Permutations for Promotion

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Roosterbooster
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Permutations for Promotion

Post by Roosterbooster » Fri Apr 18, 2025 7:53 pm

As we now know today's results for us and SU, we also know what is needed to secure promotion
(Assuming our GD remains better than theirs)

Win v SU
Promoted

Draw v SU
Need 1 pt from final 2 games

Lose v SU
Need 4 pts from final 2 games

dougcollins
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by dougcollins » Fri Apr 18, 2025 7:54 pm

As many have said, I am concerned SP will go for the draw on Monday.

gandhisflipflop
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by gandhisflipflop » Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:06 pm

dougcollins wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 7:54 pm
As many have said, I am concerned SP will go for the draw on Monday.
I don’t care if he does. There’s absolutely no chance we do not get at least 1 point from the last 2 games.

dougcollins
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by dougcollins » Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:07 pm

gandhisflipflop wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:06 pm
I don’t care if he does. There’s absolutely no chance we do not get at least 1 point from the last 2 games.
Apart from the danger that we lose, I suppose.

Roosterbooster
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Roosterbooster » Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:08 pm

gandhisflipflop wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:06 pm
I don’t care if he does. There’s absolutely no chance we do not get at least 1 point from the last 2 games.
Provided we actually do draw

I think DC's point is that we stand a bigger chance of losing if we go for a draw rather than a win

dougcollins
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by dougcollins » Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:10 pm

Roosterbooster wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:08 pm
Provided we actually do draw

I think DC's point is that we stand a bigger chance of losing if we go for a draw rather than a win
Yes.

summitclaret
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by summitclaret » Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:10 pm

gandhisflipflop wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:06 pm
I don’t care if he does. There’s absolutely no chance we do not get at least 1 point from the last 2 games.
If we were to lose on Monday we could need 4 points from the last 2 games, as SU could get to 95 points. It's far from over yet.

Kgun5
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Kgun5 » Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:12 pm

dougcollins wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 7:54 pm
As many have said, I am concerned SP will go for the draw on Monday.
Agreed. It's about mentality. If we play our normal style and draw, no problem. If we try something abnormal, we won't be playing our best game. Seeing how 9-man Watford nearly pegged us back twice, I'll take my chances with the former.
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claretspice
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by claretspice » Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:15 pm

I'm sure we'll be more cautious than gung ho on Monday. It suits us to play that way. But with Foster unavailable we lack a threat in behind on the front 3. We do look a better team when we squeeze higher up the pitch.

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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by gandhisflipflop » Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:17 pm

Roosterbooster wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:08 pm
Provided we actually do draw

I think DC's point is that we stand a bigger chance of losing if we go for a draw rather than a win
Fair point.

willsclarets
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by willsclarets » Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:19 pm

I don't think anyone would've dared dream we'd be 5 points clear of 3rd not long ago. But I'm nowhere near comfortable, 2 losses in a row isn't likely but certainly possible. I would really love for us to out sheff united to the sword on Monday. We're more than capable.

Woodleyclaret
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Woodleyclaret » Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:50 pm

No issues we will put Sheffield United to the sword on Monday

Row x
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Row x » Fri Apr 18, 2025 9:10 pm

Roosterbooster wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:08 pm
Provided we actually do draw

I think DC's point is that we stand a bigger chance of losing if we go for a draw rather than a win
We must not have gone out for a draw many times in the last 30 games then

box_of_frogs
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by box_of_frogs » Fri Apr 18, 2025 9:17 pm

claretspice wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:15 pm
I'm sure we'll be more cautious than gung ho on Monday. It suits us to play that way. But with Foster unavailable we lack a threat in behind on the front 3. We do look a better team when we squeeze higher up the pitch.
It doesn’t suit us though. Look at today. Tried to see out a win v 9 men, and very nearly threw it away. We’re better at attacking and forcing them back, than arsing about / flailing around looking for fouls / looking for a draw for 90 mins.

AndrewJB
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by AndrewJB » Fri Apr 18, 2025 9:22 pm

Is it really a thing of playing for a draw, or just playing a stronger defensive team that will be less likely to concede? Sheffield United have to win, and this is an advantage for us. Leeds and Sunderland have been to the Turf without scoring, though I'm sure we still played to win those games, but perhaps with a line-up that nullified their threat.

The Shire Claret
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by The Shire Claret » Fri Apr 18, 2025 9:25 pm

Also need to remember in order for us to need 4 points if we lose … that’s on the understanding that Sheffield United win their 2 remaining games

Permutation city

Kgun5
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Kgun5 » Fri Apr 18, 2025 9:26 pm

AndrewJB wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 9:22 pm
Is it really a thing of playing for a draw, or just playing a stronger defensive team that will be less likely to concede? Sheffield United have to win, and this is an advantage for us. Leeds and Sunderland have been to the Turf without scoring, though I'm sure we still played to win those games, but perhaps with a line-up that nullified their threat.
I'd take that drab draw at home against Leeds again, but Sheff Utd won't act like Leeds did.

Still, I'm fine with a more defensive lineup, just not a defensive mindset, I suppose.

Bacchus
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Bacchus » Fri Apr 18, 2025 9:32 pm

It suited both Burnley and Leeds to play out a bore draw and it was pretty clear what was happening in that match from about 5 minutes in. Obviously that won't be the case on Monday. I'm sure we won't be taking any undue risks, but I'm equally sure that Parker is astute enough not to just sit back and hope Sheff Utd don't score

dvalley69
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by dvalley69 » Fri Apr 18, 2025 10:09 pm

Need to go out all guns blazing and get in front. They're likely to try and frustrate us, keep it tight for most of the game, and gradually try and nick one 2nd half and defend like mad. The longer it's 0-0 the more nervous we'll become and be happy with the point.

