Hi Chester, this is the post you put out about the debt are you allowed to tell us your theory about where the money as come from.Chester Perry wrote: ↑Sun Mar 12, 2023 11:59 pmAh ok
not worried (not sure I have ever been worried) about the going concern element in the short to medium term under this ownership given the need to keep generating surplus cash to meet their commitments - and even then the worst of that appears to have passed. Similarly there are no issues with Profit and Sustainability rules (FFP) though the next iteration may prove a little more daunting if they follow the UEFA model as I expect them to.
From what we know the club has
- no external debt other than transfer fees and the high potential for conditional fee/bonus payments on promotion and as you say the rewards of promotion will cover that.
- probably generated operational profits this season and certainly last season,
- potential challenges on cashflow following the debt payoff, but a factoring of Premier League monies once promotion is confirmed would help with that
I have a theory about where the money came from to pay off the debt and how it benefits the ownership group while at the same time offering them flexibility particularly in factoring to assist with cashflow, but it needs a bit more research as to whether it is actually possible so I will keep it off the board for now.
Transfer embargo
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Re: Transfer embargo
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Re: Transfer embargo
Chester we may not entirely agree on everything fella, but you get em told.Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:28 pmIt is a fact
Technically the debt was paid off by the club
Where were the funds sourced from to fund the pay off? is the precise question we don't have a confirmed answer too though I suspect a few have theories - I know I have.
For me my generalisation of this entire situation is:
Come the end of April if we have still not submitted our accounts and had the embargo removed we can get concerned but until that point theirs not immediate reason to worry.
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Re: Transfer embargo
Are you suggesting that our American football friends may have invested in order to clear the debt?Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:28 pmIt is a fact
Technically the debt was paid off by the club
Where were the funds sourced from to fund the pay off? is the precise question we don't have a confirmed answer too though I suspect a few have theories - I know I have.
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Re: Transfer embargo
They tried that on the 1st December last year
https://www.lancs.live/sport/football/f ... source=nba
“This is an administrative error that has come to our attention and is being addressed and resolved with immediacy."
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Re: Transfer embargo
Now is not the time for me to start speculating on that subjectClive 1960 wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:29 pmHi Chester, this is the post you put out about the debt are you allowed to tell us your theory about where the money as come from.
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Re: Transfer embargo
I don’t understand finance or what’s happened here so it’s of value to me to read some of the comments on this thread on either side to try and build up a picture.claretonthecoast1882 wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 8:07 amA day in paradise for those who don't like not having a club owner who was born with a BB postcode.
Then I see nonsense like the above about where people are born. What on earth is that about?
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Re: Transfer embargo
As aggi has said previously - that reasoning does not make much sense when you consider how much MSD will have received to clear the debt ( penalties included) and the opportunity cost of how such monies could be used in alternate ways.
Re: Transfer embargo
So what is your theory?Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:48 pmAs aggi has said previously - that reasoning does not make much sense when you consider how much MSD will have received to clear the debt ( penalties included) and the opportunity cost of how such monies could be used in alternate ways.
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Re: Transfer embargo
I just want my beloved CLARETS to be run right and everyone to be up front who run our club .Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:43 pmNow is not the time for me to start speculating on that subject
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Re: Transfer embargo
I could have also added that I believe the MSD loan was paid off in mid November last year.HistoricalClaret wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:35 pmChester we may not entirely agree on everything fella, but you get em told.
For me my generalisation of this entire situation is:
Come the end of April if we have still not submitted our accounts and had the embargo removed we can get concerned but until that point theirs not immediate reason to worry.
The end of April is indeed the interesting one - and from the club statement yesterday is what appears to be very firmly fixed in the minds of the ownership group.
When the accounts do come out I expect those for Kettering Capital Limited and Calder Vale Holdings Limited (possibly even ALK Capital Limited - even though I do not think it is part of the group) to also be released, followed by a future aligning of reporting dates.
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Re: Transfer embargo
Thanks for that on the auditorsTall Paul wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:25 pmOK, maybe I stand corrected and CVHL will need to file group accounts. However, the EFL don't appear to be aware of or concerned by this as they say the regulation we've failed to comply with is 16.2 which relates to submission of the club's accounts to them and not 16.3 relating to submission of group accounts to the Registrar.
