Update on Burnley's Finances.
Posted: Mon Jul 21, 2025 11:25 am
https://www.uptheclarets.com/messageboard/
https://www.uptheclarets.com/messageboard/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=82235
You haven’t got a clue what happens ‘when the yo yo fails’, to be fair, and you are completely kidding yourself to be so assertive, in thinking you have the answer.NottsClaret wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:35 pmWe’re up to our eye balls in it, let’s not kid ourselves. But the Premier League loves debt, and while we’re in it every other year, it’s all good.
Totally screwed the first time the yo-yo fails.
I suppose if we buy a player for £1mn and sell him for eight times as much, that isn't "generating big money". Big money not being big profit. Righty-ho.Burnley have rarely generated big money from player trading, only twice making more than £15m in the last decade.
Reading it I think it's talking about total transfer profit for a financial year, rather than individual player sales.Andingle wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:29 pmIt's says " Burnley have rarely generated big money from player trading, only twice making more than £15m in the last decade."
Even excluding Odobert & Berge last season , we're not Keane , McNeil , Andre Gray, Collins, Cornet & Wood all sold for over 15M during the last decade ?
So how can you be so confident in the claim we are totally screwed, if you don’t understand it? We don’t know what the level of debt is right now, but it’s unlikely to be £110m. His picture is well over a year old, even up to two years. Since then, we’ve seen a charge settled, and a new charge of £40m added, to a new lender - this was discussed in relative depth at the time (January) in the ALK thread on here.NottsClaret wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:43 pmIt’s true, I’m no finance guy. But we’re over £100m in debt, we lose big money in the Prem, and we lose absolute fortunes in the Championship. All the money covering those losses is borrowed against the club, not donated by a generous benefactor.
I am well up for someone with greater knowledge on this stuff to explain why it’s no cause for concern. I genuinely want to hear that.
You are conflating individual cases with annual reported statements of trading - any transfers post the last accounts is not mentioned because they will be reported in the next accountsAndingle wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:29 pmIt's says " Burnley have rarely generated big money from player trading, only twice making more than £15m in the last decade."
Even excluding Odobert & Berge last season , we're not Keane , McNeil , Andre Gray, Collins, Cornet & Wood all sold for over 15M during the last decade ?
You do realise we have only been paying down debt when forced to by relegation as for current debt we can assume (yes I know) that £112m - £82m + £40m = £70m and all that is before we look at transfer debt.RVclaret wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:55 pmSo how can you be so confident in the claim we are totally screwed, if you don’t understand it? We don’t know what the level of debt is right now, but it’s unlikely to be £110m. His picture is well over a year old, even up to two years. Since then, we’ve seen a charge settled, and a new charge of £40m added, to a new lender - this was discussed in relative depth at the time (January) in the ALK thread on here.
As for the ‘hypothetical’ we stop going back up thing - ALK will continue their player trading model, while using part of the profit, or most of it, to pay down debt, in the Championship. They’ve already shown to do this twice. Of course we’ve bounced back twice, which is credit to them, so we haven’t experienced the ‘next’ part - that probably looked like selling Trafford, Esteve and Amdouni, at a minimum, for decent money, to continue paying down the debt, making the ‘total’ even less, and managing it sustainable for parachute year 2. After that, it’s backing themselves to have produced / developed enough young players (via transfers or via the Cat 1 academy) to keep that trading model going and cover inevitable losses.
I agree you could argue on some of the minutiae but overall you can't quibble with it.Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:58 pmYou are conflating individual cases with annual reported statements of trading - any transfers post the last accounts is not mentioned because they will be reported in the next accounts
It seemed more than fair to me, the report could have gone a lot heavier on the overall cost of the debt and how that has affected the club's ability to invest on infrastructure in particular. It is worth noting that those wanting a new stand believing it would produce a worthwhile ROI have probably not figured in the interest rates on the monies required to finance such a build
for those who are interested Swiss Ramble has produced his assessment of Burnley's finances today which the above is an interpretation of - from what I can see of the SR's report - though most of it is behind a paywall - I don't have access too, this is what I can see
Burnley Finances 2023/24
Sit Down. Stand Up
https://swissramble.substack.com/p/burn ... ces-202324
Yes I do realise that, which is my point, really. A failure to go straight back up, would likely, in my view, have triggered another forced repayment. And possibly again the year after.Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:03 pmYou do realise we have only been paying down debt when forced to by relegation as for current debt we can assume (yes I know) that £112m - £82m + £40m = £70m and all that is before we look at transfer debt.