RVclaret
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by RVclaret » Fri Apr 18, 2025 10:11 pm

Parker was involved in a very similar game to this at Bournemouth when they clinched promotion. If I remember right Forest could have gone level with them if they’d won, but Bournemouth won 1-0 to seal it. Funny enough it was Kieffar Moore who scored the goal, and he’ll be on the pitch for the opposition this time.

Vegas Claret
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Vegas Claret » Fri Apr 18, 2025 10:12 pm

if you look at the gaps Sheff Utd left today I'm confident we can get in behind them. Stop Hamer stop Sheff Utd

Spike
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Spike » Fri Apr 18, 2025 11:03 pm

The only permutation we need to worry about for Monday is which pubs we go to and in what order to Celebrate Promotion

GetIntoEm
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by GetIntoEm » Fri Apr 18, 2025 11:29 pm

People still doubting parkers tactics is embarrassing. Bugger off and go and support someone else. We don't need you
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Burnleyareback2
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Burnleyareback2 » Fri Apr 18, 2025 11:30 pm

My white electrical tape arrived today, I will have my 4 stripes on the sleeve for Monday out of respect for our great leader.

dsr
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by dsr » Fri Apr 18, 2025 11:34 pm

Vegas Claret wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 10:12 pm
if you look at the gaps Sheff Utd left today I'm confident we can get in behind them. Stop Hamer stop Sheff Utd
That may be easier than we think - Hamer went off injured today. No idea whether it was just precautionary or whether it might keep him out.

ISpeds00
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by ISpeds00 » Fri Apr 18, 2025 11:43 pm

Home
Big Atomosphere
A team that hardly concedes
A Sheff team that HAVE to attack

All points to promotion

mybloodisclaret
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by mybloodisclaret » Fri Apr 18, 2025 11:54 pm

It tastes like Pro-MOTION!!!!

martin_p
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by martin_p » Sat Apr 19, 2025 12:05 am

To be honest I’ll be surprised if it’s a draw on Monday. Sheffield United are going to have to come at us, it should make it an open game.
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Vegas Claret » Sat Apr 19, 2025 4:13 am

Laurent will surely play on Monday as we will need his height on set pieces, that should see Brownhill in the 10 which IMHO is his best position. Looking at Sheff Utd today he will find space for sure.
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JR1882
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by JR1882 » Sat Apr 19, 2025 9:34 am

martin_p wrote:
Sat Apr 19, 2025 12:05 am
To be honest I’ll be surprised if it’s a draw on Monday. Sheffield United are going to have to come at us, it should make it an open game.
Agreed, a draw is no good for them, 5 behind with 6 to play for.

Win or bust for them so we should be in for a good game, and indeed a different kind of game too.

kaptin1
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by kaptin1 » Sat Apr 19, 2025 9:52 am

The odds are very much in our favour, but if Sheff U beat us and Stoke on Friday night then we will go into the final two matches a point behind them but with a game in hand. That could make for a very nervy end to the season.

NewClaret
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by NewClaret » Sat Apr 19, 2025 11:21 am

kaptin1 wrote:
Sat Apr 19, 2025 9:52 am
The odds are very much in our favour, but if Sheff U beat us and Stoke on Friday night then we will go into the final two matches a point behind them but with a game in hand. That could make for a very nervy end to the season.
Basically, Monday is a must not lose.

Laurent back in for me and try to stay resolute defensively.

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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Colburn_Claret » Sat Apr 19, 2025 11:50 am

We've no need to go gung ho, but we need to start faster than yesterday. Take any momentum away from them, then settle down.
A win is all that matters, another permutation just leads to more nail biting .

Fretters
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Fretters » Sat Apr 19, 2025 11:55 am

I think privately Parker will be desperate to win the league, having gone up through the play offs and in second before. I think we'll go for it on Monday.

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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by SydneyClaret » Sat Apr 19, 2025 12:03 pm

We’ve played our best all season against teams that come out at us and give it a go. Sheffield United have no choice but to do that. They’re not good enough to beat us though so we’ll turn them over like every other team that’s has give it a go.

Our issue is we can’t break down teams that dig in.

AfloatinClaret
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by AfloatinClaret » Sat Apr 19, 2025 12:04 pm

How far off that 'clean-sheets in a season' record are we now? I think Monday would be a very good day to add another one to our tally, irrespective of whether we score ourselves.
Last edited by AfloatinClaret on Sat Apr 19, 2025 12:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Im_not_Robbie_Blake
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Im_not_Robbie_Blake » Sat Apr 19, 2025 12:04 pm

claretspice wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 8:15 pm
I'm sure we'll be more cautious than gung ho on Monday. It suits us to play that way. But with Foster unavailable we lack a threat in behind on the front 3. We do look a better team when we squeeze higher up the pitch.
We're never 'gung-ho'! We play sensible football!!

Firthy
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Firthy » Sat Apr 19, 2025 12:23 pm

Roosterbooster wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 7:53 pm
As we now know today's results for us and SU, we also know what is needed to secure promotion
(Assuming our GD remains better than theirs)

Win v SU
Promoted

Draw v SU
Need 1 pt from final 2 games

Lose v SU
Need 4 pts from final 2 games
And the last 2 are only if Sheffield win all 3

Winstonswhite
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Re: Permutations for Promotion

Post by Winstonswhite » Sat Apr 19, 2025 12:32 pm

Odds of 1/20 to gain automatic promotion- same as Leeds. Sheffield United 11/2

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