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How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 9:31 pm
by LoveCurryPies
Think she is on very thin ice. Suspect the knives will be out. So how long before she resigns?
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 9:53 pm
by john'sroseyspecs
Give it a week. Long time in politics...
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 9:54 pm
by ŽižkovClaret
60 minutes at 160c plus 20 mins per kg
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 9:56 pm
by Bordeauxclaret
Surprised the resignations haven’t started already.
Won’t be long.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:04 pm
by Claret-On-A-T-Rex
Why would she resign? She has just received cabinet backing and EU backing for her brexit deal.
This is a wholly unexpected development.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:17 pm
by deanothedino
Meeting with Corbyn now... Who knows whats going on
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:17 pm
by Lancasterclaret
I'm amazed she is still there.
She is defying expectations on what seems to be a daily basis. I've no time for her at all, but you have to admire her ability to hang in there.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:23 pm
by evensteadiereddie
She hasn't a clue -it's only the threat of absolute chaos that is keeping her there. Once the smoke clears, she's a goner - and so is the value of the pound.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:23 pm
by TheFamilyCat
deanothedino wrote:Meeting with Corbyn now... Who knows whats going on
Anorak advice
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:27 pm
by Lancasterclaret
Tinder date?
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:29 pm
by TheFamilyCat
Lancasterclaret wrote:Tinder date?
Is it possible to swipe that far left?
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:31 pm
by LoveCurryPies
Claret-On-A-T-Rex wrote:Why would she resign? She has just received cabinet backing and EU backing for her brexit deal.
This is a wholly unexpected development.
Because both extremes of the Conservative party won’t be happy nor their supporters. Because the northern Irish and Scottish parties won’t really be happy. Because the House of Lords won’t be easy. How many reasons do you want? It’s a ticking bomb.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:31 pm
by Rick_Muller
You know what, I’m surprised she’s lasted this long and also that she has managed to get “something” in terms of a deal for Brexit. I’m not a Tory voter, and I dislike May as a politician and her values, but fair play to her - and I can’t believe I’m actually admitting this.
If it all goes t!ts up, at least she had a good go at it and tried for the country...
I’ll probably regret admitting this tomorrow
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:32 pm
by Loyalclaret
Claret-On-A-T-Rex wrote:Why would she resign? She has just received cabinet backing and EU backing for her brexit deal.
This is a wholly unexpected development.
Think you may have read this situation incorrectly.
All Brexit cabinet members “attacked the deal, except Grove”. Give it a day we will see the real picture - just like chequers previously
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:49 pm
by bfcjg
Countries divided tories divided labour divided most importantly Uptheclarets.com divided;the poor sod doesnt stand a chance nor would anyone. I think she's done as well as anybody could.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:54 pm
by Spiral
Rick_Muller wrote:You know what, I’m surprised she’s lasted this long and also that she has managed to get “something” in terms of a deal for Brexit. I’m not a Tory voter, and I dislike May as a politician and her values, but fair play to her - and I can’t believe I’m actually admitting this.
If it all goes t!ts up, at least she had a good go at it and tried for the country...
I’ll probably regret admitting this tomorrow
Thought for quite a while now that history will paint her in a better light than many suspect in the current climate. She's attempting to reconcile and navigate directly opposing, sometimes logically impossible and seemingly paradoxical goals. Considering the red lines (informed and inferred by the referendum result) I'm not so sure the ERG lot could have done much more to deliver a 'purer' Brexit without casting off Northern Ireland or crippling business to the extent it'd be the death of the party.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 11:03 pm
by ŽižkovClaret
Lancasterclaret wrote:Tinder date?
If its not Angela Rayner im swiping left
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 11:11 pm
by claret_in_exile
The MPs will have to choose either this deal (which seems like it kicks a lot of the negotiation down the road to July 2020) or a hard Brexit, which would be catastrophic for everyone.
She'll ride this out, I think. I have no love for the Tories, but I think she's the only one who could have possibly avoided a hard Brexit given the scarcity of political talent there is out there.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 11:11 pm
by CrosspoolClarets
She is going to be Dyche’s next signing. She would fit right in. Takes stubborn defending in the face of a maelstrom to the next level.
But....
Nick Timothy in tomorrow’s Torygraph has nailed it, saying with a heavy heart May has proven that she has never believed Brexit could be a success. That means she should never have been PM, and it means she could never argue eloquently for it in the negotiations.
This is worse than no deal. Far worse. The Brits are innovative. We would have made no deal work, and may even under another leader have had a better stab at getting a better deal from the EU.
I think she will last 12 months. Nobody wants to take the reins when the Government has deliberately not done any no deal preparations so they can use it to threaten people.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 11:16 pm
by AfloatinClaret
Rick_Muller wrote:... but fair play to her...at least she had a good go at it and tried for the country...
My thoughts exactly, all the major players - those that offered a referendum to save/boost their personal political careers and those that led the 'leave' campaignfor the same reason - quickly ducked for cover once the vote had been counted; you/I may notlike what TM's done, but she did at least have the balls to pick-up the poisoned chalice.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 11:26 pm
by Spiral
CrosspoolClarets wrote:
Nick Timothy in tomorrow’s Torygraph has nailed it, saying with a heavy heart May has proven that she has never believed Brexit could be a success. That means she should never have been PM, and it means she could never argue eloquently for it in the negotiations.