So we're screwed?ClaretPete001 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:16 pmIf you exclude the money ALK took out of the club; the bank and trading debts are considerably more than £100 million. But don't take my word for it.
That's the $100 million + questionOrangebernard wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:26 pmOn the face of it the ALK strategy of using debt, with the repayments, large interest payments and ALL the risk lumped on the club not ALK, is absolutely a great way to buy something you can’t otherwise afford. Remember the debts and interest being paid by the club is for the purchase of their personal shares in the club, I stupidly used my own money when I bought mine, what was I thinking? The strategy of player trading is fine upon relegation as long as we have player assets that can meet our commitments. The issue I have is ALK are showing no sign of paying down the debt unless forced to do do presumably written into the terms of the loan. Is there any factual evidence of ALK’s exit strategy either in the event BFC is no longer seen as a vehicle to generate profit for themselves or when they decide they need to get out? Does anyone have any proof that they will repay any of the money they owe the football club?
That's been my own big worry, more or less, from day one.Orangebernard wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:26 pm.... The issue I have is ALK are showing no sign of paying down the debt unless forced to do do presumably written into the terms of the loan. Is there any factual evidence of ALK’s exit strategy either in the event BFC is no longer seen as a vehicle to generate profit for themselves or when they decide they need to get out? Does anyone have any proof that they will repay any of the money they owe the football club?
But it does seem - in the UK especially - to be the modern approach to pretty much all aspects of life.ClaretPete001 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:06 pm
Deciding something can't be true because it's uncomfortable or doesn't fit a personal narrative is a pointless.
What factual evidence would you be looking for, exactly?Orangebernard wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:26 pmOn the face of it the ALK strategy of using debt, with the repayments, large interest payments and ALL the risk lumped on the club not ALK, is absolutely a great way to buy something you can’t otherwise afford. Remember the debts and interest being paid by the club is for the purchase of their personal shares in the club, I stupidly used my own money when I bought mine, what was I thinking? The strategy of player trading is fine upon relegation as long as we have player assets that can meet our commitments. The issue I have is ALK are showing no sign of paying down the debt unless forced to do do presumably written into the terms of the loan. Is there any factual evidence of ALK’s exit strategy either in the event BFC is no longer seen as a vehicle to generate profit for themselves or when they decide they need to get out? Does anyone have any proof that they will repay any of the money they owe the football club?
They repaid about £30m in last year's accounts, it still stands at about £100m at 31/07/24 though.Orangebernard wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:26 pmOn the face of it the ALK strategy of using debt, with the repayments, large interest payments and ALL the risk lumped on the club not ALK, is absolutely a great way to buy something you can’t otherwise afford. Remember the debts and interest being paid by the club is for the purchase of their personal shares in the club, I stupidly used my own money when I bought mine, what was I thinking? The strategy of player trading is fine upon relegation as long as we have player assets that can meet our commitments. The issue I have is ALK are showing no sign of paying down the debt unless forced to do do presumably written into the terms of the loan. Is there any factual evidence of ALK’s exit strategy either in the event BFC is no longer seen as a vehicle to generate profit for themselves or when they decide they need to get out? Does anyone have any proof that they will repay any of the money they owe the football club?
