Score v Wolves

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Vegas Claret
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Re: Score v Wolves

Post by Vegas Claret » Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:51 pm

Tall Paul wrote:OK, if you're not happy backing your judgment with cash, let's call it a challenge instead of a bet.

If your opinion is that your eyes are a better predictor of future results than a stats based approach, we can test this by comparing your predicted results over the rest of the season to a stats based model's predictions.
I think today was the first time I posted on score prediction, I've no intention of doing it every game. I'll give you a prediction though, unless we shape up pronto we will go down

Tall Paul
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Re: Score v Wolves

Post by Tall Paul » Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:52 pm

Vegas Claret wrote:I think today was the first time I posted on score prediction, I've no intention of doing it every game. I'll give you a prediction though, unless we shape up pronto we will go down
Looks like my prediction was correct, well swerved.

Vegas Claret
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Re: Score v Wolves

Post by Vegas Claret » Thu Sep 13, 2018 6:06 pm

Tall Paul wrote:Looks like my prediction was correct, well swerved.
no swerving anything, but I do have a life and don't spend all my time on here like some do. If you are so confident in the stats though then feel free to put the score up every week and if at the end of the season you get them all correct then I'll buy you a pint next time I'm home

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Re: Score v Wolves

Post by Tall Paul » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:02 pm

Vegas Claret wrote:no swerving anything, but I do have a life and don't spend all my time on here like some do. If you are so confident in the stats though then feel free to put the score up every week and if at the end of the season you get them all correct then I'll buy you a pint next time I'm home
:lol:

There's no point in doing that without your predictions to compare to. My contention is that the stats based models' predictions are better than your (or anyone's) eyetest over a decent sample, not that they can perfectly predict results, that would be ridiculous.

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