Yes. Different auditors would increase the work that needs to be done and therefore the costs and time involved.
Intrigued as to where this EFL statement has come from
I cannot find one on twitter
https://twitter.com/EFL
https://twitter.com/EFL_Comms
or the EFL website
https://www.efl.com/news/
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Re: Transfer embargo
Agree that is a completely ridiculous thing to say.ClaretTony wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:44 pmI don’t understand finance or what’s happened here so it’s of value to me to read some of the comments on this thread on either side to try and build up a picture.
Then I see nonsense like the above about where people are born. What on earth is that about?
Has anybody any of us know who support the club EVER said that they want the owner of the club to be born in Burnley ?
But in reality I’m guessing that what the poster was actually intimating was that people are only asking questions of the owners about this specific issue because they are American……which tbf is equally as ridiculous !!
As Frank Teasdale will have known it offers you no protection from fan criticism if you were born in Burnley !
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Re: Transfer embargo
Worth adding to this that according to Alan Nixon this morning Huddersfield have also been embargoed though for what I am unaware as I do not pay him but that now means 4 club in the championship under embargo.
Re: Transfer embargo
Already posted on the previous page. It's for the same reason as us, late accounts.HistoricalClaret wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 1:09 pmWorth adding to this that according to Alan Nixon this morning Huddersfield have also been embargoed though for what I am unaware as I do not pay him but that now means 4 club in the championship under embargo.
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Re: Transfer embargo
See this is the interesting part for me.Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:40 pmThey tried that on the 1st December last year
https://www.lancs.live/sport/football/f ... source=nba
“This is an administrative error that has come to our attention and is being addressed and resolved with immediacy."
The previous references to errors and correcting them seem to tie in with the same props as us changing auditors, may be it was the catalyst for the change or it could just be complete coincidence.
Re: Transfer embargo
16.2 is for not submitting the 2022 accounts on time. 2.1.3 is for not submitting the estimate of the projected 2023 accounts.123EasyasBFC wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 11:56 amWe are in breach of regulation 16.2 and P&S Rule 2.1.3
If someone wants to read up on what they are
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Re: Transfer embargo
There are many definitions of being run right - I wouldn't necessarily expect the clubs owners to be moral exemplars of business - that it is something of a juxtaposition when football is actually a pretty cut-throat, ruthless and competitive world. I would expect an ownership group who have taken over the club in highly leveraged means to seek to be innovative and test the boundaries of rules and regulations in order to increase their competitive position.Clive 1960 wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:54 pmI just want my beloved CLARETS to be run right and everyone to be up front who run our club .
The key here is keeping on the right side of those rules and regulations, stretch don't break, on the scale of issues late reporting, while possibly indicating warnings of other potentially more serious issues is not a problem if the promise of resolution is kept.
There are things off field I am not happy about, but they are little different to what most clubs do - the problem for Pace is that he said he wanted us to be everyone's second favourite club, these goings on (and the takeover method) make that a very difficult task to achieve, however glorious the action we see on the pitch. Pace also suggested that communications would improve without actually specifying which communications - there is no doubt our social media communications have leapt forward, comms on business issues and practice on the other hand have probably never been so closed.
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Re: Transfer embargo
indeed - but by then KCL and CVHL were already over a month late (officially, over 4 months from original due date ) with their accounts with ALK Capital Limited and Velocity Sports Partners Limited were 5 months late.arise_sir_charge wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 1:16 pmSee this is the interesting part for me.
The previous references to errors and correcting them seem to tie in with the same props as us changing auditors, may be it was the catalyst for the change or it could just be complete coincidence.
Re: Transfer embargo
https://www.efl.com/-more/governance/embargoes/Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 1:04 pmThanks for that on the auditors
Intrigued as to where this EFL statement has come from
I cannot find one on twitter
https://twitter.com/EFL
https://twitter.com/EFL_Comms
or the EFL website
https://www.efl.com/news/
Re: Transfer embargo
Is it a fact? There's nothing on the public domain that I know of that shows it (a number of things suggest it), have I missed something or has this come from elsewhere?Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:28 pmIt is a fact
Technically the debt was paid off by the club
Where were the funds sourced from to fund the pay off? is the precise question we don't have a confirmed answer too though I suspect a few have theories - I know I have.
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Re: Transfer embargo
Have we signed anybody yet? 