The most common sense post about the takeover I've read.Orangebernard wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:26 pmOn the face of it the ALK strategy of using debt, with the repayments, large interest payments and ALL the risk lumped on the club not ALK, is absolutely a great way to buy something you can’t otherwise afford. Remember the debts and interest being paid by the club is for the purchase of their personal shares in the club, I stupidly used my own money when I bought mine, what was I thinking? The strategy of player trading is fine upon relegation as long as we have player assets that can meet our commitments.
And that’s where I have the problem with their model. In the event we are relegated and do not return to the EPL whilst we still receive parachute payments, do you think that the assets will cover the debts? I don’t know and that’s what concerns me. Do you think that ALK will find other funding to clear the debts? Who will they be able to sell a debt ridden club to with, by that time a squad that will be Mid table Championship standard? Could we be the next Bury or Morecambe or Southend or Scunthorpe saddled with ‘wrong un’ owners who are looking to exploit the financial situation? As you say I don’t know the answers to any of these questions but that is why I’m concerned .RVclaret wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:45 pmWhat factual evidence would you be looking for, exactly?
And of course, there cannot be any ‘proof’ to your second question, as it hasn’t happened, and no one is involved in ALK’s boardroom meetings (I’ve probably just answered my own question back to you, for you). What we can speculate upon is how it could happen, given other clubs / other business examples - the most likely scenario being it gets repaid, as the new buyers don’t want these liabilities hanging around, so it’s factored into the sale price or paid from sale proceeds.
That's fine as long as the club can has in inherent value of well over £100m. If, however, the club gets relegated and does not get promoted in 2 years and the parachute money ceases and the best players have been sold, there is no way that a club over £100m in debt in the Championship would be worth that. What's the speculation then? If ALK don't repay that £100m or so, then the club is bankrupt.RVclaret wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:45 pmWhat factual evidence would you be looking for, exactly?
And of course, there cannot be any ‘proof’ to your second question, as it hasn’t happened, and no one is involved in ALK’s boardroom meetings (I’ve probably just answered my own question back to you, for you). What we can speculate upon is how it could happen, given other clubs / other business examples - the most likely scenario being it gets repaid, as the new buyers don’t want these liabilities hanging around, so it’s factored into the sale price or paid from sale proceeds.
Only in the nightmare scenario where we have to sell a lot of players because we've lost parachute money as opposed to a discussion about investing in the squad. Other than that we should be improving the quality of the squad and therefore the playing assets are not a significant factor.
How ‘debt ridden’ would the club be? I’d imagine the forced repayments in the Championship, along with their prudent debt management, would align assets with debt. If CP is correct and last seasons (Champ) debt was around £70m, I’d imagine they’d be forced to halve that again this season (imagining we didn’t go up) to £35m, the same could apply the following year. So at that point you might be looking at sub £20m. Obviously a key risk is their player trading model and developing youth doesn’t work, but this is why they’ve invested in lots of young players, Cat 1 academy, modern technologies (Mud Analytics) & heavily staff within recruitment, to try and ensure it continues to work, regardless of league. I don’t believe we are anything like those clubs you mention.Orangebernard wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:04 pmAnd that’s where I have the problem with their model. In the event we are relegated and do not return to the EPL whilst we still receive parachute payments, do you think that the assets will cover the debts? I don’t know and that’s what concerns me. Do you think that ALK will find other funding to clear the debts? Who will they be able to sell a debt ridden club to with, by that time a squad that will be Mid table Championship standard? Could we be the next Bury or Morecambe or Southend or Scunthorpe saddled with ‘wrong un’ owners who are looking to exploit the financial situation? As you say I don’t know the answers to any of these questions but that is why I’m concerned .
Obviously excluding a £100m asset is going to make things look a lot worse.ClaretPete001 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 1:16 pmIt's an emotive subject but it someone wants an idea of what we know of the debt on Pages 29 and 30 of the audited accounts you have a list of what is owed to us and what we owe to others, which include trading debt as well as bank debt.
