A Second Sweaty Referendum

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Paul Waine
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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Paul Waine » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:37 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:What, you want her to campaign for a Yes vote before there's even been a referendum arranged?
It makes sense to me to provide a little clarity on some of the issues that would arise if indyref2 had a majority for independence. Surely, we can all agree a little more pre-referendum clarity is good for all our democracies.

Imagine the fuss if SNP won and then had to tell the people of Scotland that they had to have a new currency....

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:38 pm

Paul Waine wrote:It makes sense to me to provide a little clarity on some of the issues that would arise if indyref2 had a majority for independence. Surely, we can all agree a little more pre-referendum clarity is good for all our democracies.

Imagine the fuss if SNP won and then had to tell the people of Scotland that they had to have a new currency....
Or no NHS, no free uni places, no free care for the elderly etc.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:40 pm

Paul Waine wrote:Hi IT, how is that the electorate in Scotland get to vote for a prime minister when the rest of the UK only get to vote for an MP in our own constituency?

I get the fact that you are born in England and live in England. Aren't you a little concerned that Scottish independence will impact on all the UK?
Of course I am. But i don't think the rest of the UK should get to dictate to a country a course of action that it has quite explicitely expressed that it does not want to take. Scotland doesn't want Brexit. Scotland also wanted the right to review their decision on independence should the UK vote to leave the EU against its will. I think waiting till Brexit is negotiated before deciding whether Scotland remains in the UK makes absolutely no sense, nor do i think Scotland owes it to the UK to delay their decision. And the anti-Scottish hatred and vitriol i'm reading in this thread from ordinarily sane posters is doing absolutely nothing to make me think that Scotland being a part of the UK is in either country's best interests.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by dsr » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:45 pm

The reason why it's sense to wait until the terms of exit are decided is so that they can make a decision based on those terms. Obviously it's possible, theoretically, to have a referendum every year because the position is different every year that goes by, but that's not going to happen. So a more or less fixed point at which the new conditions are more or less known, is a good time to revisit the decision that has previously been made.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:45 pm

So what you're saying is Scottish dislike of the English is fine, but we can't hand it back?

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:47 pm

Sidney1st wrote:So what you're saying is Scottish dislike of the English is fine, but we can't hand it back?
Where'd i say that? Where in this thread has there been hatred directed at the English?

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Paul Waine » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:50 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:Of course I am. But i don't think the rest of the UK should get to dictate to a country a course of action that it has quite explicitely expressed that it does not want to take. Scotland doesn't want Brexit. Scotland also wanted the right to review their decision on independence should the UK vote to leave the EU against its will. I think waiting till Brexit is negotiated before deciding whether Scotland remains in the UK makes absolutely no sense, nor do i think Scotland owes it to the UK to delay their decision. And the anti-Scottish hatred and vitriol i'm reading in this thread from ordinarily sane posters is doing absolutely nothing to make me think that Scotland being a part of the UK is in either country's best interests.
Hi IT, I apologise if anything I've written suggests that I've any feelings other than warmth and friendship for everyone in Scotland - and everyone who doesn't live in Scotland. (I've expressed before on here my support and friendship for all Europeans and all people across the world).

Politics is a "tough game" - I'm sure both Nicola Sturgeon and Theresa May know that. NS may want to ask "can we have another indyref." But, equally, TM as the PM of the United Kingdom has the right, on behalf of all of us, to say "no, not yet."

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:51 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:Where'd i say that? Where in this thread has there been hatred directed at the English?
Doesn't have to be on here does it, or even this particular thread?

We know there are Scots that don't like us and would happily watch the England 'burn' so to speak, we've always known that, same with the Taffs.

From the way some of the Scots are whining on this forum it's clear they don't really like us that much anymore, I suspect you're of a similar mind to them sometimes.

I'd happily let Scotland wander off into the world to make their own way, it's their right to do so IF they so wish.
I'd let Wales and N.Ireland go too if they wanted to do the same.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by taio » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:51 pm

This will continue to go round and round in circles, but it seems entirely sensible for there to be a second referendum on Scottish independence and equally as sensible for it to take place once the terms of Brexit are known.
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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:53 pm

dsr wrote:The reason why it's sense to wait until the terms of exit are decided is so that they can make a decision based on those terms. Obviously it's possible, theoretically, to have a referendum every year because the position is different every year that goes by, but that's not going to happen. So a more or less fixed point at which the new conditions are more or less known, is a good time to revisit the decision that has previously been made.
Brexit isn't a fixed point. It might be in 2 years, of 4 years, or 6 years, or 8 years... etc.

