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xG
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2018 7:04 pm
by Claretto
xG result for tonight: Fulham 1.92 vs. 1.57 Burnley.
We are currently last in the league in terms of actual vs xG conceded, having already conceded 2.6 goals more than we should've.
Last season we were #2 in the league, conceding 13 fewer goals than we should've. Second to Man Utd.
Time for Heaton?
Re: xG
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2018 7:08 pm
by Rick_Muller
Claretto wrote:Time for Heaton?
Not necessarily - more likely time for our best and stable back 5 to begin to work together again. We need consistency and stability at the back as a foundation to build on, that’s what bought our success and that’s what we need again
Re: xG
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2018 7:09 pm
by SGr
We’ve been the anomaly in the xG stat traditionally because we put bodies between the ball and goal, even from position where the expectation of scoring is “high”.
Today, we didn’t do that, we got dragged around the pitch and hit on the break. Hart wasn’t the problem today, the midfield and defence was.
Re: xG
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2018 7:11 pm
by Claretto
SGr wrote:We’ve been the anomaly in the xG stat traditionally because we put bodies between the ball and goal, even from position where the expectation of scoring is “high”.
Today, we didn’t do that, we got dragged around the pitch and hit on the break. Hart wasn’t the problem today, the midfield and defence was.
Isn't the number of bodies between ball and goal factored into the expectation of scoring ?
Re: xG
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2018 7:13 pm
by Tall Paul
Claretto wrote:xG result for tonight: Fulham 1.92 vs. 1.57 Burnley.
We are currently last in the league in terms of actual vs xG conceded, having already conceded 2.6 goals more than we should've.
Last season we were #2 in the league, conceding 13 fewer goals than we should've. Second to Man Utd.
Time for Heaton?
This is actually a good sign, because it means we shouldn't have conceded as many goals as we have done and results should improve in the long term.
We'd be tenth in the table if it was done on expected goals.
Re: xG
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2018 7:17 pm
by Claretto
Tall Paul wrote:This is actually a good sign, because it means we shouldn't have conceded as many goals as we have done and results should improve in the long term.
We'd be tenth in the table if it was done on expected goals.
It's a good sign if we can revert to 0...hence the return of Heaton
Re: xG
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2018 8:39 pm
by IanMcL
Heaton please.
Re: xG
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2018 10:20 pm
by Foulthrow
Is the xG rating not out for us because we’ve conceded some goals that wouldn’t normally be scored? Fulham’s first today, Gray and Hughes from Watford were all goals that you wouldn’t expect to go in.
Re: xG
Posted: Mon Aug 27, 2018 7:52 am
by Alanstevensonsgloves
I opened this presuming it was a thread about a bus route.