todays racing

[happyclaret17]

12 30...I dont like the fav here pretty reckless so perhaps either lay or back against it.
12 50....there are 2 I dont like....serenity now and cliffside park.
1 20....I will be laying the fav here maid in milan but even shorter than current price....
lay in running around the 1.4 mark as is likely to lead.
2 00....I DO LIKE THE FAV HERE.....ANOTHER STOWAWAY....currently 1.9 on betfair
the trainer TOM GEORGE loves winning novice hurdles at the track....the form of the
Aintree run is rock solid and the sire STOWAWAY LOVES SOFT GROUND....THE NAP.
2 10 SIR TITAN each way bet in the 1234 market on betfair...25/1
2 50 dont like the fav here saucysioux....I have laid this at 2.24
3 40 ODE TO GLORY....each way bet in the 1234 market on betfair....utc.

[WestMidsClaret]

Just been looking at the 2.10 and I quite fancy Cape Peninsular EW in that one.

[happyclaret17]

a strong notebook horse for us to have a proper tickle on should be running in next couple of weeks.....BROADHAVEN HONEY....I am looking for this to run at southwell over 5 furlongs....was badly drawn at wolves yesterday and thankfully didnt place.....prior to that it routed a big field at southwell when drawn worst of all in the 14 box and this horse although appearing to have had no form had twice made my notebook previously.....ideal scenario would southwell 5 furlongs ....14 runners and drawn between stalls 3 and 9....I expect this horse to be rated in the 80s fairly soon so current mark of 63 extremely lenient......one for the christmas expenses.

[happyclaret17]

plenty of dangers in the 2 10 westmids...its an open trappy race...reason I fancy chancing Sir Titan is the trip....could improve for step up....a very impressive maiden winner at wolves when badly drawn over 7 furlongs ....wouldnt rule out many in the race but dont need much on at 25s for potentially a good return.

[cutsy123]

Bad day for racing today happy.

Keep us posted on broadhaven. I backed saucysioux btw

[Westyorkclaret]

Happy - any views on Broadhaven ? Listed in an 11 runner at Southwell 19th Dec. Thanks

[happyclaret17]

Luke Morris booked would probably suggest they are looking for a big run....I stick by what I said before really....a middle draw is ideal...it was a massive run to win from that high draw 2 runs ago and I think this will win a couple this winter over course and distance....most of the runners in the race are exposed handicappers so I would be very very disappointed if this didnt place at least....but I would be a bit disappointed if the horse didnt win in all honesty...utc.

[OssyClaret]

Early indications are that the moneys is down for Broadhaven tomorrow. 5s into 10/3 in the last hour or 2. Still a tiny bit of 4/1 left. Big stakes happy?

[happyclaret17]

Will be another hour or 2 before I have finished the race properly....took some 11/2 with bet 365 earlier ( handy that my sister has an account )....make sure you get a guaranteed price....hopefully post again around midnight......the horse once again has landed the worst possible draw in 10 but luke morris knows he has to get to the centre of the track and should have the pace to get over...also the stalls are central tomorrow which helps a bit.....last time the horse was drawn 14 of 14 and ran down the slow rail for 4 of the 5 furlongs before going clear in centre of track in final furlong.....a huge run that....7 lbs higher shouldnt stop it but want to do more work...post later.

[happyclaret17]

well I have taken PEARL ACCLAIM as a saver in the race....not gone each way on Broadhaven Honey...gone win only...PEARL ACCLAIM is ideally drawn in centre and has the pace to take advantage of that....still a bit nervous over broadhaven honeys draw....everything needs to go right with horses like pearl acclaim who is likely to get a good early position.

[Barrowfordclaret]

What do you think of kodi ridge's chances happy? I've followed this horse for a while. Started its career very well until it had growth which affected it's breathing which has now been removed and is now supposed to be back to it's best.

[happyclaret17]

Hi Barrowford
all of this ones form suggests 6 furlongs is the trip....this is a very sharp 5 furlongs and speed from the gate often crucial....will keep an eye on it today with a view to seeing it stepped up in trip....of course if the horse has improved it could be sharper for it and another scenario is a pace duel up front and coming through late to pick up the pieces....the draw is perfect...wish Broadhaven honey was in that box....utc.

[OssyClaret]

Big drift out to 8/1.

All the money for Gnaad and bits for Roaring Rory.

[happyclaret17]

Very strange market indeed....betfair broadhaven is out to over 9/1 and pearl acclaim has drifted to 6/1....would probably play ew on both at those prices but this has me a bit suspicious.....I have had a bit more on both at the prices and will try to lay some off in running.

[ClaretinMyBlood]

Great shout on Pearl Acclaim, Cheers Happy

[UpTheBeehole]

Went with Happy's shout on Pearl Acclaim and ended up with a payout at 5/1

[cutsy123]

Excellent.tip. proove the doubters wrong

[happyclaret17]

Cheers all
very dubious betting on Broadhaven....I dont think this horse was just beaten by the draw today....the middle to low part of track was where the first 4 home raced which is the norm at southwell but there is no way Broadhaven could be trading at 12 and 14 on betfair on that previous running over course and distance....will be on when this one wins at the track....maybe the horse wasnt 100 percent today...who knows...they aren't machines...things not adding up today....thankfully the photo went the right way....some strange market moves in that race with Kody Ridge trading 1/2 the price of Broahaven honey and very well backed but could never go the pace....will wait for that one to return to track over 6 furlongs.

[Barrowfordclaret]

Just been told kodi ridge won about two weeks ago at 16/1 and I missed it grr