However, a referendum is a fixed point. It would have been much easier for England to decide to wait before trigging A50 until after the referendum than it is for Scotland to wait an indeterminate amount of time for England to sort out Brexit. Instead May has chosen to enter negotiations without even knowing what countries will make up the UK when the negotiations end. Unless of course Westminster continues to refuse Scotland its referendum, but that plays far too much into Sturgeon's hands so they'll acquiesce.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:57 pm

Sidney1st wrote:Doesn't have to be on here does it, or even this particular thread?

We know there are Scots that don't like us and would happily watch the England 'burn' so to speak, we've always known that, same with the Taffs.

From the way some of the Scots are whining on this forum it's clear they don't really like us that much anymore, I suspect you're of a similar mind to them sometimes.

I'd happily let Scotland wander off into the world to make their own way, it's their right to do so IF they so wish.
I'd let Wales and N.Ireland go too if they wanted to do the same.

I suppose it doesn't but since i was talking specifically about the anti-Scottish hatred and vitriol in this thread i think it makes little sense to then points to 5 million Scots and say see, some of them hate the English too :roll:

"i suspect you're of a similar mind to them sometimes" :lol: Then i suspect you're an idiot. When have i ever expressed hatred for any group of people, let alone a nationality.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:01 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:I suppose it doesn't but since i was talking specifically about the anti-Scottish hatred and vitriol in this thread i think it makes little sense to then points to 5 million Scots and say see, some of them hate the English too :roll:

"i suspect you're of a similar mind to them sometimes" :lol: Then i suspect you're an idiot. When have i ever expressed hatred for any group of people, let alone a nationality.
Nah I'm not an idiot, I just voiced an opinion based on the strop you've been having about the request from Westminster to wait.

Point out the Anti-Scottish vitriol though, I'd be interested to see it, I cba going back over the whole thread so I'll let you do the leg work.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by claretdom » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:10 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:What, you want her to campaign for a Yes vote before there's even been a referendum arranged?


What you don't want her to be open and honest beforehand ?

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Chobulous » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:21 pm

BennyD wrote:I hope they get a referendum and vote out or we will be having one every time they get a new leader. If it helps I'll start; LEAVE YER BARSTARDS.
Is probably the first blatant example of "Scottish Hating" on this thread and even that doesn't actually say "**** off because I hate you".

Most contributions as far as I can see are along the lines of:

"Scots get more per capita out of taxation than the rest of the UK" - which is true
"Scots would never make it on their own" - matter of opinion
"Make your minds up and stick to it" - Good advice to some
"Let them go if they want to and the rest of us will be better off" - With a deficit of circa 9% not difficult to disagree with but short sighted
"The EU wouldn't want them" - Again not difficult to argue with if you listen to what was said by EU officials
"The haven't got a plan going forward" - if they have they are keeping it close to their chest.

All of these are on balance negative comments about the Scots so therefore using the racist argument is easy but lazy.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:25 pm

"The haven't got a plan going forward" - if they have they are keeping it close to their chest."

The same arguments about having no plan are levelled at the Tories re Brexit which is always amusing.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:25 pm

claretdom wrote:What you don't want her to be open and honest beforehand ?
Do you want Theresa May to be campaigning for No votes right now? Or would you rather she do her job as Prime Minister? If it's the latter then what, you don't want her to be open and honest beforehand?

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:27 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:Do you want Theresa May to be campaigning for No votes right now? Or would you rather she do her job as Prime Minister? If it's the latter then what, you don't want her to be open and honest beforehand?
I want her to do her job as PM and lead us out of Europe.
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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:28 pm

Chobulous wrote:Is probably the first blatant example of "Scottish Hating" on this thread and even that doesn't actually say "**** off because I hate you".

Most contributions as far as I can see are along the lines of:

"Scots get more per capita out of taxation than the rest of the UK" - which is true
"Scots would never make it on their own" - matter of opinion
"Make your minds up and stick to it" - Good advice to some
"Let them go if they want to and the rest of us will be better off" - With a deficit of circa 9% not difficult to disagree with but short sighted
"The EU wouldn't want them" - Again not difficult to argue with if you listen to what was said by EU officials
"The haven't got a plan going forward" - if they have they are keeping it close to their chest.

