ClaretPete001 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 06, 2025 10:43 am
Ipswich are not a fair comparison because they were not an established PL club.
I don't think Southampton and Leicester have net spends as high as we had and to be fair Southampton have just sacked their manager who was cited by a number of pundits as having the same issue as VK.
It’s definitely true that Ipswich needed to spend more than the others as they’d never been in the premier league before or had any players that had played at that level. They spent €126m.
But I see no difference whatsoever to us on promotion and them. I see them as the perfect comparator actually because we completely cleared out in that summer after relegation. We were at ground zero, as were they. The fact we were previously an established premier league club is irrelevant because of said clear out of staff who made us a premier league club.
I think we had 15 or so established premier league players leave for £70m (only 4 drawing a fee!!) and a similar amount in for £20m, none of which had played at that level - nor have gone on to.
So we went up with pretty much zero premier league experience - Browny, Charlie and Jay, the latter who didn’t feature much - in the whole squad.
It was as close to the Ipswich scenario as you’ll get, bar they spent more both in total and individually.
Leicester spent €80m, so less than us, but they’d manage to hang on to a a core-ish of players in the CB’s, CM and Vardy who were experienced premier league players.
Southampton spent €117m, so more than us again.
What it boils down to, in my view, is you can’t sell all your premier league talent on relegation and then not replace it on promotion and expect to be anywhere near competitive. Or, in Ipswich’s case, since they had none to begin with, they had to go even harder than the others to catch up. I don’t really even see how it’s a topic for discussion, it’s just common sense?
Three professional football clubs took that approach this year so you have to ask, with all their collective resources and football knowledge and data, would they all do the same if it weren’t necessary? Yet none really look competitive.
The outcome of this season remains to be seen, but there’s every chance all three will end up being unsuccessful with similar or greater spends to us. Southampton are looking like spending more and delivering less. I honestly think it’s getting to the point you’ll need a £200m spend just to compete.
I am not saying a team couldn’t fluke it with a different approach. Luton were a way off in the end and looking at them in free fall now it makes me think even if they’d performed a miracle it’d only have secured another season, which is kind of not what I’d like us to achieve.
So in summary, I think if we are promoted you have to expect that kind of spend if the aim is to survive. Or we could just take the Luton approach and not bother. I wouldn’t be dead set against this as if it cleared all our debts and made all the fiscally nervous fans feel more content. Genuinely - it would achieve something in my view, even if it meant watching a worse season than the one just gone. You could then have another ‘yo’ at it with a strengthened balance sheet. But you also have to look at Luton as an example of how that can otherwise turn out.
P.S. I’m still not entirely convinced our ‘group’ finances are as bad as the ‘club’ accounts reflect but since we don’t and will never know the true picture, I shan’t attempt to Disneyfy that particular debate.