This week's Golf

[williamsorhowey]

I wondered if the resident golf expert had any tips for this weekend.

Thanks

[starting_11]

Clean your balls in preparation for the weekend!

[tybfc]

Not pretending in the slightest to be any kind of expert but have a bit of e/w on Thomas Pieters at around 40/1

[TVC15]

If you mean the US Open that's next weekend - Pieters is 50/1 with Bet Fred - and he's a decent shout.

Other outsiders I like are Berger (100s), Kisner (80s) and Molinari at 100s.

Of the top players think Fowler and Spieth should both be thereabouts

[Better Call Saul]

I've always had a feeling that England's Paul Casey will one day win one of the Majors. It could just be next week.
Remember where you heard it first but would I put some money on him, probably not.

[happyclaret17]

Caseys swing just looks so solid...almost like he couldnt fail to win loads....unfortunately as with westwood and plenty of others, when it comes down to the back 9 on a sunday he is found wanting.....I have mailed dog to see if he can post something up...utc.

[dogwith3legs]

Couldn't get hold of the expert but here's my take.... PGA event St June Classic from Memphis. It's already started - behind

Rickie Fowler is favorite and deserved – My main pick last week he played very well for T2nd . Stat wise he is a close this week but 7/1 is too short. I will try pick him up during play if he drifts out

Of the others (obvious picks in the market) that I like and are also good matches here but too short Adam Scott 12/1, Brooks Koepka 14/1 (2nd & 3rd last 2 appearances), Horschel 33/1 (great form and ball striker), Kyle Stanley 32/1 (ball striker but I Q his putting), Berger 32/1 (winner last year and form picking up. Another ball striker with longer irons). These i look at in play. Daniel Sommerhays went very close last week – interested in how he starts this week, he played 3 very impressive rounds but couldn’t close out his 3 shot lead going into the final day

Stats and trends
Not that strong a field - US Open is next week. Lots of water. Small greens. Suits ball strikers. First timers can win here. Following stats as guide:
• Strokes Gained Approach
• Strokes Gained OTT
• P4 Birdies or better
• Prox 150-175
• Gd Drive %

My pre play bets are these with low stakes wins and will check the Top10/20 markets:

Ian Poulter 64/1 . His form picked up at The Players with a T2. He played very well on approaches. This course suits that type of ball striking player and good approaches. He can go well. He has a T6 here in the past. At 64/1 it looks an excellent price
Seung-yul Noh 75/1 . Form decent with T5 last month. Has played well here in the past suggests he has the right skills. Only Q was he withdrew for some reason last week but 75/1 good price
Peter Uihlein 85/1 . A bit of an unknown but he’s an American been playing the Euro tour. In 3 apps on the PGA tour he’s had all Top 25’s. Caught my eye with 2 gd rounds last week after a bad start. May be hungry for PGA card
Kevin Tway 80/1 . I back him again. MC last week on unsuited course after 6 straight cuts and 5 straight T20 T7 3 T10. I sense he has the hunger

Other I consider – speculative & low stakes (also checking Top 20 markets)
Smylie Kaufman 120/1 MC last week tough course. After run of good form Good ball striker. Don’t think last week at the Memorial suited. Was a tough course for many
Russell Knox 120/1 Low stake win. No real logic to this bet other than I like Knox he has won and gone close for me before. It’s a gut feel bet. Accurate iron player had a horrible final round last week. Not exactly selling this but I think he has ability to win again and I like the odds
Grayson Murray 240/1 Making cuts again after Top 10's early season. Contended AT&T. Overcome injury issues. Good ball striking match

[TVC15]

Casey usually a good each way bet (couple of the bookies like Skybet been paying first 8 places each way for Majors)

As Happy said he has an excellent game and does well on the PGA tour regularly but would be a big question mark if he could hold his nerve going down the final 9 in contention (suppose you can say that about all first time winners though !)

Tyrell Hatton is another English golfer who has performed brilliantly in the big events in last 2 years. As is Fitzgerald who played really well last weekend and seems to have a great attitude.

Justin Rose will be interesting - hardly played since the Masters but great US Open Record and could not have hit the ball any better than he did in Augusta.

[dogwith3legs]

Re. US Open - Agree on Casey - how he hasn't won more with the skills he has is a mystery - perhaps his putter deserts him on the final day. Such a solid all round game - he often goes well at Augusta. Need to drive it straight next week and Casey does that - he's a good shout - it's just that he should win more and doesn't and not sure why. Pieters I like a lot as well - feel he could win a major not sure it will be next week .... staying out of the rough is a must at the US Open (usually) may not be a good match for him. Molinari has played very well all year and not closed anything out ... great ball striker and one of the most accurate hitters US Open a good fit for him. Same Kisner - but he won 2 weeks ago ... i'm big on momentum with this and he may have peaked - 80/1 good though and this is a major. I will back Fowler - his accuracy is top and one of the best putters out there at the moment

[happyclaret17]

a golfer I have my eye on for scottish or the open is Lowry....been solid lately state side but is a real wind player...so perhaps an event in texas where they get plenty of wind or our opens....a weather watch with him.

[TVC15]

Scottish Open should be a quality field again.

Lowry coming back to some decent form and if his odds are 20/1 or better in any European event he is a great bet.

Noren will also probably be in the field and he (and the scandinavians generally) have a great record in the event. Stenson great player in the wind and was always a British Open potential winner for me - luckily I backed him !

[Saxoman]

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[dogwith3legs]

Had you down as a Citroen man…

This course at the St Jude’s is a decent test and it’s a wide open tourney. Nice weather too and if the greens dry out players will need to hit fairways. For in play bets I am waiting for Brooks Koepka to drift out a bit and back him but he is playing very well and still 8 to 10/1 - he finished 2nd last year and 3rd the year before that, if you like sequences then it's his year. Mickleson was playing nicely too but broke then his driver. I also nibbled at Seamus Power just before the odds was a long price - young Irishman that has been noted a couple of times this year