Without proving that technological solutions exist, we're dealing with squares that can't be circled. Doesn't matter how eloquent you are, wishing Santa real won't make it so.
CrosspoolClarets wrote:This is worse than no deal. Far worse. The Brits are innovative. We would have made no deal work, and may even under another leader have had a better stab at getting a better deal from the EU.
Are you for real? Negotiate a better deal from a position of even greater weakness and desperation? How long do you think the electorate would tolerate the hardballing when it's the electorate who'd be feeling the pain borne of the decisions of the hardliners?
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 11:32 pm
by GodIsADeeJay81
LoveCurryPies wrote:Because both extremes of the Conservative party won’t be happy nor their supporters. Because the northern Irish and Scottish parties won’t really be happy. Because the House of Lords won’t be easy. How many reasons do you want? It’s a ticking bomb.
So pretty much the same it's been since the vote was cast originally...
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 11:37 pm
by Damo
Her job has been impossible from the start.
Fair play to her. She has bigger bxllocks than David Cameron
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Wed Nov 14, 2018 11:41 pm
by Lancasterclaret
You didn't hear Crispin Blunt on Radio Five this afternoon then Spiral.
every single brexit fantasy from 2016 crashed out in an astonishing five minute diatribe, and then completely shut down by Sara Brett when he tried to claim that a no deal was the only legal way forward.
He actually said we'd hold all the aces on April 1st in the event of a "No Deal".
And surely Nick Timothy might remember that his hard brexit election plan didn't go that well?
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 1:36 am
by Spiral
We're in a situation where we can pick two - and only two - from three options: Northern Ireland remains in the UK / relative market stability (an economy) / an idealist's notion of pure sovereignty.
Seems that the realpolitik (GFA, parliamentary arithmetic, EU considerations) doesn't allow for all three, sadly. There's a theoretical way of smoothly & slowly disentangling without a huge economic shock, but not one in which the NI border issue is satisfied from the perspective of the border communities, the EU, or the DUP. May's deal surrenders sovereignty and I can't say that in the same situation I'd have played games with the peace process or people's livelihoods. I don't think it's beyond imagination that an ERG hard brexiteer faced by the realities of leadership and governance might have taken a similar approach to compromise. They'll have their tantrum for now (probably the DUP, too) because they're in a position where they can but eventually their bullshit-free pitch is going to have to be "Brexit is going to be painful." For all the protest from brexiteers about folk knowing fine well what they were voting for, this was absolutely not the vision promised in 2016. It's common for people to adjust to new realities, however bad, rather than confront a lie, and as such the goalposts have been moved so much since 2016 I'm not even sure what sport is being played.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:22 am
by SussexDon1inIreland
Utter betrayal. All the time saying we would be leaving the EU and its what the people voted for blah blah while all the time plotting a course that even the Secretary of State for Brexit didn't know until July was being plotted, now we know we are NOT leaving the EU its BRINO Brexit in name only, its the utter lies and contempt May has for the British people, I hope it doesn't get through the commons.
Northern Ireland has been used in the game to get what the remainers want which is to stay in the EU.
This deal is actually worse that staying in the EU on the old basis.
The way to leave the EU and the Single Market and the Customs Union is Article 50 on 29.3.19 now we are committing to a Treaty that says that we can only leave when the EU lets us!!
What a joke. We are now a colony of the EU doing whatever they ask. Next up they will control our army and airforce and nuclear missiles.
I really can't believe this mess and I 100% blame May.
UTC
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:26 am
by JohnMcGreal
Lancasterclaret wrote:He actually said we'd hold all the aces on April 1st in the event of a "No Deal".
Wasn't it David Davis that said we'd hold all the cards the day after voting to leave in 2016?
He was deluded to think that back then, and that claim was proven to be BS very quickly in the negotiation.
For Crispin Blunt to believe a claim like that now, after everything that's happened in the last 2 years, is beyond delusional.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:31 am
by JohnMcGreal
SussexDon1inIreland wrote:This deal is actually worse that staying in the EU on the old basis.
Well, yeah. We already had the best possible deal all along. Brexit is an act of pure folly, sold to the public by snake oil salesmen based on completely unrealistic promises.
The Brexit you were promised was never going to be possible. You were lied to. This is Brexit.
If you're unhappy with it, maybe it's time to throw your weight behind a people's vote?
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 8:30 am
by Stayingup
Rick_Muller wrote:You know what, I’m surprised she’s lasted this long and also that she has managed to get “something” in terms of a deal for Brexit. I’m not a Tory voter, and I dislike May as a politician and her values, but fair play to her - and I can’t believe I’m actually admitting this.
If it all goes t!ts up, at least she had a good go at it and tried for the country...
I’ll probably regret admitting this tomorrow
That's funny. You dislike her values? What do you think they are? I think they are pure New Labour. Maybe you're one of the hard left. I guess so like you guessing at her values.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 8:39 am
by Stayingup
JohnMcGreal wrote:Well, yeah. We already had the best possible deal all along. Brexit is an act of pure folly, sold to the public by snake oil salesmen based on completely unrealistic promises.