Re: Transfer embargo
Kieran Maguire interview with BBC Radio Lancs on all of this
https://twitter.com/BBCLancsSport/statu ... 44480?s=20
https://twitter.com/BBCLancsSport/statu ... 44480?s=20
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Re: Transfer embargo
Thanks Chester, I see where you are coming from. UTCChester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 1:21 pmThere are many definitions of being run right - I wouldn't necessarily expect the clubs owners to be moral exemplars of business - that it is something of a juxtaposition when football is actually a pretty cut-throat, ruthless and competitive world. I would expect an ownership group who have taken over the club in highly leveraged means to seek to be innovative and test the boundaries of rules and regulations in order to increase their competitive position.
The key here is keeping on the right side of those rules and regulations, stretch don't break, on the scale of issues late reporting, while possibly indicating warnings of other potentially more serious issues is not a problem if the promise of resolution is kept.
There are things off field I am not happy about, but they are little different to what most clubs do - the problem for Pace is that he said he wanted us to be everyone's second favourite club, these goings on (and the takeover method) make that a very difficult task to achieve, however glorious the action we see on the pitch. Pace also suggested that communications would improve without actually specifying which communications - there is no doubt our social media communications have leapt forward, comms on business issues and practice on the other hand have probably never been so closed.
Re: Transfer embargo
Kieran is basically very relaxed about itRVclaret wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 1:40 pmKieran Maguire interview with BBC Radio Lancs on all of this
https://twitter.com/BBCLancsSport/statu ... 44480?s=20
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Re: Transfer embargo
I don't get this either...
The charges are still on the tangible assets and we are talking tens of millions.
And with the issue surrounding submission and the constant citations by companies house and now the EFL I don't know how anyone would know what the facts are...1
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Re: Transfer embargo
I understand what you are saying given that the issue of charges not being removed from KCL and Longside Properties Limited exists, but in reality are we saying that the charge being removed from the key bearing entities at Companies House is not factual evidence of the debt being cancelled. Would they not be legal repercussions if the debt had not been paid off
Interestingly the de listing from TISE last November is probably greater evidence that the loan has been paid off but I would agree that in pure terms we cannot treat it as more than suggestive.
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Re: Transfer embargo
The "satisfied in full" statements are pretty good evidence that the MSD loan has been paid in full. Imagine if you were MSD and "satisfied in full" was filed when you were still owed money. MSD would be very quick in re-filing that charge still stood at the very least. If MSD needed to they could appoint administrator to recovery their loan if the club was seeking to deny the charge still existed.
The fact that the charge has not been recorded as satisfied in full on Kettering and Longside - remember MSD don't have to make thos filing, neither do the club directors - is reason why EFL is right to request group accounts.
Ok, Nov-22 is after 31-July-22, but is still a key piece of information for the accounts.
We've now had 3 US sports stars visiting the club - that we know of. We also know that Alan Pace's plans were to invite a number of investors. Not all of these investors will be well known US sports stars. It is possible - I know no more than anyone else on here - that Alan Pace has made progress on these new investors. An immediate return of approx 10% is achieved by paying off the debt. Bigger returns will come longer term. Of course, if money is needed for this summer's transfer window new loans are always possible, especially if previous loans have been repaid in full.
The fact that the charge has not been recorded as satisfied in full on Kettering and Longside - remember MSD don't have to make thos filing, neither do the club directors - is reason why EFL is right to request group accounts.
Ok, Nov-22 is after 31-July-22, but is still a key piece of information for the accounts.
We've now had 3 US sports stars visiting the club - that we know of. We also know that Alan Pace's plans were to invite a number of investors. Not all of these investors will be well known US sports stars. It is possible - I know no more than anyone else on here - that Alan Pace has made progress on these new investors. An immediate return of approx 10% is achieved by paying off the debt. Bigger returns will come longer term. Of course, if money is needed for this summer's transfer window new loans are always possible, especially if previous loans have been repaid in full.
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Re: Transfer embargo
Cheers
as you say interesting,
all the other rule breaches I suggested yesterday cascade from 16.2 not occurring and the club's own admission about the auditors.