All of these are on balance negative comments about the Scots so therefore using the racist argument is easy but lazy.

I guess the title doesn't count?

And who brought racism into it? I don't think anyone mentioned racism. If someone did then i stand corrected.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:29 pm

Sidney1st wrote:I want her to do her job as PM and lead us out of Europe.
And if she didn't trigger Brexit you'd consider that a broken promise and would hold it against her. Wouldn't you?

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:32 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:And if she didn't trigger Brexit you'd consider that a broken promise and would hold it against her. Wouldn't you?
Not really, personally I don't expect much out of politicians, I think they're all generally turds, there are just varying levels of turdiness.

I'm impressed and pleased that they've honoured a referendum though.

If they didn't honour it I wouldn't be surprised though, I'd just get on with my life, like I've done after the brexit vote and I will after we've left the EU.
Little really changes for people like me, regardless of who's in charge.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by claretdom » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:38 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:Do you want Theresa May to be campaigning for No votes right now? Or would you rather she do her job as Prime Minister? If it's the latter then what, you don't want her to be open and honest beforehand?

I would prefer if our PM wished Sturgeon well and said go win to her

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Chobulous » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:42 pm

Imploding Turtle wrote:I guess the title doesn't count?

And who brought racism into it? I don't think anyone mentioned racism. If someone did then i stand corrected.
Starts with #39 then #43 then followed by a number of contributions discussing #39 and the prevalence of anti-Scottish feeling on the thread.

Anti-Scottish ie specifically aimed to be detrimental to the Scots.

Throughout this thread the inference has been made that this anti-Scottish feeling is based on bigotry and ignorance and is therefore

(a) racist and in some instances (b) linked to being a Brexiteer

As I said - lazy.
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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Guich » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:42 pm

Am I right in thinking more Scots voted to stay in the UK than voted to stay in the EU? Numerically.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:45 pm

19 September 2014.
Scotland has voted to stay in the United Kingdom after voters decisively rejected independence. With the results in from all 32 council areas, the "No" side won with 2,001,926 votes over 1,617,989 for "Yes".19 Sep 2014

Eu referendum -
There were 2,679,513 votes cast (not including rejected ballots) in Scotland. There were 1,661,191 for Remain, exactly 62% of the votes cast.
This was compared with a 51.9% vote in favour of Leave across the UK.
There were just over a million votes for Leave in Scotland (1,018,332), almost 650,000 votes behind Remain.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Chobulous » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:45 pm

Not relevant - 2 different referenda based on 2 different propositions

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Guich » Thu Mar 30, 2017 2:48 pm

It does tend to show what the Scots (outside parliament) think is more important

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Thu Mar 30, 2017 9:54 pm

She's off again..
wp_ss_20170330_0008.png
wp_ss_20170330_0008.png (335.33 KiB) Viewed 3069 times

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by taio » Thu Mar 30, 2017 10:26 pm

Sidney1st wrote:She's off again..
She's bound to continue because she's fighting for what she believes in whether you agree with her or not. It's all getting a bit boring though - on here included - even though everything is early days.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Thu Mar 30, 2017 10:32 pm

I don't have an issue with her wanting another referendum.

It's her refusal to listen to reason that's amusing.
May will say no, Sturgeon will use that to fan the flames of nationalism and so on.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by taio » Thu Mar 30, 2017 10:40 pm

And so on and so on and so on. So probably best to sit back and let the politics play out. Many people see the sense in deferring until the brexit deal is clear - you and me included - but some don't. Neither side will change their view so, as we've seen just on here, it goes round and round in the most tedious circles.
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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Wokingclaret » Thu Mar 30, 2017 11:00 pm

Something missing from that photo............



Where's the phone, surely she has to run the letter past the puppet master alex salmond :oops:

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by SingaporeClarets » Fri Mar 31, 2017 2:01 am

The SNP want a referendum because the UK is leaving the EU.
Yet a Scottish vote for independence also means voting for Scotland to leave the EU.

Maybe I'm missing something but either way they are leaving the EU.

The only thing that could be missing is that the European Commission who stated that voting for independence means leaving the EU is being run by liars.

