FA Cup 5th Round Draw Thread

[ClaretTony]

Fulham at home would be ok with their record at Turf Moor. Was it 1951 the last time they won there? We have played them quite a lot as well.

It was 1951. I thought that run was coming to an end though last season.

[Dazzler]

21st April 1951 ... Sweets, Sugar, Coal and Meat were still rationed, Attlee was Prime Minister, New Brighton were still in the Football League and Fulham won 0-2 at Turf Moor in a Division 1 fixture ... Since then, Fulham have travelled to the Turf on 33 occasions, 28 League games and 5 in either the FA or League Cups ...

Their record reads Won 0, Drawn 8, Lost 25 ... the one comment I would make is that all runs come to an end eventually !

3 Cup matches on turf. 2 fa cup matches were semi finals in 1962, the first at Villa Park the replay at Filbert Street.

[Clarets4me]

3 Cup matches on turf. 2 fa cup matches were semi finals in 1962, the first at Villa Park the replay at Filbert Street.

You are of course, correct ... I did wonder why the 11v11 site had us at home for both those games !!

[fidelcastro]

We've never played Preston in the FA Cup, so it'd be nice to be part of history!

[Clarets4me]

Another away draw tomorrow night would make it 9 in a row, which is 512/1 ....

[Burnleyareback2]

Plymouth away or City away I would guess!

[Big Vinny K]

Another away draw tomorrow night would make it 9 in a row, which is 512/1 ....

It’s evens that we get an away draw tomorrow
And evens we get a home draw.

Like tossing a coin. You start again with every new one and the odds are always evens.

[Clarets4me]

It’s evens that we get an away draw tomorrow
And evens we get a home draw. Like tossing a coin. You start again with every new one and the odds are always evens.

I made exactly the same point in my post at 6.17pm this evening ....

[LeadBelly]

It’s evens that we get an away draw tomorrow
And evens we get a home draw.

Like tossing a coin. You start again with every new one and the odds are always evens.

Yes it's evens tomorrow but the odds of getting 9 away draws in a row are 512/1 as stated.
The odds of 8 in a row were 256/1, another away is 2/1 so the 9 run is 512/1.

[Devils_Advocate]

Yes it's evens tomorrow but the odds of getting 9 away draws in a row are 512/1 as stated.
The odds of 8 in a row were 256/1, another away is 2/1 so the 9 run is 512/1.

The odds for another away draw tomorrow is not 2/1

[ArmchairDetective]

It’s evens that we get an away draw tomorrow
And evens we get a home draw.

Like tossing a coin. You start again with every new one and the odds are always evens.

If I told my customer in the bookies I used to work at that their 9 fold acca of all evens selections would only pay out evens odds total I reckon they'd have punched me in the face.

[Roosterbooster]

If I told my customer in the bookies I used to work at that their 9 fold acca of all evens selections would only pay out evens odds total I reckon they'd have punched me in the face.

That's not what he's saying

[Roosterbooster]

You were perhaps thinking of the long undefeated home record against Villa?

Not a clue what I was thinking. Egg. Face.
You're both spot on, it was 1951

[LeadBelly]

The odds for another away draw tomorrow is not 2/1

Probability is 2/1. Probability of getting 9 in a row is 512/1.

[Spike]

PNE away

Draw normally throws up one game with two teams playing each other after a recent league game

[Devils_Advocate]

Probability is 2/1. Probability of getting 9 in a row is 512/1.

Nope the probability is 1/2 and the odds are even.

[ArmchairDetective]

That's not what he's saying

I get that he's saying the odds are 1/2 for tomorrow night. But the original point was what are the odds of getting 9 in a row.

[dsr]

The probability is 1 chance in 512. The bookies' odds, if they didn't take a cut, would be 511/1.

[Garnerssoap]

Is there a reason they link the draw to the one show. Probably the best/worst example of dribble fawn scare hypernormalisation magic lantern shite I can think of
The youth of today will never know the fun of transistor radios and playground huddles

[Big Vinny K]

If I told my customer in the bookies I used to work at that their 9 fold acca of all evens selections would only pay out evens odds total I reckon they'd have punched me in the face.

Good for you.
That’s got nothing to do with what I said.

[Burnley1989]

Is there a reason they link the draw to the one show. Probably the best/worst example of dribble fawn scare hypernormalisation magic lantern shite I can think of
The youth of today will never know the fun of transistor radios and playground huddles

I agree, gone have the days of all the players sat in the changing room after the Sunday game waiting to hear who they'd play after a giant killing...

[RammyClaret61]

The youth of today will never know the fun of transistor radios and playground huddles

Exactly this. Also not knowing your ball number. Everyone saying after Manchester United or Liverpool had come out, it would be “ball number 12” everyone going “that’s got to be us” then a groan when it wasn’t. Or cheer when it was.

[BleedingClaret]

I make it 8 successive Away draws ...

Mar. 2023 FA Cup Manchester City
Aug. 2023 EFL Cup Nottingham Forest
Sept. 2023 EFL Cup Salford
Nov. 2023 EFL Cup Everton
Jan. 2024 FA Cup Tottenham
Aug. 2024 EFL Cup Wolves
Jan. 2025 FA Cup Reading
Feb. 2025 FA Cup Southampton

I'm told the odds of this happening is 256/1 ... of course, taken in isolation, the odds of an away draw tomorrow is 50/50 !

