We're up

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Spiral
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Re: We're up

Post by Spiral » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:36 pm

Winstonswhite wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:18 pm
I don’t know if anyone heard Glenn Little on Radio Lancs commentary tonight. He was saying as much as the OP.

He sees big similarities with his Championship winning side, even going as far as saying their record 106 points could be under threat!
Well there we go! Seal of approval.

ElectroClaret
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Re: We're up

Post by ElectroClaret » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:36 pm

AGENT_CLARET wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:14 pm
Win promotion at deadwood, lift the title at home against Sheff utd please
OMG what wouldn't i give for that.

Cirrus_Minor
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Re: We're up

Post by Cirrus_Minor » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:40 pm

Its obviously looking good at this point. But with so many games yet to play if we have injuries to key players or suspensions our lead could be eroded and become vulnerable to a team having a decent run in.

Roosterbooster
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Re: We're up

Post by Roosterbooster » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:42 pm

Gap to 3rd is the same as gap from 3rd to relegation

Bonkers

Spiral
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Re: We're up

Post by Spiral » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:43 pm

ElectroClaret wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:36 pm
OMG what wouldn't i give for that.
If Kompany gives us that we shouldn't be renaming pubs for him, we should be building temples dedicated to him.

Winning promotion at Ewood truly would be a once in a lifetime football experience. You'd die happy being able to remember a moment like that.
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Pickles
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Re: We're up

Post by Pickles » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:45 pm

Spiral wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:43 pm
If Kompany gives us that we shouldn't be renaming pubs for him, we should be building temples dedicated to him.

Winning promotion at Ewood truly would be a once in a lifetime football experience. You'd die happy being able to remember a moment like that.
More away fans than home fans.

ElectroClaret
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Re: We're up

Post by ElectroClaret » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:48 pm

Pickles wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:45 pm
More away fans than home fans.
I honestly don't think they'd be able to handle it, if that was on the cards.

There'd be thousands locked outside of Deadwood banging on the gates.

AGENT_CLARET
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Re: We're up

Post by AGENT_CLARET » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:52 pm

13 games up to and including the game at Deadwood

Win 8
Draw 2
Lose 3

gives us 26 more points making it a running total of 79, very possible we could be promoted at B@stards 😂

Roosterbooster
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Re: We're up

Post by Roosterbooster » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:52 pm

AGENT_CLARET wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:14 pm
Win promotion at deadwood, lift the title at home against Sheff utd please
Need to gain another 11 points on 3rd from 12 games (or 8pts if Rovers stay 3rd)
And gain 10 on SU from 15 games (provided they stay 2nd)

Possible...... (but...)

AGENT_CLARET
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Re: We're up

Post by AGENT_CLARET » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:53 pm

Spiral wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:43 pm
If Kompany gives us that we shouldn't be renaming pubs for him, we should be building temples dedicated to him.

Winning promotion at Ewood truly would be a once in a lifetime football experience. You'd die happy being able to remember a moment like that.
Temples :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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bobinho
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Re: We're up

Post by bobinho » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:54 pm

Inchy wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 9:50 pm
If I was pace I’d be tapping up whichever Chinese betting company fancies a premier league shirt next and getting the shirt out before the masses head off to Bene in July
I’d be asking CFS how much they are willing to pay for next years deal.

bobinho
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Re: We're up

Post by bobinho » Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:55 pm

AGENT_CLARET wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:52 pm
13 games up to and including the game at Deadwood

Win 8
Draw 2
Lose 3

gives us 26 more points making it a running total of 79, very possible we could be promoted at B@stards 😂
I’d love that. More than you know…. Actually, we’d ALL love that more than we know. 🤣🤣🤣

quoonbeatz
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Re: We're up

Post by quoonbeatz » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:09 pm

Very long way to go yet.
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Steddyman
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Re: We're up

Post by Steddyman » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:09 pm

The only thing we have guaranteed so far is we won't get relegated. Still a lot of games to go.
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agreenwood
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Re: We're up

Post by agreenwood » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:16 pm

I’m liking all the cautious posts to help counter all this jinxing.

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Re: We're up

Post by Bin Ont Turf » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:18 pm

That match and result tonight had promotion all over it.

dsr
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Re: We're up

Post by dsr » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:19 pm

AGENT_CLARET wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:52 pm
13 games up to and including the game at Deadwood

Win 8
Draw 2
Lose 3

gives us 26 more points making it a running total of 79, very possible we could be promoted at B@stards 😂
Virtually no chance that 82 will be enough to guarantee promotion with 7 games left. You'd be relying on no-one else having more than 60 at that stage, and surely someone's going to get 25 or so points out of the next 14 games.

Give us 11-2-0 and it might be doable!

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Re: We're up

Post by IanMcL » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:20 pm

The best thing happening is the 2 team chase for the title. Spurring each other on.
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CombatClaret
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Re: We're up

Post by CombatClaret » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:22 pm

OP needs to see his doctor. No shame it affects a lot of men.

