuff like that, and relying on the people actually knowing what that means, can you actually tell people that is going to be a lot worse than the current trading situation.

For some reason best known to you and your lot, you don't seem to like actually highlighting stuff that people don't want to hear.
Very well. What it means is that if we don't make a trade deal with the EU, then (since all the EU countries and the UK are all members of the World Trade Organisation) we will have to trade under World Trade Organisation rules. These are the same rules we currently use in trading with the USA, Japan, China, India, and various other countries with whom the EU doesn't have a trade agreement.

The EU can't opt out of WTO rules unless all the 27 members resign from the WTO. Although the EU sits on the WTO and joins negotiations as if it was a single country, the (currently) 28 members are all on the WTO in their own right.

And the reason I don't think we will get any sort of trade deal with the EU, is the result of the attempt to get a trade deal with the USA. In that negotiation, there was apparent goodwill on both sides, and yet in 7 years they couldn't get a deal agreed. With the EU/UK negotiations, there is much less goodwill on at least one side, there are only two years, and there are other things to talk about too. I don't think there's either the time or the determination to get anything agreed.

So instead of the current situation, where we have single market with the EU but WTO rules for most of the rest of the world; we will have WTO rules with the EU but be free to negotiate any agreement we want with the rest of the world.

Will that be a lot worse than the current trading situation? No. Not in my view. It may be worse, but I doubt it will be a lot worse. It may be better - remember WTO rules apply to exports and imports alike, and we have more imports than exports. It may mean we produce more food and products in this country instead of importing them, it may mean we get cheaper foreign markets, who knows?
This user liked this post: Damo

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sun Apr 16, 2017 9:40 pm

That wasn't too hard was it?

Again though, you are not mentioning the costs of WTO tariffs.

I find it very hard to believe that our biggest export market won't be able to find cheaper products within the remaining EU bloc than we can produce relatively quickly.

Which is one of the main reasons I'm against this, and one of the main reasons I'm convinced we are going to take a hit that will hinder a generation, and one of the main reason I'm praying like mad that TM can somehow placate the Conservative right to accept that we might have to pay to enjoy a sizeable benefits of trading with the EU.

But of course it might not be that bad, so I take your point that we don't know yet.

More on WTO tariffs for those who are interested

https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/ta ... iffs_e.htm" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

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Re: O/T Just let it go

Post by dsr » Sun Apr 16, 2017 10:00 pm

Lancasterclaret wrote:That wasn't too hard was it?

Again though, you are not mentioning the costs of WTO tariffs.

I find it very hard to believe that our biggest export market won't be able to find cheaper products within the remaining EU bloc than we can produce relatively quickly.

Which is one of the main reasons I'm against this, and one of the main reasons I'm convinced we are going to take a hit that will hinder a generation, and one of the main reason I'm praying like mad that TM can somehow placate the Conservative right to accept that we might have to pay to enjoy a sizeable benefits of trading with the EU.

But of course it might not be that bad, so I take your point that we don't know yet.

More on WTO tariffs for those who are interested

https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/ta ... iffs_e.htm" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
It is very likely, as you say, that some of our exports won't be exported because it will be cheaper to source the stuff internally within the EU. But I don't reckon it will make all that much difference, because after all in the past we've seen sharp rises in the pound's exchange value which affected our export prices far more than WTO tariffs will. It wasn't disastrous then.

It is also likely, incidentally, that it will work the other way round. Some of the stuff we're importing will be made in this country instead, because it will be cheaper. This will benefit UK industry.

What we most definitely not want to do, IMO, is pay for access to the single market. We run a huge trade deficit with the EU, and huge trade deficits are bad for the country. We need to get away from this reliance on EU imports. Leaving the single market may be a good way to start.

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