If the European Commission is being run by liars then is that an organisation you wish to be a part of?

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by HatfieldClaret » Fri Mar 31, 2017 6:58 am

I'm assuming that's not Irn Bru in the glass.


Staged photo that is a copy of a Margaret Thatcher photo. Imitation = flattery. :roll:

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Chobulous » Fri Mar 31, 2017 7:17 am

#472

Any comment Wolfie?

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by claretdom » Fri Mar 31, 2017 7:37 am

Are we supposed to believe she is allowed a pen unsupervised ?

She must have chewed all her crayons
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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Chobulous » Fri Mar 31, 2017 7:47 am

Dear Theresa

We don't want to be your friend any more and we don't want to be in your gang. We want to join a bigger gang and our gang is better than yours.

Signed

pp Alex Salmond
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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Fri Mar 31, 2017 8:29 am

Chobulous wrote:Starts with #39 then #43 then followed by a number of contributions discussing #39 and the prevalence of anti-Scottish feeling on the thread.

Anti-Scottish ie specifically aimed to be detrimental to the Scots.

Throughout this thread the inference has been made that this anti-Scottish feeling is based on bigotry and ignorance and is therefore

(a) racist and in some instances (b) linked to being a Brexiteer

As I said - lazy.

Ah yes, post #39. I do remember that one now, i'd forgotten. There's nothing about that post that isn't stupid.

I see nothing wrong with post #43.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Darthlaw » Fri Mar 31, 2017 8:53 am

Sturgeon needs the Indy ref date to be set before he terms of Brexit are finalised because its the best chance the SNP have for winning.

Once the terms are agreed, the Unionists will have a definite 'This is what Scotland will look like if they choose to stay in the Union'. The SNP can only argue about what they hope to happen if they leave the Union i.e. Oil recovers, they will be allowed to use the pound, The EU will fast track them, etc.

What is easier for Nicola Sturgeon to argue? Uncertainty of Independence vs Uncertainty of The Union or Uncertainty of Independence vs Clear matter of fact remaining in the Union.

By setting a date prior to the terms of Brexit being agreed, it will also allow the SNP to begin rhetoric around 'hard brexit' and what poor position Scotland could be in. Once the terms are agreed the SNP are knacked as they will only have their own ideals vs fact.

Scotland should absolutely be allowed a referendum on independence, however for the SNP to deny their people the right of an informed decision of what is on the table for staying in the Union just shows how badly their motives are idealistic and not in the interests of the people of Scotland.

SNP - Independence at all costs.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Fri Mar 31, 2017 9:40 am

Darthlaw wrote:Sturgeon needs the Indy ref date to be set before he terms of Brexit are finalised because its the best chance the SNP have for winning.

Once the terms are agreed, the Unionists will have a definite 'This is what Scotland will look like if they choose to stay in the Union'. The SNP can only argue about what they hope to happen if they leave the Union i.e. Oil recovers, they will be allowed to use the pound, The EU will fast track them, etc.

What is easier for Nicola Sturgeon to argue? Uncertainty of Independence vs Uncertainty of The Union or Uncertainty of Independence vs Clear matter of fact remaining in the Union.

By setting a date prior to the terms of Brexit being agreed, it will also allow the SNP to begin rhetoric around 'hard brexit' and what poor position Scotland could be in. Once the terms are agreed the SNP are knacked as they will only have their own ideals vs fact.

Scotland should absolutely be allowed a referendum on independence, however for the SNP to deny their people the right of an informed decision of what is on the table for staying in the Union just shows how badly their motives are idealistic and not in the interests of the people of Scotland.

SNP - Independence at all costs.

I don't think "independence at all costs" is at all fair, at least not yet.

The UK and EU have 2 years to negotiate Brexit since there's no guarentee that the EU will give consent for the UK to remain a member for an extra two years to continue negotiations, so i think we'll be able to tell a lot by how close to the end of this 2-year period the SNP seek to hold the referendum.

For example, if they want it in March 2019 then that's a pretty good indication that the Sturgeon is maximising the leverage the referendum gives them in the Brexit negotiations to force May to negotiate a much softer Brexit than she otherwise would. This is because if May still goes for the hard Brexit we're expecting then that will make it much easier for the pro-indy campaign to win by saying "have you seen this deal these Westminster ***** have negotiated for us?", and the Conservatives, at least officially, still oppose Scottish independence.