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Re: We're up

Post by claptrappers_union » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:28 pm

066D54FF-8FA3-4ED5-ABB0-70E926AB36E3.png
066D54FF-8FA3-4ED5-ABB0-70E926AB36E3.png (150.42 KiB) Viewed 1849 times
Readings 106 point record breaking season.

Spiral
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Re: We're up

Post by Spiral » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:36 pm

CombatClaret wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:22 pm
OP needs to see his doctor. No shame it affects a lot of men.
Made it my new-year's resolution last year (so, technically this year???) to do more of this bold, brash, over-confident declarations about football lark, and I was like, "we're down, it's over" back in about March or something, so I've got a 1/1, 100% perfect record on this, trust me, I'm gifted at this.

I also said that whoever beats France wins the World Cup. Now, in fairness, I said it in the first half of the final, but still, I was technically correct.
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Tw@
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Re: We're up

Post by Tw@ » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:40 pm

claptrappers_union wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:28 pm
066D54FF-8FA3-4ED5-ABB0-70E926AB36E3.png

Readings 106 point record breaking season.
Had just been looking at the record and wondered if we could beat this!

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Re: We're up

Post by MG70 » Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:43 pm

Aclaret wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 9:53 pm
The lowlife....in 3rd, yet, as close to relegation as they are to catching us !
That is a remarkable stat, how they are 3rd God only knows.

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Re: We're up

Post by claptrappers_union » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:13 am

Tw@ wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:40 pm
Had just been looking at the record and wondered if we could beat this!
I don’t think we will, apart from defeat on the opening day, Reading went on an unbeaten run until Feb, losing against Luton, then undefeated again until the end of the season. We were a bit sticky at the start of the season and that were the opportunity was lost.

There’s 116 points available at the moment though

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Re: We're up

Post by daveisaclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:20 am

We've romped this league. Feel a bit sorry for those who aren't celebrating

NewClaret
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Re: We're up

Post by NewClaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:23 am

Cirrus_Minor wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 10:40 pm
Its obviously looking good at this point. But with so many games yet to play if we have injuries to key players or suspensions our lead could be eroded and become vulnerable to a team having a decent run in.
Agree with this. We saw tonight what difference two changes can make.

Do feel the next two are massive games (before a tougher run). If we could win those while the team is fit, get to the ~60 pts mark mid Jan, and it’d be done.

tiger76
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Re: We're up

Post by tiger76 » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:24 am

daveisaclaret wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:20 am
We've romped this league. Feel a bit sorry for those who aren't celebrating
We've romped this league so far, however we haven't achieved anything of note yet.

So let's not get too giddy until promotion is definitely assured, not to mention the small matter of the title.
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ElectroClaret
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Re: We're up

Post by ElectroClaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:26 am

Beat Swansea and Coventry (next two games) and yes, I'd agree with the OP.
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Re: We're up

Post by claptrappers_union » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:29 am

claptrappers_union wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:13 am
I don’t think we will, apart from defeat on the opening day, Reading went on an unbeaten run until Feb, losing against Luton, then undefeated again until the end of the season. We were a bit sticky at the start of the season and that were the opportunity was lost.

There’s 116 points available at the moment though
Championship League Table, - December 30, 2005

Reading 26 65
Sheff Utd 26 56
—————————-
Leeds 25 45
Watford 26 43
Crystl Pl 24 38
Wolves 26 38
—————————-
Burnley 26 38

Duffer_
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Re: We're up

Post by Duffer_ » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:32 am

Ignoring the 3rd place team because they are in a false position, we are 16 points ahead of the play-off places. With 21 games to go, that equates to a 0.76 points per game ("PPG") advantage.

If we assume the best of the rest manage a PPG of 2.00 for the remainder of the season, we need 26 points to go up, at a PPG of 1.23. By way of example, 7 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats gives us 28 points (1.33 PPG).

I can normally find a reason to be fearful but not this season. Unless...one of Hurstwood_Claret's algorithms says otherwise!

Yanquiclaret
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Re: We're up

Post by Yanquiclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:40 am

The Magic Number is 49 we are up when that number is zero.
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Spiral
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Re: We're up

Post by Spiral » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:52 am

Yanquiclaret wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:40 am
The Magic Number is 49 we are up when that number is zero.
This is a bit obscure and I don't know what it means, but it sounds like it was from a fortune cookie, so I'll take it.

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Re: We're up

Post by Yanquiclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:55 am

The team in third have 63 points they could get. We are 14 points ahead. Therefore any combination of points we gain and points they drop that add up to 49 and we are up on goal difference add another point to be sure to be sure.


CrosspoolClarets
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Re: We're up

Post by CrosspoolClarets » Sat Dec 31, 2022 1:04 am

dsr wrote:
Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:19 pm
Virtually no chance that 82 will be enough to guarantee promotion with 7 games left. You'd be relying on no-one else having more than 60 at that stage, and surely someone's going to get 25 or so points out of the next 14 games.

Give us 11-2-0 and it might be doable!
25 points from 14 is an 82 point season. Not unreasonable to hope a rival fails to get that tally. 22 sides have failed to do that so far, over 25 games (I actually think WBA and Boro will, but it is not “virtually no chance”).

