Back to "herd immunity" again.cricketfieldclarets wrote: ↑Tue Oct 27, 2020 11:14 pmAs above that’s a very shortsighted way of looking at it. Unless the other nordics remain locked down they have far more susceptible people than Sweden. Which means they will have a resurgence when things are loosened. Theoretically Sweden won’t.
It was predicted Stockholm would have antibody levels of around 40%, it's turned about to be 15%, leaving 85% susceptible.
At this point, whether herd immunity was the “goal” or a “byproduct” of the Swedish plan is semantics, because it simply hasn’t worked. In April, the Public Health Agency predicted that 40% of the Stockholm population would have the disease and acquire protective antibodies by May. According to the agency’s own antibody studies published Sept. 3 for samples collected up until late June, the actual figure for random testing of antibodies is only 11.4% for Stockholm, 6.3% for Gothenburg and 7.1% across Sweden. As of mid-August, herd immunity was still “nowhere in sight,” according to a Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine study. That shouldn’t have been a surprise. After all, herd immunity to an infectious disease has never been achieved without a vaccine.
https://time.com/5899432/sweden-coronovirus-disaster/