If you exclude the money ALK took out of the club; the bank and trading debts are considerably more than £100 million. But don't take my word for it.
there is more to it than it being a repayment - and £30m is quite the rounding up
The precise nature of the sum returned (£26.215m) would suggest that this is the reason the repayment was made - to be clear while:Chester Perry wrote: ↑Sat May 17, 2025 12:47 pm
....the last accounts clearly state that Velocity repaid £26.519m of the loans it had taken from the club
What is not stated is why this payment was made - there were obvious cash flow pressures, but what most do not realise is that while there are allowable losses under PL and EFL rules, a very significant proportion of them have to be made up from cash injections from ownership groups - that is what these monies may actually be for, though it is not certain.
It also remains open at some future date for Velocity to loan this money back from the club again, if they find a need to enable their other activities....
I genuinely hope you are correct RVClaret and I’m worrying over nothing. The one thing I think we can all agree on is that the club clearly means an awful lot to us all otherwise we wouldn’t all be discussing it. I hate the idea that my football club that has been a huge part of my life for over 50 years and one that has taken over 140 years to develop a culture and passion for us all is seen as a money making vehicle to be exploited for the personal gain of a few. I know this is the way of many sports now but I find it depressing we are in this situation. I cannot get past the thought that if the proverbial hits the fan ALK will disappear over the hill with whatever they can. Don’t get me started on MCO’s and the impending ‘purchase’ of Espanyol!RVclaret wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:12 pmHow ‘debt ridden’ would the club be? I’d imagine the forced repayments in the Championship, along with their prudent debt management, would align assets with debt. If CP is correct and last seasons (Champ) debt was around £70m, I’d imagine they’d be forced to halve that again this season (imagining we didn’t go up) to £35m, the same could apply the following year. So at that point you might be looking at sub £20m. Obviously a key risk is their player trading model and developing youth doesn’t work, but this is why they’ve invested in lots of young players, Cat 1 academy, modern technologies (Mud Analytics) & heavily staff within recruitment, to try and ensure it continues to work, regardless of league. I don’t believe we are anything like those clubs you mention.
I don’t think it’s as simple as that re bankrupt. Presumably by that point, the third party debt would have been reduced significantly, if not almost completely, so the £100m receivable on the balance sheet would not be ‘needed’ to balance against the (heavily reduced) liabilities, as the clubs net asset position would have improved (or not moved). Therefore the £100m would be less critical for solvency.dsr wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:10 pmThat's fine as long as the club can has in inherent value of well over £100m. If, however, the club gets relegated and does not get promoted in 2 years and the parachute money ceases and the best players have been sold, there is no way that a club over £100m in debt in the Championship would be worth that. What's the speculation then? If ALK don't repay that £100m or so, then the club is bankrupt.
The thing is, it definitely has. The upside for BFC fans is that for the few to personally gain, the club needs to be relatively successful. So I’m sure it’s the owner’s intention that everyone gains out of this. The big concern is that the owners are taking this gamble without putting down a significant stake of their own, so if they fail the owners don’t lose, but the club does.Orangebernard wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:33 pmI hate the idea that my football club that has been a huge part of my life for over 50 years and one that has taken over 140 years to develop a culture and passion for us all is seen as a money making vehicle to be exploited for the personal gain of a few.
typo!!Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 2:31 pmthere is more to it than it being a repayment - and £30m is quite the rounding up
from the takeover thread
The precise nature of the sum returned (£26.215m) would suggest that this is the reason the repayment was made - to be clear while:
- The EFL allow up to £13m of losses a season (in the 3 year aggregate) anything over £3m of losses must be made up by Owner funds
- The Premier League allow up to £35m of losses a season (in the 3 year aggregate) anything over £5m of losses must be made up by Owner funds
while a loan repayment appears to be a questionable way to be allowed to do this, the powers that be are a little strange in what they allow, for instance Manchester United once covered such a deficit with an overdraft extension. The one thing owners cannot do is have the club take out a loan to cover the deficit.
Exactly this.ŽižkovClaret wrote: ↑Mon Jul 21, 2025 12:45 pmI don't know about other people, but cards on the table, i try not to stress myself worrying about things i have no control over.....