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Re: We're up

Post by dsr » Sat Dec 31, 2022 1:56 am

CrosspoolClarets wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 1:04 am
25 points from 14 is an 82 point season. Not unreasonable to hope a rival fails to get that tally. 22 sides have failed to do that so far, over 25 games (I actually think WBA and Boro will, but it is not “virtually no chance”).
I'm not saying there is virtually no chance that another club will get 82 points. I am saying that there is virtually no chance that 82 points will be mathematically certain of promotion with 7 games to play.

Fretters
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Re: We're up

Post by Fretters » Sat Dec 31, 2022 7:09 am

Very confident but I'm waiting for the points gap (currently 15 with GD) to equal or exceed the games left (21) as it's pretty much done then.

We're not far away at all.

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Re: We're up

Post by Woodleyclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 7:51 am

I said in October we would be top at Christmas and continue to pull away with our Cardiff home game promotion celebrations ,I still stick by this

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Re: We're up

Post by evensteadiereddie » Sat Dec 31, 2022 8:07 am

:oops:
Yanquiclaret wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:40 am
The Magic Number is 49 we are up when that number is zero.
Absolutely.

Until then we continue to be as professional and as focused as VK seems to insist upon.
Talk of promotion and the title is natural enough but we should be doing that with some class, not carping about we're going to do this and we're going to do that.
Leave that to the Rovers and the Derbys of this world.

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Re: We're up

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 8:43 am

The fat lady isn't singing, but she is definitely out and about and doing some pretty intensive warm up warbling

Put it another way, the support band have just finished, and the crowd are chanting for the fat lady to come on

Aclaret
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Re: We're up

Post by Aclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:01 am

Lancasterclaret wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 8:43 am
The fat lady isn't singing, but she is definitely out and about and doing some pretty intensive warm up warbling

Put it another way, the support band have just finished, and the crowd are chanting for the fat lady to come on
I'm not thinking she's even got that far yet Lancaster, for me she's put some weight on after her Christmas overindulgence and she's booked some singing lessons !

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Re: We're up

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:04 am

Aclaret wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:01 am
I'm not thinking she's even got that far yet Lancaster, for me she's put some weight on after her Christmas overindulgence and she's booked some singing lessons !
14 points clear

She may well have put on some weight (good) and she may well be having some singing lessons (good) but to me, she's stuffing cake and taking those lessons while she can hear the crowd chanting her name

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Re: We're up

Post by agreenwood » Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:05 am

We’ve got 53 points. We’re probably going to need at least another 30.

It’s looking good, but we’re thin through the spine of the team and the threat of injury to a few key players means it’s way too early for some of the nonsense that’s been posted on there these past few weeks.

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Re: We're up

Post by RVclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:07 am

agreenwood wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:05 am
We’ve got 53 points. We’re probably going to need at least another 30.

It’s looking good, but we’re thin through the spine of the team and the threat of injury to a few key players means it’s way too early for some of the nonsense that’s been posted on there these past few weeks.
Spot on, especially with a more difficult looking run coming up through Jan - mid Feb. I’d hate to not have Jay Rod available for that (plus Cork with a 2 game ban coming up).

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Re: We're up

Post by Aclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:07 am

Lancasterclaret wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:04 am
14 points clear

She may well have put on some weight (good) and she may well be having some singing lessons (good) but to me, she's stuffing cake and taking those lessons while she can hear the crowd chanting her name
😄🤣

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Re: We're up

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:08 am

agreenwood wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:05 am
We’ve got 53 points. We’re probably going to need at least another 30.

It’s looking good, but we’re thin through the spine of the team and the threat of injury to a few key players means it’s way too early for some of the nonsense that’s been posted on there these past few weeks.
More to do with the complete inability of anyone to reach 3rd and put a run together

And our squad is probably one of the strongest in the league, and it would have to be an absolutely catastrophic injury/suspension crisis from here on in I feel

I am slightly taking the p**s a bit, but I'm very, very confident now

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Re: We're up

Post by AGENT_CLARET » Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:08 am

agreenwood wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:05 am
We’ve got 53 points. We’re probably going to need at least another 30.

It’s looking good, but we’re thin through the spine of the team and the threat of injury to a few key players means it’s way too early for some of the nonsense that’s been posted on there these past few weeks.
A lot of this is very much tongue in cheek, chill out and enjoy the ride

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Re: We're up

Post by Billy Balfour » Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:10 am

Yes, it's looking good, but I'll wait until the maths says we're up before making any public declarations.

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Re: We're up

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:11 am

Billy Balfour wrote:
Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:10 am
Yes, it's looking good, but I'll wait until the maths says we're up before making any public declarations.
I'm going to climb a hill today, and announce, waving a white piece of paper in full Neville Chamberlain style, that today, Burnley FC have won promotion to the premier league
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claretandy
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Re: We're up

Post by claretandy » Sat Dec 31, 2022 9:20 am

1/16 for promotion now, don't think that I've ever seen odds like that so early in the season.
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