Oh, in my mind at least 4 of those were Man City Away!

[FCBurnley]

Plymouth Bournemouth or Palace away sound about right to me

[BleedingClaret]

I make it 8 successive Away draws ...

Mar. 2023 FA Cup Manchester City
Aug. 2023 EFL Cup Nottingham Forest
Sept. 2023 EFL Cup Salford
Nov. 2023 EFL Cup Everton
Jan. 2024 FA Cup Tottenham
Aug. 2024 EFL Cup Wolves
Jan. 2025 FA Cup Reading
Feb. 2025 FA Cup Southampton

I'm told the odds of this happening is 256/1 ... of course, taken in isolation, the odds of an away draw tomorrow is 50/50 !

No it's
33.3% recurring Home Draw
33.3% recurring Away Draw
33.3% Man City Home or Away

[mdd2]

Got to be Fulham or Bournemouth home or away as these are Scott's previous clubs he managed; although of the teams still in the Cup, he did play for Newcastle-so I will go for one of these three home or away.

[AlargeClaret]

Of all the TV shows to have the fa cup draw , the ONE show ? . I suppose when Jenas used to do it , there would have been a tiny-smidgeon of “ football credibility /linkage” ? Though after sending pics of his knob to most of the female crew , one wouldn’t expect him to be erm drawing any balls.

I don’t even wanna imagine who the Beeb will have doing it, though does anyone remember a sozzled Rod Stewart?

[ArmchairDetective]

Good for you.
That’s got nothing to do with what I said.

Lovely.

[what now !]

i hate to say this but i think it will be Bournemouth or Brighton away , but i would love PNE at home !! as long as its not City again

[Clarets4me]

Oh, in my mind at least 4 of those were Man City Away !

Jan 2018 FA Cup ( Away )
Jan 2019 FA Cup ( Away )
Sep 2020 EFL Cup ( Home )
Mar 2023 FA Cup ( Away )

P 4 W 0 D 0 L 4 F- 1 A- 18

[BleedingClaret]

Jan 2018 FA Cup ( Away )
Jan 2019 FA Cup ( Away )
Sep 2020 EFL Cup ( Home )
Mar 2023 FA Cup ( Away )

P 4 W 0 D 0 L 4 F- 1 A- 18

We scored!

[The Shire Claret]

Doncaster Away

[fatboy47]

Sh1t team on ours please.

[dougcollins]

I don’t even wanna imagine who the Beeb will have doing it, though does anyone remember a sozzled Rod Stewart?

I believe Sepp Blatter is making a guest appearance.

[Clarets4me]

Is anyone else concerned that after enduring the wretched luck of 8 successive away draws, we have been allocated ball 13 in tonight's proceedings !!

[Vince Fontaine]

Here are my predictions

Man Utd v Plymouth
Man City v Cardiff
Preston v Nottingham Forest
Brighton v Millwall
Newcastle v Ipswich
Aston Villa v Bournemouth
Wolves v Crystal Palace
Fulham v Burnley

Keeps all the big boys away from each other and reduces the possibility of a smaller club getting too far in the competition. I’d like, if I could choose, Millwall at home.
Utc

[giveusaB]

Alex Scott and Kelly Somers will present the draw on BBC's The One Show.

Ex-Arsenal and England winger Theo Walcott will join Somers in picking out the 16 balls.

[boatshed bill]

I want Plymouth at home ...

I want Plymouth away, but I'd settle for Exeter away if they win their tie.

[Bosscat]

I want Plymouth away, but I'd settle for Exeter away if they win their tie.

[Venkys4eva]

Plymouth away but it will be...

Number 14 v Number 13

[claretblue]

The youth of today will never know the fun of transistor radios and playground huddles

yes playground...12.15pm Monday lunchtime following Saturday FA cup ties

Ahhh the nostalgia!

[Big Vinny K]

I get that he's saying the odds are 1/2 for tomorrow night.

Wrong again - it’s evens.

[ArmchairDetective]

Wrong again - it’s evens.

Yes I understand evens is 1/1. Let's leave this here I think

[exilecanada]

yes playground...12.15pm Monday lunchtime following Saturday FA cup ties

Ahhh the nostalgia!

I used to go to my Grandfather’s house on Mitella St for lunch on Mondays when my Mum was at work. He’d make me egg n chips then listen to the Cup draw.

Nostalgia indeed

[Big Vinny K]

Yes I understand evens is 1/1. Let's leave this here I think

Lovely stuff
With you previously working in a bookies - just in case you go back there I didn’t want you thinking that evens was the same as the 1/2 you quoted

[ArmchairDetective]

Lovely stuff
With you previously working in a bookies - just in case you go back there I didn’t want you thinking that evens was the same as the 1/2 you quoted

The chances are 1 in 2. The odds would be evens. Not sure what's hard to understand. Now let's stop clogging up the thread for everyone else.

[The Hung Juror]

My guess is either away to Citeh or Brighton.

[ArmchairDetective]

The draw will take place on the one show at about 10 past 7 for anyone wanting to watch

[rexe78202]

The draw will take place on the one show at about 10 past 7 for anyone wanting to watch

Got it on - on mute. Although I don't mind Bill Bailey.

[Poulton-le-Claret]

Do people actually watch the One Show regularly? Absolute dross waiting for the draw.