If she seeks the referendum much earlier, like March 2018, then that would suggest Sturgeon is not really interested in the outcome of the Brexit negotiations and is going full throated for independence, or bust. It think this because the earlier they have the referendum the more time after it that Brexit negotiations go on for without the SNP having significant leverage against a harder Brexit.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Darthlaw » Fri Mar 31, 2017 10:10 am

I'd go with most of that. I'd disagree that the SNP would push for a softer brexit with a March 19' Indyref though. The SNP want an independent Scotland as their ultimate aim. I'd argue that all Sturgeon would concentrate on, once a date was fixed and assuming it was before the conclusion of negotiations, would be the worst case scenario for Scotland in the Union vs the best case scenario for an independent Scotland.

Either way, Scotland are leaving the EU unless there is a radical u turn decision to cancel Brexit. Why would it not be better for the Scottish people to see the final offer on the table from the Union, once it is negotiated, rather than base their vote on assumptions and rhetoric from both sides of the argument?

Once the date is agreed, the SNP can go all out on their independence campaign. I think its fair to give the Union the same opportunity, hence the indyref should be organised and announced after March 19.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by dsr » Fri Mar 31, 2017 10:14 am

Darthlaw wrote:I'd go with most of that. I'd disagree that the SNP would push for a softer brexit with a March 19' Indyref though. The SNP want an independent Scotland as their ultimate aim. I'd argue that all Sturgeon would concentrate on, once a date was fixed and assuming it was before the conclusion of negotiations, would be the worst case scenario for Scotland in the Union vs the best case scenario for an independent Scotland.

Either way, Scotland are leaving the EU unless there is a radical u turn decision to cancel Brexit. Why would it not be better for the Scottish people to see the final offer on the table from the Union, once it is negotiated, rather than base their vote on assumptions and rhetoric from both sides of the argument?

Once the date is agreed, the SNP can go all out on their independence campaign. I think its fair to give the Union the same opportunity, hence the indyref should be organised and announced after March 19.
If they have a referendum now, they can have another one after March 2019 when they claim that the end result of Brexit isn't what they expected.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Fri Mar 31, 2017 10:14 am

Darthlaw wrote:I'd go with most of that. I'd disagree that the SNP would push for a softer brexit with a March 19' Indyref though. The SNP want an independent Scotland as their ultimate aim. I'd argue that all Sturgeon would concentrate on, once a date was fixed and assuming it was before the conclusion of negotiations, would be the worst case scenario for Scotland in the Union vs the best case scenario for an independent Scotland.

Either way, Scotland are leaving the EU unless there is a radical u turn decision to cancel Brexit. Why would it not be better for the Scottish people to see the final offer on the table from the Union, once it is negotiated, rather than base their vote on assumptions and rhetoric from both sides of the argument?

Once the date is agreed, the SNP can go all out on their independence campaign. I think its fair to give the Union the same opportunity, hence the indyref should be organised and announced after March 19.

If the were going with a March 19' IndyRef then that'd be strong evidence that they are pushing strongly for a soft Brexit. They'll still want independence, of course, but they'll be hedging somewhat with the softer Brexit. Whether they overtly campaign of a soft Brexit in this scenario is uncertain, but the intent would be there with the timing of the IndyRef and if the Tories are still interested in keeping Scotland in the UK it'll work.

I don't think it will be March 19 though. It'll probably be around the same time as the last one.

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Imploding Turtle » Fri Mar 31, 2017 10:16 am

dsr wrote:If they have a referendum now, they can have another one after March 2019 when they claim that the end result of Brexit isn't what they expected.
:roll:

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by dsr » Fri Mar 31, 2017 11:06 am

Imploding Turtle wrote::roll:
By the rolling eyes, does that mean you think that if an immediate referendum voted to stay, the SNP would accept it as a once-in-a-lifetime decision and not push for another one post-Brexit?

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Re: A Second Sweaty Referendum

Post by Sidney1st » Fri Mar 31, 2017 11:12 am

dsr wrote:By the rolling eyes, does that mean you think that if an immediate referendum voted to stay, the SNP would accept it as a once-in-a-lifetime decision and not push for another one post-Brexit?
They'd just dust of the manifest / election pledge from last time and use it again let's be honest.

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