I am intrigued that they cite P&S 2.1.3 (which may/may not be a heavier charge) instead of 16.12
2.1.3 its estimated profit and loss account and balance sheet for T which shall:
(a) be prepared in all material respects in a format similar to the Club’s Annual Accounts; and
(b) be based on the latest information available to the Club and be, to the best of the Club’s knowledge and belief, an accurate estimate as at the time of preparation of future financial performance; and
(c) if Rule 2.5 applies to the Club its P&S Calculation in a form approved by The League from time to time and which as at the date of these Rules is set out in Annex 1;
2.5 If the aggregation of a Club’s Earnings Before Tax for T-1 and T-2 (or in the case of Season 2020/21 T-2 and T-3) results in a loss, any consideration from Associated Party Transactions having been adjusted (if appropriate) pursuant to Rule 2.3, then the Club must submit to the Secretary its P&S Calculation.
---------
The obligation to file interim accounts is limited to Championship Clubs only.
16 .12 The interim accounts shall:
16.12.1 comprise a balance sheet, a profit and loss account, a cash flow statement and relevant explanatory notes;
16.12.2 be prepared in accordance with the accounting principles adopted in the preparation of the Championship Club’s Annual Accounts;
16.12.3 be presented in a similar format to the Annual Accounts including as regards the matters set out in Regulation 16.9;
16.12.4 include in the profit and loss account and cashflow statement comparative figures for the same period in the preceding year;
16.12.5 include a balance sheet as of the end of the preceding financial year;
16.12.6 be approved in writing by the board of directors of the company to which they relate; and
16.12.7 be reviewed by the Club’s auditor or audited in accordance with applicable regulatory requirements.
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Re: Transfer embargo
It is worth noting that the late filing of accounts and the EFL transfer embargo are two different issues but obviously linked.
Reg 16.20 is a separate set of accounts required by the EFL,
The P & S reg that is also part of the embargo is more or less linked to the full accounts.
It's worth noting that Reading have broken the P & S reg, whereas we haven't supplied accounts so haven't actually broken any rules , just not given the EFL the info they need to check.
Reg 16.20 is a separate set of accounts required by the EFL,
The P & S reg that is also part of the embargo is more or less linked to the full accounts.
It's worth noting that Reading have broken the P & S reg, whereas we haven't supplied accounts so haven't actually broken any rules , just not given the EFL the info they need to check.
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Re: Transfer embargo
Very good stuff on here now, thanks for those contributions by Chester, Paul Waine and Tall Paul. Makes it easier for the rest us for us to understand. Thanks UTC.
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Re: Transfer embargo
This comes back to what is the ownership group in this for and what are theyPaul Waine wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 2:07 pmWe've now had 3 US sports stars visiting the club - that we know of. We also know that Alan Pace's plans were to invite a number of investors. Not all of these investors will be well known US sports stars. It is possible - I know no more than anyone else on here - that Alan Pace has made progress on these new investors. An immediate return of approx 10% is achieved by paying off the debt. Bigger returns will come longer term. Of course, if money is needed for this summer's transfer window new loans are always possible, especially if previous loans have been repaid in full.
We know they are not Private Equity - Alan Pace said that last September in an interview I posted. Private Equity tends to put money in early to generate growth and greater returns into the medium term before exiting - see CVC with La Liga and perhaps more interesting given it is the first time it has been done at a club, ClearLake at Chelsea.
we strongly suspect that ALK/VSP/VSL want to be more like an FSG (though currently without the multitude of billionaires and family offices that form the 20+ members of that partnership). FSG have loaned money for revenue growth projects with a timetable for repayment, that is active, I am unclear as to whether those loans are interest bearing.
There are currently 8-10 names associated with investment in our clubs ownership group - 5 of which are from ALK. It is entirely possible that there are more small investors/members/partners in that ownership group - its structure allows for them to be hidden from public view if they choose.
What we don't know is what new and existing monies introduced to the ownership group is being used for or if the members are happy just with the idea of growing the asset value or are wanting a structured regular return on their stake/investment (certainly you would expect retired NFL stars would want to maintain a lifestyle that would now have to be funded from their investments).
Last edited by Chester Perry on Mon Mar 13, 2023 2:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Transfer embargo
In the past, some supporters wanted the club to be run by people from Burnley, and didn't trust outsiders.....some of those people still exist, which is what I think the poster was alluding toClaretTony wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 12:44 pmI don’t understand finance or what’s happened here so it’s of value to me to read some of the comments on this thread on either side to try and build up a picture.