The Brexit you were promised was never going to be possible. You were lied to. This is Brexit.
If you're unhappy with it, maybe it's time to throw your weight behind a people's vote?
Sold to the public like snake oil salesmen? Whether you are for or against that is just rubbish and an insult to 17.4 million people. Many, many of whom are far more intelligent and street wise than the shower of **** in Westminster. Cameron and Osborne lied through their teeth and spent millions on their pro EU leaflet tgat landed in the letter box of every household. One day you'll wake and EU will be no more. It's self destructing now and no wonder with its complete disregard for its people. A reformed EU trading bloc would not even not be satisfactory except for big, big business whose tariffs and laws it protects. They and misguided individuals like some on here like it in its current dinosaur form
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 8:48 am
by Rick_Muller
Stayingup wrote:That's funny. You dislike her values? What do you think they are? I think they are pure New Labour. Maybe you're one of the hard left. I guess so like you guessing at her values.
I'll start with Windrush and her stance on that. I think its fair to evaluate someones values based upon her actions in relation to that. Then I'll move onto buying her status as Prime Minister with the DUP, she bought votes its as simple as that. Her record as Home Secretary and the destruction of our Police Force... shall I go on?
Of course there are values she has that I admire too, but stoicism isn't a value that most would notice nor care about.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 8:49 am
by vinrogue
I cant believe it, but I think I would like a Leadership battle in the Tory Party followed by a General Election. I can't see a way of resolving this dogs dinner as we are at the moment and a Referendum on a Referendum will need a pre Referendum to work out what to ask in the Referendum so I am ruling that out. I do truly hate politics but the football is thin on the ground at the moment!
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 8:57 am
by ElectroClaret
Dominic Raab, the Brexit secretary, has resigned.(BBC)
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:11 am
by FactualFrank
I haven't checked the news since June 2016, but assuming that Brexit thing is all good and sorted by now?
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:20 am
by Rick_Muller
Bringing a sporting link into the debate, it was a true “Hospital pass” from Cameron in the first place wasn’t it...
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:22 am
by LoveCurryPies
ElectroClaret wrote:Dominic Raab, the Brexit secretary, has resigned.(BBC)
If I were a betting man, I would say at least 8 more resignation by lunchtime.

Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:23 am
by kentonclaret
How many Brexit secretaries does it take to negotiate a deal
Strange how this proposed deal was welcomed by business leaders but it seems that those pursuing a dogmatic and ideological approach with a hard "no deal" Brexit are determined to have their way.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:02 am
by ElectroClaret
Esther MCVey gone now.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:02 am
by hampsteadclaret
McVey has gone as well....no loss there.
Who's next?
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:04 am
by Lancasterclaret
I can't see any of the Brexiteers staying.
Looks like "No Deal" or another referendum. Possibly even another election.
No way a Brexiteer Conservative PM could get anything through Parliament with the numbers what they are.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:05 am
by hampsteadclaret
Jockeying for position now, for a PM job down the line.
Liam Fox...
Gove..?
Thinking of themselves, rather than the country.
A proper shambles.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:05 am
by Falcon
Can we merge this thread with the EU one perhaps?
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:21 am
by biggles
she's resigning in public later today. she's a remainer at heart. she's all but kept us in the EU with her latest scheme. i thought ages ago that if the EU are 'happy' with any Brexit agreement then that will be a good indicator that it isn't a proper Brexit. come on, Boris. cometh the time, cometh the man. next step a referendum for the whole of the island of Ireland; remain in the UK or the EU?

Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:31 am
by jlup1980
She's been clinging into power since day one. Not because she's incompetent but because she's being asked to deliver the impossible: namely the Leavers version of Brexit. I've gone full circle in my opinions of her to the point that I just feel sorry for her now. Nobody supports her and she can't trust anyone in her own cabinet. Politics eh, makes you wonder why anyone gets involved!
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:33 am
by Imploding Turtle
Falcon wrote:Can we merge this thread with the EU one perhaps?
"the EU one"
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:34 am
by Falcon
Imploding Turtle wrote:"the EU one"
The one with the misleading title

Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:35 am
by Imploding Turtle
Falcon wrote:The one with the misleading title

The one with the lies
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:38 am
by Lancasterclaret
Listening to her on the radio now.
She's definitely saying to her own party that this is the only deal on the table and it had to be a compromise.
Saying "acting in the national interest" (which to be fair she is trying to do, whilst simultaneously trying to enforce the result of the referendum)
Actually feel for her. Her own party won't accept reality, so its no surprise that large chunks of the UK won't either.
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:41 am
by kentonclaret
Delighted to see Esther McVey go over the cliff edge she was proving more toxic than Brexit.
As for Dominic Raab he thinks it's all Dover……..it is now!
Re: How long for Theresa May?
Posted: Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:48 am
by Bordeauxclaret
Brexit is going that badly people are feeling sorry for Theresa May.
If ever proof was needed that it’s an absolute farce.