Then I see nonsense like the above about where people are born. What on earth is that about?
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Re: Transfer embargo
there is also the issue that others are tarred and feathered with it when it couldn't be further from the truth
Re: Transfer embargo
I wouldn't have a clue, I was just trying to explain where the poster was coming from.....iam happy for any investmentChester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 3:09 pmthere is also the issue that others are tarred and feathered with it when it couldn't be further from the truth
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Re: Transfer embargo
Not sure where Garlick was from exactly, but he was always thought of as 'local'. How he treated the club in fattening it up for market (whilst everyone thought it was our relegation rainy day fund) just shows being local means nothing.
Alan Pace could've been born on Harry Potts Way or Timbuktu. I don't care what it says on his passport, I care about how he runs the club and keeps it safe whilst it's under his ownership.
Re: Transfer embargo
I’d lost the will with this thread yesterday.
Top notch analysis from Chester
Top notch analysis from Chester
Re: Transfer embargo
Equally important to me is that the same level of care is applied when it comes to selling the club. Investors naturally want a healthy return, which doesn’t go hand in hand with who the club is sold to.FeedTheArf wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 3:31 pmNot sure where Garlick was from exactly, but he was always thought of as 'local'. How he treated the club in fattening it up for market (whilst everyone thought it was our relegation rainy day fund) just shows being local means nothing.
Alan Pace could've been born on Harry Potts Way or Timbuktu. I don't care what it says on his passport, I care about how he runs the club and keeps it safe whilst it's under his ownership.
Re: Transfer embargo
I'd say there is a step in between the charge being removed on some entities and definitively being able to say the loan has been repaid but I am probably more sceptical than average when it comes to this kind of thing. The debt can still exist without the charge (or with a reduced charge).Chester Perry wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 1:49 pmI understand what you are saying given that the issue of charges not being removed from KCL and Longside Properties Limited exists, but in reality are we saying that the charge being removed from the key bearing entities at Companies House is not factual evidence of the debt being cancelled. Would they not be legal repercussions if the debt had not been paid off
Interestingly the de listing from TISE last November is probably greater evidence that the loan has been paid off but I would agree that in pure terms we cannot treat it as more than suggestive.
There's a decent chance it has been paid off (or at least reduced) in some manner but I wouldn't say it's a fact.
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Re: Transfer embargo
Which is why I am tending to give more weight to the TISE delisting/cancelation of November 17 2022 and believing that is when the debt was clearedaggi wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 4:04 pmI'd say there is a step in between the charge being removed on some entities and definitively being able to say the loan has been repaid but I am probably more sceptical than average when it comes to this kind of thing. The debt can still exist without the charge (or with a reduced charge).
There's a decent chance it has been paid off (or at least reduced) in some manner but I wouldn't say it's a fact.
There is public record linking other such events for MSDUKH on TISE and confirmation of MSD UK Holdings Limited debt being repaid in full with the cases of both Derby and the first loan from them by West Ham.
Re: Transfer embargo
AgreedFeedTheArf wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 3:31 pmNot sure where Garlick was from exactly, but he was always thought of as 'local'. How he treated the club in fattening it up for market (whilst everyone thought it was our relegation rainy day fund) just shows being local means nothing.
Alan Pace could've been born on Harry Potts Way or Timbuktu. I don't care what it says on his passport, I care about how he runs the club and keeps it safe whilst it's under his ownership.
Re: Transfer embargo
Couldn't agree more.....but they exist unfortunately
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Re: Transfer embargo
Exceptional contributions on this thread from Chester and aggi......as always.aggi wrote: ↑Mon Mar 13, 2023 4:04 pmI'd say there is a step in between the charge being removed on some entities and definitively being able to say the loan has been repaid but I am probably more sceptical than average when it comes to this kind of thing. The debt can still exist without the charge (or with a reduced charge).
There's a decent chance it has been paid off (or at least reduced) in some manner but I wouldn't say it's a fact.
The debt has been cleared......in full.
Re: Transfer embargo
Exactly like us Huddersfield have also failed to submit their accounts on time and have been placed under an immediate transfer embargo.
Re: Transfer embargo
Sorry about this but have the EFL actually issued a statement today?